I am in one sense I am pleased the UK is holding out against some aspects of the EU deal proposed by Merkel and Sarkozy. As I have argued, that deal is dire for democracy.

At the same time I loathe his reasoning – that puts the City of London at the core of concerns.

It leaves me strangely conflicted.

What is so obviously true is that with low interest rates, mass unemployment and a crisis of hopelessness sweeping Europe, whilst we know that at the same the environment is being trashed, the we need a Green New Deal for Europe.

And that such a Green New Deal for Europe has to reflect, respect and even encourage diversity within a framework of mutual respect on which we can all agree.

That’s so far from what’s on offer. No wonder the politicians in Brussels are failing.

 

Larry Summers has said in the FT this morning:

The central irony of financial crisis is that while it is caused by too much confidence, too much borrowing and lending and too much spending, it can only be resolved with more confidence, more borrowing and lending, and more spending.

But the borrowing has to be for investment this time.

And not investment in land and consumption.

But investment in productive capacity that delivers sustainability.

This time there has to be a Green New Deal.

 

From today’s Guardian, from my Green New Deal colleague Colin Hines:

Mervyn King is right that the UK is looking over an economic abyss (Britain in grip of ‘worst ever financial crisis’, 7 October), but giving greedy, tight-fisted banks a further £75bn in the hope that this time they will lend enough to business is a fantasy. Quantitative easing should instead have been used to increase economic activity and hence jobs and business opportunities. Without that, who is going to want to borrow when for many businesses the real crisis is increasingly a shortage of sales and not a shortage of capital.

The Bank of England could have started to tackle this demand deficit, had it used a substantial percentage of the £75bn to finance a green new deal to make all UK buildings energy efficient. This would have helped kickstart the economy by creating hundreds of thousands of jobs where people actually live. King admits he will probably need a QE3, but to be third-time lucky he should make it a green QE3. It could even be nicknamed plan B.
Colin Hines
Convenor, Green New Deal Group

Full details of Green Quantitative Easing here.

 

I note Vince Cable is calling for a new round of quantitative easing to boost consumption.

He’s right that we need demand stimulated.

He’s wrong that we need more consumption.

And he’s wrong in the sense that a major part of QE goes straight to bank bottom lines and reinforces divisions in society and achieves no desired economic impact.

What we need is Green Quantitative Easing – as recommended here and explained in detail here.

This delivers real investment for a sustainable economy – which is what we really do need, now.

So, Vince – can we have some joined up thinking on this please? Green QE is just that.

 

As Larry Elliott notes this morning:

One Sunday in October 2008, Alistair Darling flew back from Washington to find Britain on the brink of banking meltdown.

Let’s be blunt: Labour solved that one.

But the underlying issue remains. The Green New Deal group had already addressed that underlying issue in July 2008 (Larry’s a member, along with me). As he puts it though:

There is the potential there for not just one crisis but three: a situation where the ATMs freeze up, the planet warms up, and the lights go out.

So what does he think the options are?

It’s not pretty but there are at least four possible choices. Choice one: do nothing because modern financial capitalism is robust and self-correcting, there is more oil in the ground than we think, and global warming is a fantasy. Possible, but given that it was the same mindset as prevailed in financial markets pre-2007, fraught with risk.

Choice two: argue that there is an incompatibility between growth and sustainability, so the big developing countries cannot hope to aspire to western levels of consumption, which need to be reduced anyway. Perhaps true, although the deep green road map for getting from A to B is somewhat sketchy and currently lacks political support in both the developed and developing worlds.

Choice three: bring human ingenuity to bear by investing heavily in new forms of low-carbon green growth while at the same time negotiating a binding global climate change deal. Tough, expensive, and open to the objection that green growth is pie in the sky.

Choice four: file under “too difficult” and hope it is not too late to respond when the crisis breaks.

As he says:

Personally, I’d go for choice three, while accepting that choice four looks most likely and that choice two may eventually be forced on us anyway.

I’m more optimistic about 3.

But what’s clear is there is no way we can choose 1 or 4: they’re the route to much more serious problems.

 

Last weekend there was a pile of drivel published saying how Fitz Schumacher was a guru for David Cameron.

I’m glad to see Andrews Simms of the New Economics Foundation has responded in the Guardian:

It was a surprise to read in the Observer that the late economist EF Schumacher, author of the seminal 1973 book Small is Beautiful, was not only back in fashion, but apparently also a guru for those within Downing Street.

For many, myself included, Schumacher never went out of fashion. His ideas inform several prominent organisations and movements active in creating better, more climate-friendly food and energy systems. His understanding that the economy must know its junior place next to the biosphere, dependent not dominant, has gained influence over decades. It’s a paradigm-shifting insight with profound implications for economics and other disciplines.

Which is why, leaving aside a little political mood music, it is hard to believe that he is a guru to the current government. The coalition is rushing to restore a very old-style deregulated market economy, where finance comes first and making it easier for the already rich to get richer is meant to benefit all. Schumacher’s impressive eyebrows would have shot skyward at this thought, so very far from his “economics as if people mattered”.

I agree, entirely.

The rest of what Andrew has to say is worth reading.

I should add, he is a Green New Deal colleague of mine.

 

On Saturday I wrote a blog entitled This is not just nuclear melt down – it’s the next world financial crisis too. The usual right wingers (in the main) rolled out to say there was no risk of nuclear melt down in Japan and that I’d got everything wrong. Even yesterday there were economic commentators saying this tsunami would be good for the Japanese economy.

Well it does look very likely that there has been a meltdown.

And evacuation is becoming a serious issue.

Japanese debt has become about the most expesnive in the world to insure.

The Nikkei index is collapsing.

My fears were well founded.

If oil was not going to tip us into recession then this disaster will.

The time to face perhaps the biggest economic and social question the world has ever had to address – how we fuel our future.

It’s time for a Green New Deal. Except, and I’ll be candid, we did not envisage problems on this scale arising so soon. But the Green new Deal group remains ahead of the pack – at least we saw the issue.

 

The BBC reports:

Investing $1.3 trillion (£800bn) each year in green sectors would deliver long-term stability in the global economy, a UN report has suggested.

Spending about 2% of global GDP in 10 key areas would kick-start a “low carbon, resource efficient green economy”, the authors observed.

They also recommended following policies that decoupled economic growth from intensive consumption.

The findings have been published at a meeting attended by 100 ministers.

Well, as some of us have said for while it’s time for a Green New Deal.

And it can be done.

Feb 072011
 

Good to see the Observer noting the work of my fellow Green New Dealers Ann Pettifor and Colin Hines yesterday.

They deserve it for their invaluable contributions to building the alternative to the mess we’re in.