In this podcast, I speak with Will Thompson to explore one of the most important internal debates within Modern Monetary Theory.
We agree on the fundamentals: that governments with their own currency can fund full employment, and that the real constraints are resources, not money. But we disagree on how to achieve that goal.
Will makes the case that the job guarantee is central to MMT as a price anchor, an automatic stabiliser, and a mechanism for delivering dignity in work.
I argue that while the diagnosis is correct, the proposed solution is not. The job guarantee, as currently conceived, is administratively unrealistic, underpaid, and risks undermining the very dignity it claims to support.
Instead, I set out an alternative: direct public employment, a living wage, and long-term investment in care, housing, the NHS, and climate transition that effectively delivers the job guarantee, as the UK state once did.
This is not a rupture, but it is a serious disagreement about how MMT policy should work in practice. And that is healthy.
This is the audio version:
This is the transcript:
In this podcast, I welcomed Will Thompson as my guest to pick up a conversation we had begun only weeks earlier at the Scottish Festival of Economics in Edinburgh, where Will had interviewed me in front of a sold-out audience of almost 200 people.
Will is an economist with a Master's in the green economy from the University of Bournemouth and a Master's in the economics of sustainability from Torrens University in Australia.
He organises Scotonomics, has interviewed hundreds of guests on his own podcast, and writes a regular column for The National newspaper, as I do. We have a great deal in common, which is why I wanted to spend this session exploring one of the few places where we genuinely part company, which is about the job guarantee inside Modern Monetary Theory (MMT).
I opened by reminding listeners that what was about to unfold was not a rupture inside MMT but a disagreement between two people who share most of its ground. I ran quickly through the intellectual lineage: Georg Knapp's ‘State Theory of Money ‘of 1905; Keynes's ‘Treatise on Money' of 1930; Abba Lerner's work on functional finance from the 1940s; and moved on into the contemporary synthesis we now call MMT.
I restated the core claims; that the Treasury and central bank of a state should function as a single unit; that a government with a fiat currency spends before it taxes; that a currency-issuing state can never run out of its own money; and that the real constraints on policy are the availability of resources, labour and the risk of inflation, but never money itself. That framework, I argued, enables active fiscal policy and therefore enables a political choice to pursue full employment. On that goal, Will and I are entirely agreed; the question is how to get there.
Will then made the case for the job guarantee with considerable clarity. He argued that MMT became a distinct school in the late 1990s through the work of Warren Mosler and Bill Mitchell, and that the job guarantee is to MMT what collective ownership of the means of production is to Marxism; it is constitutive rather than optional. He pointed to the roll-call of scholars who endorse it, to its dedicated chapter in Stephanie Kelton's The Deficit Myth, to its place in Dirk Ehnts's recent work, and to the fact that almost a quarter of the Levy Institute's output on MMT concerns the policy.
He then described the mechanism: the job guarantee is a centrally funded, locally designed job offered to anyone who wants one, at a decent wage above the minimum, matched where possible to the worker's skills. He set out the macro case for this. It is:
- a price anchor that stabilises inflation without a punitive interest rate,
- an automatic stabiliser that expands in recession and contracts in recovery, and
- a framework that lets the state pay zero interest on reserves.
He also set out the social case:
- Providing dignity in place of unemployment,
- Creating pressure on private employers to improve pay and conditions, and
- The provision of support for women, minorities and the long-term unemployed, as well as
- Better resilience for the care economy, and
- A vehicle for climate adaptation.
I agreed with him on the diagnosis. The current system, in which the Bank of England manages inflation through interest rates whilst tolerating a NAIRU (non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment) now set at around 5 per cent, is abhorrent. It punishes households through excessive rents and mortgages, it deliberately leaves people without work, and it then tells those same people they are lazy. The disagreement between Will and me is not about whether this is wrong; it plainly is. The disagreement is about whether the job guarantee is the answer.
My objections are primarily pragmatic rather than theoretical.
First, the wages being discussed for the UK, at around £15 an hour, are not a living wage in most of Britain. This pay, then, does not provide a viable work solution for those who are unemployed.
Second, there is a dignity problem for anyone coming off a median salary: asking them to take a job priced far below their previous earnings, on the understanding that they are meant to return to the private sector as soon as possible, treats the state sector as a waiting room rather than a worthwhile destination whilst sending a message that they are undervalued in the meantime, and that the stress they might suffer as a result is considered tolerable by the state. I do not agree with that.
Third, and most importantly, I do not believe the administrative capacity to deliver a job guarantee scheme exists, nor should it. Local authorities are already starved of resources. They cannot credibly hold a portfolio of jobs in readiness for every taxidermist, every redundant academic, and every worker from a failed major employer who might walk through the door on a Monday morning. The resource required to make that possible does, in itself, represent, in my opinion, a redundancy of provision that itself would represent a scandalous waste of resources, and it is why I called the scheme, in the strongest terms I used in the conversation, a neat academic exercise that does not survive contact with the real world.
I offered what I see as the better route. The state should guarantee full employment directly, through an active fiscal policy that rebuilds resilience in essential services; the kind of resilience my father took for granted as a senior engineer in the nationalised electricity supply industry, where his team maintained the system so well that the emergencies they were hired for rarely happened.
That means a living wage as the floor, a decent earnings-related and housing cost compensated social security system to handle genuine transitions between employments, and the provision of long-term public employment in housing, care, the NHS, and the sustainability agenda.
I reminded Will that I co-authored the first Green New Deal report and proposed what we called a Carbon Army: half a million people, employed for up to thirty years, turning every building in the country into a power station. That is not a £15-an-hour backstop; it is a career, with training, promotion, security and with trade union rights respected.
This, I said, is how we provide a job guarantee and challenge the dire conditions many are forced to work in now in the private sector.
Will pushed back with international examples such as Argentina's Jefes de Hogar programme and India's rural employment guarantee, but I am not persuaded that deeply agricultural economies creating employment out of subsistence situations tell us much about what a post-industrial UK facing an AI-driven labour shock should do. The institutions are different, the economies are different, and the comparisons do not hold.
We closed where we began: agreeing on full employment as the goal, whilst disagreeing on the mechanism. Will believes the job guarantee is the single policy that can change the economic paradigm. I believe it cannot be delivered and that, by insisting it is central to MMT, it risks discrediting the wider project.
On Will's own definition, I am probably not an MMT economist. I can live with that. I am even indifferent to that. I think for myself. We agreed to keep talking.
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[…] if one podcast were not enough for a morning, let me offer you a second one. On this occasion, I am the guest on the ironically named Echo […]
Before we have a job guarantee what about a housing one?
The massive increase in Housing Costs since Thatcher’s Government is a huge drag on the economy
Bringing costs back to something close to building costs would free a massive amount of income for most people, yes it would not be without consequences but it would lift an enormous private tax burden
There does seem to be a school of thought that a jobs guarantee is an inherent part of MMT. It plainly isn’t – it is one policy choice that MMT might allow – but it suits some people to put it in and say it is essential. Other people to knock MMT down because of it.
For me it is a distraction. The main point is that MMT is not just an economic theory. It is a description of how the modern fiat money supply works, in practice not just in theory, and I challenge anyone saying otherwise to give a better description.
I just noticed today a new forthcoming book by a chap called Emmanuel Maggiori, who appears to be a computer scientist, “If You Can Just Print Money, Why Do I Pay Taxes?: Modern Monetary Theory Distilled and Debunked.” The synopsis is not encouraging, but there is a talk at LSE shortly. If you can just print money, why pay taxes? – LSE
To quote “A radical economic proposal has been gaining traction among politicians, activists, and academics. It argues that governments can strategically use money creation to end unemployment, fight climate change, repay debt, and more—without the limits imposed by traditional budgets. This proposal is known as Modern Monetary Theory, or MMT. … In his new book, If you can just print money, why do I pay taxes?, Emmanuel Maggiori distills and debunks MMT step by step. The book shows that, while MMT is thought-provoking and worth a read, it is ultimately unsatisfactory—it suffers from numerous flaws, and it fails to formulate credible policies to increase prosperity.”
His previous book three years ago predicted the AI bubble will burst. He may well be right about that, but we are not there yet.
There is a blog coming in the JG in the morning
As for the book, his next one is ‘Galileo was wrong’
I thought it was interesting that Will said at the beginning of the video that among the MMT glitterati there had been a shift from the pure MMT as a lens view toward having the JG as a core issue. This converts MMT from a rigorously researched, scientific analysis of the facts which can be used to inform any political stance to a specifically left wing policy framework which can only increase the push-back against it.
Re the JG itself: Having, until recently, learned most of my economics from Bill Mitchell I was for the JG but am now convinced by Richard’s arguments that it would be impractical to implement. Who could not be convinced after watching him bounce up and down in his chair with excitement while making that point in the video? Only policies that can be fully implemented in practice are of any value. Does that make me a Social Pragmatist?
Yes, and thanks.
Since it first came to my attention no proponent of the Job Guarantee idea has persuaded me that it would not quickly degenerate into something akin to ‘workfare’, irrespective of its good intentions.
Your Carbon Army would have been my first choice if such had existed when I was looking for a career 50 or 60 years ago.
For decades various politicians and civil servants have been promising to force somebody to employ me, but experience has shown them to be consistantly liars.
[…] podcast I posted here yesterday, which, admittedly, very few people have watched, included an implicit challenge from economist […]
I’ve said before that MMT comes in two aspects. There is the core or essence of descriptive MMT detailing the monetary operations of a fiat currency which can then be overlain by aspects of prescriptive MMT depending upon an ideological bent. Whether that be progressive in advocating a reserve stock of employed workers or an honestly called full employment system or, on the other hand, advocating an austerian policy of reserve stock of unemployed workers as is widespread today all justified by another neoclassical lie of a fictional NAIRU.
The coming chaos may provide an opportunity for a re-categorization by the many as to what should be paid work and not left in the hands of capital. So much unpaid essential and worthwhile work occurs today that deserves a financial validation and that should change. The dreaded nonsense of GDP being used as a relevant measure meaningful to the asserted wellbeing of society should be consigned to the dustbin of history with all those neoclassical economists.
The Job Guarantee would be an excellent subject for a public meeting if it had presentations from those in favour and those with reservations. The discussion afterwards would be illuminating. I think there is a little of confusion because there are lots of different versions of a Job Guarantee
Yesterday’s video attracted our lowest YouTube viewership in 2 years. I won’t be going there again.