Potential

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For the background to this post, please read this companion piece


Imagine you are alone on a desert island.

You have nothing.

You have a choice.

You can spend the day making money.

You could carve shells into coins. Print banknotes on leaves. Even declare yourself Governor of the Island Bank.

By sunset, you could be a billionaire.

Would you be any better off?

Of course not.

There is nobody to trade with.

No markets.

No banks.

No shops.

Your money would have no purpose.

Or you could spend the day differently.

You could find fresh water.

Build a shelter.

Catch fish.

Light a fire.

Learn which plants are safe to eat.

And, eventually, build a boat.

You would finish the day with no money at all.

But you would have something infinitely more valuable.

You would have transformed the world around you to improve your well-being.

That is the real economy.

Money is not.

In this economy, what matters is energy.

Nobody can say with complete confidence what energy is. Physicists can describe it, measure it and predict how it behaves. But defining it is surprisingly difficult.

Perhaps the simplest answer is this.

Energy is the potential for change.

But energy, by itself, achieves nothing.

It has to be captured.

Stored.

Then crystallised into action, whether by finding the fresh water or building the boat.

A battery is not the point.

The light it powers is.

A reservoir is not the point.

The electricity it generates is.

Energy matters because of the changes it makes possible.

I wonder whether money is much the same.

Money also represents the potential for change, but it, too, has to be captured.

We create it. We save it. We lend it. We borrow it. We tax it. We invest it.

But none of those things is the purpose.

Money, like energy, only matters when it is crystallised into action.

When it helps deliver a home.

A school.

A meal.

A hospital.

A person made well.

A railway.

A work of art.

A cathedral.

A business.

A restored woodland.

In other words, money matters because of the changes it makes possible.

So why do we spend so much time celebrating the accumulation of money instead of the transformation it can create?

The person on the desert island knows the answer instinctively.

They do not survive by making money.

They survive by creating value.

They combine knowledge, imagination, labour, natural resources, and a plan to meet their needs and well-being.

Money cannot do any of that.

It can only help organise those activities when other people are present.

That is why the greatest mistake an economy can make is to confuse money with value.

Money is a means.

Value is created when we transform the world in ways that allow people and nature to flourish.

If we forget that, we begin to optimise the wrong thing.

We protect money instead of protecting the conditions that allow people to live well.

We celebrate wealth while neglecting health.

We defend financial assets while allowing homes, communities and ecosystems to decay.

We maximise the store of potential while failing to realise it.

The result is a strange paradox.

We become richer in money, but poorer in everything that money was supposed to make possible.

The purpose of an economy is not to accumulate the potential for change.

It is to turn that potential into the reality of well-being.

It seems we do not understand this.

More potential is in itself worthless.

What matters is the realisation of all available potential.

Unless economics achieves that goal, it fails.

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