The financial elite are promoting the household analogy with a view to deceive

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Gillian Tett, the Provost of King's College, Cambridge, where once John Maynard Keynes was both a fellow and a professor, and which was his academic base throughout his life, has written an article in the Financial Times, where she is a member of the editorial board, suggesting that countries around the world should be “alarmed about their nations' surging debt”.

Tett's article was written in response to a recent OECD publication on "Empowering Public Understanding of Public Finances". This, like much of what the OECD produces on economics, as I noted in a recent Substack article, is highly neoliberal in its outlook and analysis, which is, of course, exactly why Gillian Tett has quoted it, because it feeds straight into her debt paranoia. As she broadly correctly notes when seeking to summarise it:

Governments are being asked to manage long-term fiscal risks in an environment where public trust and people's willingness to tolerate trade-offs are low.

From there, Tett adopts the approach I explained in my article on normal people a week ago. She assumes a right to proclaim what is good for such people as a member of the educated elite. Her logic for doing so appears to be based on that promoted by the Rockefeller Foundation in the early twentieth century, when some of the richest people in the world thought that they had the right to set the economic and social policies that governments should follow, a logic we are still familiar with today because it still remains that of the world's elite from Musk, to Blair, and beyoind.

Tett then appears to assume that her readers in the Financial Times are, like her, a part of that elite, as she sets out to tell the world what they must learn so that they might understand just what it is that they should accept with regard to government spending, taxation, and debt. She does so by agreeing with the OECD, noting that in the report she refers to:

[T]he OECD argues that governments need to take four steps:

  • demystify the budget for politicians;
  • communicate clearly with the public;
  • give citizens a proper voice in fiscal policy; and
  • co-opt civic bodies to be fiscal advocates.

What is the goal? It is, based upon what I can only presume, from the construction of her article, to be her apparent attendance at an OECD seminar on this issue, that finance ministers should use social media platforms, such as Instagram, to explain debt and embrace simple metaphors, such as a household budget, to explain fiscal choices. As she notes:

Margaret Thatcher famously deployed this analogy, and it was used again this week on the BBC by Sir Howard Davies, former chief UK financial regulator.

There is, of course, one simple problem with that. It is that the household analogy is wrong (as the linked glossary entry explains). Worse than that, it is profoundly misleading and mischaracterises the nature and function of money altogether as far as a government is concerned, as well as the role of tax in the government funding cycle, and the nature and purpose of government debt, as well as government bonds.

It is as if Tett's great desire, as a member of the financial elite, is to mislead, because that is what she is suggesting be done.

And she suggests the threat should come with menaces attached. As she proclaims:

[T]he sad reality is that humans are highly skilled at selectively ignoring bad news. So the OECD's ideas seem unlikely to work without another ingredient: bond market pressure. After all, voters and politicians in Portugal, for example, only embraced radical debt-cutting measures after a market crisis.

So perhaps investors should now pray that something like a “goldilocks” crunch emerges — a wave of bond market turmoil that is just big enough to show voters why fiscal consolidation is needed, but not so big that it craters the financial system and economy.

She added:

 Is it cynical to wish for such a jolt? Yes. But [this may be] be the only way to concentrate minds — ideally before we face a truly devastating debt explosion.

Let me, then, summarise Tett's debt-paranoid approach. First, without showing the slightest sign that she understands what so-called government debt is, or why it has risen, she is saying that governments must:

Keep people in the dark and feed them economic bullshit about a household analogy that is meant to mislead, and does.

Second, she is saying:

The beatings will continue until people agree that the eleite are right.

And third, she is saying:

Things might turn to shit if the elite do not get their way, and just to prove the point, they'll turn them to shit anyway by shrinking the state, just to prove they were right.

Either way, shit is what you'll get.

That's your lot.

Accept it.

Rarely have I seen anything I think so arrogant, brazen, or self-deluded, as well as just wrong, in the pages of the FT. But at least we know that the household analogy is being used quite deliberately as an economic narrative, and I can only presume Tett knows it is a falsehood designed to constrain government, in which case we know exactly where she, and the OECD, stand politically.


To support this post and to explain the household analogy, a new post in the 'View On' series has been published this morning. It includes an extensive reading list on this topic. 

PDF of article


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