Tony Blair once claimed to stand for equality, public services and social justice. So what happened?
In this video, I look at Blair's extraordinary new essay on AI, politics and the future of government, and argue that it reveals something much deeper than a fascination with technology. What it really reveals is the complete triumph of neoliberal thinking over the values Blair once claimed to support.
Blair now argues that governments must adapt themselves to AI, shrink the state, cut support for people with disabilities, prioritise defence spending, and surrender ever more power to markets and corporate interests. He presents this as inevitable. I argue that it is dangerous.
This is not really a debate about artificial intelligence. It is a debate about democracy, inequality, power, human worth, and whether politics should serve people or markets.
In this video, I explore why Blair's argument reflects neoliberal ideology at its purest, why oligarch money and AI corporations now appear to shape political thinking, and why disability and social security have become central battlegrounds in modern politics. I also look at the extraordinary contradiction between Blair's conversion to Catholicism and Pope Leo XIV's direct warning about the dangers posed by AI and concentrated technological power.
At the heart of this discussion is a much bigger question. Should politics exist to serve markets and production, or should it exist to serve people, communities, democracy and the planet? Blair increasingly appears to believe the first. I believe the future depends upon resisting that idea.
This is not just a critique of Tony Blair. It is a critique of the political system that produced him and of the future now being proposed in the name of “modernisation”. If you think politics should still be about people, democracy and well-being, this discussion matters.
This is the audio version:
The Debate Ammunition for this video is available here.
This is the transcript:
Tony Blair has been corrupted. Now, let's be clear. I'm not saying he's corrupt. That is not my allegation at all. I am saying he has been corrupted. There is a difference, and this video is about that difference. Corruption here means the loss of whatever principles he once held. His essay on the future of politics and the use of AI, published in the last week, is the clearest evidence that this has happened. It's time to talk about what has happened to him and what might happen to us as a consequence if the world follows in his path.
Once upon a time, Blair must have believed in the Labour Party. After all, he became its leader; its most successful ever leader in electoral terms. He was Prime Minister of this country for more than 10 years, and he came into Labour alongside Peter Mandelson during the era of Neil Kinnock in the 1980s.
He must, at one time, have thought equality and social justice were what Labour stood for.
He must have believed in trade unions, decent public services, and standing up for the powerless, or why else did he want to be a Labour MP at that period, when these were essential qualities that those people were meant to hold?
But that version of Tony Blair has gone; completely and utterly gone. What has replaced it is something very different. And saying this, the essay that he has published feels unmistakably like Blair himself. He wrote it. It has his familiar style. It's breathless. It has slightly verb-free sentences, which were always a characteristic of his speeches. We had to endure those for years. And this then is his product, and not that of his Global Institute, although I suspect that they had an input. And that institute now spans over 40 countries, as I understand it, with over 1000 employees, and its funding depends heavily on Larry Ellison, the boss of AI company, Oracle.
But it is Blair, and unmistakably Blair, who is arguing for what he calls ‘radical centre politics'. But when you read it, this is not about centrist politics. This is a recipe from the far right. It is purely and unapologetically neoliberal, and frankly, it even questions democracy by implying there is only one choice to be made, and that is the one that Tony Blair is promoting.
His argument is we are living through a new industrial revolution driven by AI. But then he would say that, given who funds him. And he says, we cannot fight this. We must embrace and adapt to it. In other words, we must surrender to it. That is his suggestion.
And in saying so, Blair makes clear that he thinks governments must surrender, perhaps most of all to this AI revolution. Blair says governments must take what AI can offer and use it.
The question is, use it to do what? And on this, he is unambiguous. He says that we are overtaxed, and we spend too much, and we do not spend enough time thinking about how we can expand the economy and create economic freedom. The result is that he is promoting an agenda which is purely neoliberal to its core. Smaller government, smaller taxation, no doubt on the wealthy, and an expansion, via growth that will burn the planet, about which he seems to be indifferent, and the point is obvious. What he is about is promoting this neoliberal agenda, and he's very unclear on specifics, with a few notable exceptions.
Tony Blair is very certain that we spend too much money on people with disabilities. He doesn't say why he knows that is the case. He just says, we can't afford people with disabilities, and we can't afford the increase in the number of people who have those disabilities. He says that is an unaffordable cost when it now imposes a strain, according to him, upon the UK budget, which is bigger than defence spending. Apparently, buying bombs is more important than helping people who aren't able to work. And that tells you everything you might need to know about in whose interests this essay was written.
Blair argues that because the number of disabled claimants is growing, the payments they receive must be cut.
He never asks why those numbers are growing.
He never asks what the consequence of forcing people with disabilities back into work might be.
He just says, people must be forced back into the workforce, whatever the cost to them.
He doesn't ask whether the economic system creates jobs for those people when we know that AI is going to eliminate many of the jobs that people might be able to undertake.
He does not ask why people who are not neurotypical cannot fit into the workplace anymore because it demands neurotypicality as a price of undertaking work.
And he does not ask why people worn out by stress are unable to work. He doesn't seem to have any understanding that the inability to make ends meet created by the neoliberal system that has extracted every ounce of value from people in this country has created the people who are now not able to work. He doesn't get it, and that is the problem.
He thinks everything and everyone must be harnessed to the process of production. That is all that matters to him, and this is what neoliberalism always does. It has only one goal. That goal is increasing the wealth of the wealthy. People are not, in his opinion, agents in their own right, and that is the neoliberal view; they are cogs in the machine.
And at the same time, Blair hints about something else as well. He claims that data can solve the problems of healthcare, including presumably those of people with disabilities. This is an extraordinarily reductionist view of what it means to be human. Blair's model of health treats the human body as a mechanism to be repaired. If you have the right data, he says, you can fix the fault in the body and return the unit, that is the human being to you and me, to production. But human life is not like that, not even remotely. Human life is shaped by poverty, insecurity, inequality, and despair for far too many people in this country, but none of that appears in his analysis because none of it fits in his model.
Blair is also clear that we must spend more money on defence. The thing that he is worried might have less spent on it than spending on disability.
He's equally clear that we should be partnering with the United States, and that is unsurprising. Blair sits on Donald Trump's ‘Board of Peace', and that is the Orwellian-named creation of Trump, which came straight from the pages of 1984. This has nothing to do with peace, of course, it appears to have everything to do with war, and for Blair and that board, defence expenditure is not about security. It is about weaponry that can be used to impose a particular view on the rest of the world. That is why people like Blair are now amongst the greatest threats to human well-being.
But nowhere in this essay does Blair show concern about well-being or inequality. Those words do not appear in the essay. I've checked. But he does show concern for the wealthy and their tax bills. He condemns Andy Burnham and his proposals for an additional capital gains tax charge, which Andy Burnham rightly says will reduce inequality in this country.
But Blair quietly avoids looking at any of the outcomes of the processes he advocates. Instead, he claims Labour has no plan, and on that, at least he is right. We've got to give him some marks. He isn't a total failure. He has some ability as a politician, although it's residual these days.
But he forgets the fact that neoliberal politicians, and all Labour politicians appear to be neoliberal politicians these days, never needed a plan. They always outsourced everything to the market. That's what Blair did, and that's precisely what Keir Starmer is doing, and that is what Blair says they should be doing time and again. And then he criticises them for not having a plan. The fact is, what he's criticising them for is not spelling out clearly enough that what he's going to do is outsource everything to the market, wherever he can. And there is, as a result, no recognition in this document that this will inevitably increase inequality and that there is a plan needed to deal with that. That is again, not on Blair's agenda.
All of this suggests that Tony Blair is a dinosaur. Tony Blairosaurus, if you like. He belongs to another age. He should be extinct. These attitudes should be consigned to the past, but that's not the case.
And let's look at Tony Blair, the man. We know that he has displayed his insecurity for decades. Nothing seems to have dimmed it. His parents sent him off to boarding school, and my guess is that the wound of rejection that happened then has never healed. He has spent his life seeking the approval of others. He's always craved it. It's been glaringly obvious. He's worn that need on his shoulder throughout his career, and now he thinks the world's oligarchs are providing him with that love he's always desired.
They aren't. He's just another useful tool to them. He's deluded about them, as he is about everything else, but he thinks their money and their regard can protect him from the insecurity he fears. That's what he's admitting in this essay, although he doesn't say so, of course; I can read between the lines. And yet the money he now clearly possesses has not brought him what he was looking for. He remains as bewildered as ever.
And there is a curious contradiction at the heart of all of this. Pope Leo XIV published his encyclical on AI this week. We've made a video about that. There will be a link down below, and it says almost the exact opposite of what Tony Blair is now arguing. But Blair famously converted to Catholicism after leaving office. He appears not to have read or understood his own Pope. Perhaps he should, but the fact that he hasn't tells us something about the depth of his commitment to anything beyond himself. He has none. Tony Blair has been corrupted, and his corrupted thinking is dangerous. That is my point.
It threatens the people of this country. It might threaten people around the world because he's involved in an international agenda these days, and most especially Blair's thinking threatens the most vulnerable people in the world, whilst also threatening democracy, which he clearly sees as a means to an end and not an end in itself, and he wants the singular goal of the superiority of AI to trump democracy. That then threatens the Labour Party he once led. And the corruption that AI money and oligarch approval delivers is real in that case, and it is powerful.
In that case, we do have to fight him, however much the odds appear against us, and we have to fight him with ideas. The idea of a politics for people that cares, coupled to an economics of hope, and a commitment to our planet, which Blair clearly wants to let burn, such as his indifference, because he calls for an end to zero policies. We can beat people like Blair and those who fund him, but we can only do that by exercising our convictions, the thing they lack, and that is the weapon they cannot take away from us.
That's what I think. I think we have a chance in this fight. Do you? There's a poll down below. Please leave us your comments. Please like this video if that's what you do. Please do share it. And if you're so inclined as to buy us a coffee, we'll be very grateful.
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[…] Tony Blair. The video to which this Debate Ammunition relates is available here. […]
The only thing ‘radical’ about the centre is that it essentially stops the push and pull between right and left or all political hemispheres which is a constant dialogue. And that is democracy. It is Thatcher who closed this down in British politics with ‘Not one of us’ etc. And then we had Giddens ‘Third Way’ which is what Blair is advocating now. The Third Way is just a sneakier dressed up version of Thatcher’s intolerance. It is the politics of political indolence – Big Tech and the corporations have no time for politics because in their minds, they are sovereign and want to make the exception – themselves. In other words, they just want to help themselves to society, the planet etc., at will. Compromise for others is just alien to them because they are mostly – if not all – monopolists at heart. They talk about competition but actually hate and fear it. In business we might call these people ‘cartels’; in politics we call them Fascists or authoritarians.
A timely post.
As Frank Gallagher from the TV show Shameless used to say: ‘Tony Blair………..fuck ‘im’.
🙂
T A R A!
Might it be that Tony Blair led the Labour party because he wanted to show his plausibilty and importance and because his being leader suited the Labour Party “king makers” of the time?
Might it be that he and, possibly, other leading neo-liberals, are becoming concerned that an increasing proportion of voters can see the extractive nature of a Neoliberal society when they need and seek an enabling society?
It was interesting that David Cameron said at the start that he would only serve one and a half terms as PM.
Whatever else you think of him I suggest that he had looked at Blair & Thatcher and seen what the job had done to them.
As Richard and others have said Blair didn’t address any of the really awkward questions. .<p>
Richard almost too kind to Blair – is he really not corrupt- taking millions of AI money from big tech – to promote AI?<p>
Surprising how seriously the commentariat have taken his far right ‘too much tax, too much spending on welfare, too little on defence’ stuff<p>
Apparently hes never been good on science and tech – little knowledge – coupled with messianic mind set. Not good.
This is a very interesting observation: “the wound of rejection that happened then has never healed” – “Wounded Leaders” – Nick Duffel (& “The Making of Them”) examinations of political outcomes from British public (boarding) schools. I don’t care if very well off parents send their children to such schools to be abused in obvious and not so obvious ways (with obvious and not so obvious outcomes). It would be better if they didn’t – their argument will rotate around choice and erm… “It will be the making of them”.
The problem is when the resulting deformed people intersect with the political system. Blair is a case in point. Cam-moron and Gidiot another etc etc ad nauseum.
We then move back to a 2500 year old discussion: how do we select politicians? what constitutes a good one?(not mad is a rather low bar) and how do we keep ’em honest? Obviously B.Liar is/was unfit to be a town councillor, Brown ideologically corrupted, Starmer an a-political cipher/puppet. If you looked back over the last 46 years you would have a very long list – pointing to contiunues failure to select adequate = +/- functioning normalish human beings without too many wierd ideas and a reasonable level of empathy. How hard could this be? Evidently very.
Sad.
I tried to force myself to read Blair’s article, rather than rely on criticism from the usual suspects. I thought it was a perfect example of thinking inside the box. From regarding it as self-evident that Corbyn was wrong, From treating economics as if it were unrelated to the planet it inhabits. I particularly liked the logic that if you replace 100 semi-skilled workers with a machine, you will need 100 highly skilled workers to run the machine. Of course this will all be solved by the divine saviour of Growth.
🙂
Perhaps Blairosaurus is frightened of losing influence/relevance?
As Nancy MacLean points out in “Democarcy in Chains” right wing think tanks peddle opinions, theories, as god given economic thruths that the non challenging main stream media repeat as ” the obvious reality”. Eg ” the state is too big”.
Blairosuarus is fixated on “machine learning” as the saviour of society. He knows that the real aim is control of the population.
He appears scared of missing out on “machine learning” and so toes the tech boros line, after all who has donated it is alleged $300mn to his foundation? One of the tech bros.
You’ve fallen into a trap MSM media have fallen and are treating this Blair’s ‘intervention’ as an essay written by an ex-PM, politician and some sort of an intellectual. But it is nothing of a sort. It’s an ‘intervention’ by a lobbyst. We shouldn’t be discssing the contents of what he wrote – they are irrelevant – but who payed him and why he made this ‘intervention’ now.
Majority of public doesn’t believe a world he says anyway. Polling shows that out of ex-PMs they only trust Truss less (they even trust Johnson more). Reading the polling, you can see that most trusted ex-PMs are the ones who haven’t gone into the lobbying business and US speaking circuit. Which makes absolute sense. I’ll listen to what Major, Brown or May have to say, but the others… It’s just (paid) noise really.
I reallt do not think I have fallen into that trap.
I have made very clear who he is lobbying for.
Interesting that Derry Irvine, Blair’s head of chambers, asked ‘which party’ Tony intended to represent when Blair announced his intention to run for Parliament.
In fact, Lewis Minkin’s book, The Blair Supremacy, described Blair’s leadership as a “managerial coup” intended to subjugate the party to the leader’s whim rather than democratize it and the Labour Left were to be sealed in a tomb.
Blair was never a LP supporter and has not changed but is simply increasingly overt about his true position.
Far too kind to Blair. He was always rotten and menacious and clearly a right wing entryist. Not so much the genius of Blair but the sheer desperation and naivety of a party to make him their leader after many years in opposition. Each of his so called progressive initiatives come loaded with stinging cavaets.
My only disagreement is with your too-generous assumption that Blair once believed in Labour values. His government was elected in 1997 by people like me, who were desperate to see the back of Thatcherism and hoped against hope that his suspiciously Right-leaning ‘New Labour’ manifesto would morph into something more reliably Socialist once he got into power. We were wrong.
I realise that may have been generous
I was told so before publication, in fact
Sorry Richard, as others have observed and you have admitted you were too generous.
I think he used Labour as a vessel to get where he is today. He never believed in any Labour values, does he have any, other than greed ?
Margaret Thatcher was asked in 2002 what was her greatest achievement. Thatcher replied: “Tony Blair and New Labour. We forced our opponents to change their minds.”
Thatcherism’s greatest achievement – Economic Sociology & Political Economy
https://economicsociology.org/2018/03/19/thatcherisms-greatest-achievement/
I think that speak volumes and is also the reason Starmer may get two years but not much further. People saw through him but he wasn’t a Tory. We won’t be fooled again.
Sounds similar to a song.