After the last 21 months it is hard to say this, but it is unambiguously true that at this moment we are facing the biggest crisis that this country has had to address in more than eighty years.
You would not know it from the reaction of the Prime Minister. Standing next to one of his leading advisers last night, who said we must limit social contact wherever possible, the Prime Minister advised that we should party. I hope that one day he stands trial for the deaths that will result from giving that advice.
But where, in all this, is the Chancellor? California, is the answer to that. As Pippa Crerer in the Daily Mirror notes:
Treasury insiders said the Chancellor was on a long-planned official trip to the US where he was meeting industry leaders from the tech and investment sectors.
She added:
They insisted he was in contact with his staff back home "all the time" and would be calling some UK hospitality businesses today to hear their concerns.
As she also noted:
Mr Sunak, who is understood to own a holiday home in Santa Monica, regularly holidays in the West Coast where the family are believed to have friends.
So, Sunak is on a jolly at best, or a holiday, as likely.
Meanwhile, the country faces an economic disaster. It is well known that Sunak is resisting any further expenditure to tackle the Covid crisis. He was even reluctant to fund booster jabs. But what we know is that many in this country will wisely listen to the advice of Chris Whitty and ignore that of the Prime Minister.
This is the worst possible outcome in the current scenario. The government may say that it will not impose a lockdown, but people will be locking down anyway. It is widely reported that at least 40% of hospitality bookings are now being cancelled, and the music industry is reporting that over a quarter of all ticket holders are not now turning up. These ratios can only increase in the coming weeks. But, despite this, the government is at this moment being as wholly inappropriate as it was at the time of the March budget in 2020, when it announced a feeble range of Covid support measures.
When commenting upon that package live on Radio 2 at the time I suggested that Sunak would be back at the Despatch Box very soon because what he had said was wholly inadequate. This time things are worse. So far he has announced nothing at all.
Of all the options available to Sunak this do-nothing approach is easily the most unwise. Having invested quite literally hundreds of billions of pounds into keeping as much of the UK economy going as possible during the course of the Covid crisis to date Sunak is now threatening to throw away all the advantages that this investment bought. Given the parlous and indebted state of very large parts of UK business it will only take a relatively small tipping point for much of its collapse, and that is what Sunak is creating. His current, utterly negligent indifference to the threat to UK business in the face of the biggest pandemic threat it has had to contemplate to date is quite staggering. To describe it as a scorched earth policy to rid the economy of what he and his friends on the far right of economics would cool zombie companies is to be kind to it. The reality is that it is simply the act of someone who does not care.
There is, though, much more to this policy than the impact it has upon business survival. Business survival is also vital for the preservation of jobs. Very large numbers of people will now not only be living in fear with regard to Covid, but also with regards to their future economic well-being. Sunak might be married to one of the richest women in the world, but most people have no savings. This is, very obviously, something that he does not comprehend.
There is something else that he also does not comprehend. I have no doubt that he, like most of his political persuasion, believes in the microeconomics theory of the firm, where each entity is economically insignificant and can be replaced by a new market entrant at any point in time, not least because everyone has, according to this theory, access to capital to promote any viable business that they might conceive of. As a consequence, according to this theory, business failure is not a problem. It does instead make space for new opportunists. However, this theory is wrong.
As I argued here recently, very large parts of business are macroeconomic in their nature. In other words, they are too big to fail. Even they, though, are dependent upon a myriad of smaller macroeconomic entities to deliver the goods and services that they supply. These entities are not independent of each other. They are instead integrated into a web where very often the whole is dependent upon the functioning of each part. The apocryphal story that for the sake of a washer (or more likely these days, a microchip) a car cannot be made resonates precisely because it is based on fact.
We have had the starkest evidence of this of late. Supply chain collapse has become a feature of this pandemic. What Sunak is seeking to achieve is mass supply chain failure whilst simultaneously creating mass hardship. As a consequence, his current inaction threatens the whole economy.
Boris Johnson may well be guilty of crimes against humanity in this country, in my opinion. Many of the deaths that we will suffer next year will be his responsibility, and his alone. But if, as seems very likely, Sunak lets the economy crash then that will also be his responsibility and the cost in terms of human suffering will be, if not as great, very considerable. It is impossible to overstate the malevolence of these people.
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Richard,
As a life-long lefty, I have often struggled to understand the motivation of conservatives (politicians and voters). Is it malevolence or just selfishness. The common justifications that you hear, like a rising tide floats all boats and the trickle-down theories of the Chicago school seem to give convenient cover to the underlying selfishness that is at the heart of well heeled asset-rich (mostly) southern Tory voter. The malevolence and the acquisitiveness of the very wealthy class represented by the likes of Sunak gets a free ride on the back of this.
Struggle no more – it is selfishness and ignorance.
Selfishness and ignorance are symptoms of politician in Government who do not actually believe in Government or democracy.
Make no mistake – they are there to break it and break us,
Malevolence? Maybe it’s that they just don’t care whether people (or businesses) survive or die. Its also deliberate ignorance – not prepared to ask why are we doing so much worse than NZ, Aus ,S Korea, Taiwan, Japan – and could we do better.
Wes Streeting of Labour, terrified of being charged with wanting to cancel Christmas said we have got to ‘co-exist with the virus’. Just becasue his heart is in the right place doesnt excuse his actions being little better better than BJ/Sunak – almost as many will die..
As a life long lefty I am very optimistic with respect to the current situation. Having observed this over the past seventy years I have witnessed the growth of free market economics from Thatcher to the present dumb incumbent at No 10.
Throughout this time the right wing together with their media buddies have been infecting the the National mindset with their monetarist ideology and repression of the working people.
One benefit to have surfaced through the current pandemic is the destruction of the person centric nature of the right wing and a dawning recognition by the masses of the need for communitarianism, witness the restrictions that people are putting on themselves to protect others despite the exhortations of Johnson to think solely of themselves.
Hopefully, this together with the shallow callousness of the rights ideology will be the breaking point for current capitalism and we will have at the end of it all a more caring and balanced approach to one another and the end of the “Capitalism and Greed” mentality so beloved by the current Prime Minister and his cronies.
Re: Chrisk. Let’s hope you’re right. And thanks for pointing towards the prospect of hope in the midst of this mess. Season’s greetings and a good New Year to all on here.
Illicit parties or not, I’m not bothered to be honest.
Your post just got me reflecting rather angrily TBH about the last nearly 12 years of Tory mis-rule and harshness. Years that have blighted my life and my family, but made things much worse for others. It’s not your fault Richard BTW – I don’t have to come here – but I wandered down this very dark alley…………..
The other day three of us public sector workers were talking about the cost of living, dreading Christmas etc., and wondering how people with less than us even cope.
In conclusion I forgive voters for tolerating Tory cruelty, falling for the blame game and pointing their fingers at those the Tory party tell them to, and even forgive them for getting het up about a party or two here and there (but c’mon – what did you expect, huh?).
I can even forgive the Labour party for its cack handling of any effective opposition.
But what I cannot forgive is ANY Tory politician from 2010 to the present day – back bench or front bench – who have presided over the misery that they have poured over these lands these last years.
They have gone too far I’m afraid, just too far for me and plainly having enormous fun at our expense whist they’ve done this.
Shame on them I say – but it’s not enough. In conclusion none of them of worth a light as far as I’m concerned. You cannot empathise with a brick wall and expect anything back.
There are simply no excuses for austerity, BREXIT and the handling of the pandemic. None of them – and I speak of all of them and their twisted view of the world – are to be considered safe and immune from comment and right good bollocking in the vicinity of my person – I can swear by that if nothing else.