I decided to publish our MMT Source Book this morning, and overnight, a query came in from Australia that would have made the cut if it had arrived on time. This was it, from a correspondent there:
Your message appears to be reaching far and wide.
What if we used taxes or superannuation to control inflation, not just interest rates? - ABC News
The one point against MMT that is inferred in the above article:
"The central problem is that fiscal expansion is generally more politically popular than contraction, which generates a bias towards expansion."
- This is especially true when an election is looming.
- Politicians can't be trusted to put the national interest above their political interests (snouts in the trough).
- Another argument is that it takes too long to change tax rates because such changes have to be passed by parliament.
Is there a MMT way of controlling political self interest, something constantly on display here in Australia in exchange for political donations and campaign funding.
The Reserve Bank's 'independent' control of interest rates does prevent political self-interest, but as I think you make clear the current 'business' model economics leaves the will of the people in the back seat and taken for a ride to who knows where.
What I do really like about MMT using taxes to control inflation is that tax rates can vary according to income. I believe top tax rates in the late 70's - early 80's in Australia, UK and the USA were all >= 70% and a single wage earner could still buy a family home.
I added the highlight in italics because that is the core question I am being asked, and it really did not take long to deal with this one, as the argument that politicians cannot be trusted with fiscal policy is, in my opinion, one of the strangest claims in modern economics.
We already trust politicians with:
-
Creating laws
-
Managing budgets of hundreds of billions of pounds or dollars, and maybe more
- Managing;
- education
- health
- setting taxes
- broader fiscal policy
- providing a social safety net, and more
-
Declaring war
But we are told they cannot be trusted to manage interest rates to supposedly manage demand within the economy to deliver agreed inflation targets, assuming such a thing is possible in most situations, which evidence suggests it is not.
Instead, that power is handed to unelected central bankers whose primary tool is the setting of a single interest rate to penalise borrowers and reward those with wealth.
That is presented as “neutral”, but it is, in fact, a deeply political policy choice.
The theory behind interest rate control in thi wya is profoundly flawed. It assumes always, and forever, that inflation is a purely monetary phenomenon, which it is not.
It assumes that all inflation arises from excess demand due to an overheating domestic economy, which is rarely the case. External supply shocks and the resulting market price manipulation by commodity trading are now the usual explanations for the inflation we have.
And the idea that this must be done independently of government is evidence of the success of the far-right, anti-democratic trope called public choice theory.
The reality of economic management is that it is about exercising judgment in the face of considerable uncertainty. The outsourcing of interest rate management to a central bank instead suggests that it is simply a mechanical exercise of lever-pulling in the face of probability, when it is nothing of the sort.
As a result, what we can see as a result of recent failures is that economic management by supposedly independent central banks has not worked, and yet this myth that doing this is necessary because politicians cannot manage the economic policy of a country in a way that would mean that just one organisation has its foot on both the accelerator and brake, rather than the two we have at present, persists.
In that case, it is right to suggest, as my correspondent did, that taxes can be a much more targeted and equitable way to control inflation than interest rates. Rates punish borrowers indiscriminately. Tax can be directed at excess consumption, speculation, windfall gains or high incomes.
And, as for political self-interest, no system removes it entirely. The question is how accountability is created. Central bank “independence” does not remove politics; it simply relocates political power into institutions that are less democratically accountable.
Meanwhile, it is worth noting that historically, much higher top tax rates have coexisted with rising living standards, strong public services, and greater housing affordability. That alone should make people question many current economic assumptions.
MMT asks us to rethink most of what we think we know about economics. That is why it is important. That is why it is worth having a look at this morning's download.
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The thing that puzzles me is why it is supposedly so politically difficult for politicians to embrace raising taxes on wealth accumulation, when there are so many more low income voters than high income ones.
Of course it has little to do with votes and everything to do with the corrupting effect of money in politics. Donations to parties (advance payment on policy implementation) and bungs/job promises for the retiring/defeated politicians. Only the wealthy can offer those.
Get private money out of politics. Ban the patronage, ban the bungs, ban the sinecures. It’s got to obscene levels.
Then perhaps in-office and aspiring politicians might listen to the voters more than to the donors.
You are right to pull out Public Choice Theory (PCT) as the culprit. Talk about the the teapot calling the kettle black. I worked 20 years in the private sector (catering and retailing) and I can tell you that in that sector you have people working for themselves – against company policy, directors, shareholders, customers – twisting and gaming systems and rules for their benefit/bonuses.
To hear James Buchanan talk this only happens in the public sector but I can tell you that it is a complete lie. The private sector is made out to be rational and controlled – and as we know it ain’t. But the public sector is more accountable when it gets things wrong, you are right.
But what is really cunning and deliberate about PCT is that it breaks the relationship between the common people (the ruled) and the ruler.
PCT basically says that the ruler can ignore the masses they rule over but at the same time seek their consent to be ruled by them. Yet, that consent comprises of delivering what the masses want – promise made at election time etc. PCT therefore denies that there is any benefit to that shared self interest and leaves the door open for the powerful few to influence the ruler instead and ignore the masses.
This is why privatisation has gone wrong; why industrial policy is a mess; why AI is creeping in; why incomes are falling; why we left the EU and why we are in the grips – right now – of Fascism, and much else that is wrong.
PCT is the denial of politics – and politics should be the art of balancing competing claims about reality.
Thank you
Although the BoE seems a special case – there is an issue with ‘arms length bodies’ in general . The executive has permeated the NHS UKHSA BBC etc – while pretending they are ‘independent ‘ public bodies.<p>
Maybe BoE could still operate at arms length – if it helped transparency – and if its remit was changed- and got rid of the ridiculous ‘interest rates are the way to control imported inflation’. It could maybe have targets for unemployment , inequality of asset s and incomes etc etc.<p>
But our public sphere seems to have lost the ability to even discuss these things – cant question BoE independence, monetarism, caps on asset prices, rents etc etc.<p>
Decades ago when I was in the civil service – there was public talk about how to bring expertise into government – maybe to separate longer term economic strategy from short term fiscal management etc etc. Now only Richard and other political economists raise these issues – but very much censored by BBC and billionaire media.<p>
Fed up<p>
Much to agree with
Love this answer ,a brilliant rebuff.
Only thing I would add. The typical member of a central bank is not only male,pale and stale but comes from a background linked the to financial sector.
This has to change too.