This Tweet uses data from Lord Ashcroft's polls:
This is the seat forecast:
Let's be clear: it is just a poll.
Let's also be clear: Labour supporters need to realise that, in many cases, they are now going to be wasting their votes.
If they want to beat Reform, they have to shift their thinking, and now is the time to start doing so because, outside London, they're now toast.
Thanks for reading this post.
You can share this post on social media of your choice by clicking these icons:
There are links to this blog's glossary in the above post that explain technical terms used in it. Follow them for more explanations.
You can subscribe to this blog's daily email here.
And if you would like to support this blog you can, here:
Buy me a coffee!
This even before the fallout from the attack on Iran – a country run by an unpleasant regime but which poses exactly zero threat to the UK.
If LINO had any sense (it doesn’t) it would take the PR route. May will show how things will look in 3 years or so time.
I sincerely hope they are obliterated in May, but given PR in e.g. Scotland this looks unlikely.
LINO delenda est.
The Greens are viewed as a joke for those like me left of centre. It’s just hard to vote for them.
More fool you then.
And you would rather vote for Labour?
You do know it is heading far right now, don’t you?
ex-Labour MPs such as Lloyd Russel Moyle could have been classed as “left-of-centre” – oh what is this I see? Mr Russell-Moyle has… joined the green party. Oh!
One has to question how far Labour support will hold in London. At the last General Election the Green Party can second in 19 parliamentary constituencies. Locally they are not helping themself when the central party (right wing) can overrule the local party (left wing).
As an instance, since a disputed leadership elections in Southwark last summer seven former Labour Councillors have resigned – four of whom defecting to Green…so far.
Agreed
Their last bastion may yet fall.
It should also tell Labour of the dangers of FPTP.
Tories with 3% of the vote more than Labour, get 100 seats more.
Reform with 5% of the vote more than Labour, get 176 seats more.
On this one poll, Labour are fighting for votes on several fronts. Against Reform, the Greens, SNP, and Plaid. Battles they will either lose, or a split vote lets the fascist in.
Farage as PM, Braverman as Inequalities Minister, and King Canute Tice as Energy Minister. All it needs is for Liz Truss to join them and be made Chancellor, and we have the four horseman of the apocalypse running the show.
If Labour do not smell the coffee now they never will.
Ha!
The joy of democracy, eh?
Democracy, what democracy? Surely you can’t mean first past the post?
The Greens could try to form a rainbow coalition!!!
Lord Ashcroft Polls, hmmm – ‘we asked 100 skydivers would they use a parachute, they said’ ………………