We learned last night that more than one hundred Labour MPs seem to think that the only way we can pay for child poverty is by taxing gambling - but not by enough to stop it.
This makes no sense at all. We need to tackle child poverty and the curse of gambling, but not link them in the way that this will do.
The implication of this proposal is that we cannot relieve poverty unless people keep gambling, which is quite absurd when so many suffer from the consequences of gambling addiction.
The truth is, of course, that we can end the two-child benefit cap and tackle the curse of gambling. As modern monetary theory shows, we could simply create the money to do this, and doing so would pay for itself. I explained all this in a video published earlier this year, which seems worth sharing again this morning:
This was the transcript:
If you ask the average politician about benefits, they will, in some way or other, imply that we are pouring money into a black hole and we've got to cut them, because that's the only way in which the government can balance its books, and apparently, the government balancing its books is vital for economic growth.
All of that is complete and utter nonsense. The actual reality is that making benefit payments in the UK is one of the best ways that we have available to us to stimulate growth in this country. If Labour only understood that, it would never have got itself into the mess it did around personal independence payments. They would never have had to fall out with their own party. They would never have looked like the fools that they now do. But they were totally confused by neoliberal myths. So let's talk about the economics of benefits.
Let's be clear. The benefits that are paid by the UK government do almost entirely go to poorer households, those who are in the bottom half of the income distribution overall.
Yes, some of them do go to people who have reasonable incomes because they are in situations where they need those benefits to be paid to them. For example, people who do have personal independence payments, who can work, but who nonetheless need to be assisted with the extra costs that their disability creates.
Nonetheless, though, however it is looked at, the vast majority of the benefit payments in the UK go to people on lower incomes. And if there's one thing that we know about people in the UK who are on lower incomes, it is that they have very few savings. Only 9% of UK wealth is owned by people in the bottom half of the income distribution. And as a consequence, what we know is that the vast majority of the money that they get month in, month out is spent by them and virtually straight away.
But that doesn't mean to say that the money that we pay them in benefits is wasted. Far from it, in fact, because the reality is that the moment the people who receive these benefits get them, they begin to spend them, and they become someone else's income. The benefits that a person receives immediately begin to support somebody's job, somebody's business, or somebody's services. And understanding this is absolutely vital, because if we understand that benefit payments immediately become the income of people who are working inside the economy, what we can see is that benefit payments don't just support those who need them, but they support our businesses as well.
And what is more, they also support tax receipts because the moment that a person spends the money they receive by way of benefits, they'll do so with a business that will probably pay VAT as a consequence. It'll also pay corporation tax. And that business will then pay its staff, who will, as a result, pay income tax and national insurance. So the benefit payment gives rise to an almost immediate, significant tax flow back to the government. The money isn't lost. It's fueling government revenue.
But this isn't a process that happens once, because of course, once the staff who are paid by the business who receives the income that the benefit recipient had, have their net pay at the end of the month, they'll go out and start spending it, because they, most likely, will still be in that group of people in the UK who save very little. So they too will now be boosting the UK economy as a consequence, in effect, of the benefit payments which were paid to the person who paid it to the business that employed them, that then provided them with the opportunity to spend, and so the cycle goes on.
We do, in fact, create a virtuous cycle, which economists call the multiplier effect because this money goes round and round and round and round; okay, always in ever smaller amounts, because tax is paid on each and every cycle, but nonetheless, first of all, there's a boost, and a continuing boost to real incomes as a consequence of the benefits payment made to the first recipient, but secondly, tax is paid on every occasion when the money goes around in this cycle. And as a consequence, it could, if the cycle kept running, actually return to the government, all that it's spent by way of the benefits payment.
Benefit payments aren't, therefore, money poured into a black hole. They're just a way of actually generating economic growth for vastly more people than the recipient in the first instance, and also a way of guaranteeing that the government will, as a consequence of that growth, which is created as a result of the benefits payment, get as much back in tax as they probably spent.
Except, and here I have to add a caveat, except if the person who receives the money, which was originally generated as a consequence of the benefit payment to the first recipient who went on and spent it, if the person who receives that income then saves it. The person who saves the money they get as a result of the cycle that I've just described breaks the chain. They stop money from going back into the economy. They stop the cycle working. They stop there being new income for somebody else because they've kept the money for themselves. They've turned this live money, which is creating good things in the economy, into dead money, which is precisely what savings are; they're money put aside, and it's dead thereafter.
Now, neoliberals don't describe things this way. They say that we should, if we want to grow the economy, let the wealthy get as wealthy as possible, and then their money will slowly trickle down into the economy and that this will, as a result, make everybody richer. There's absolutely no evidence to support this absurd claim, because if you are rich and you get some more income, which is what the neoliberals say we should ensure that the rich do get, you save it. And when you save your money, nothing trickles down. All you do is just turn it into yet more dead money.
And that's what neoliberalism is all about. It's about capital accumulation for a few at cost to the many.
But if we start injecting money instead into the economy with those who are amongst the poorest benefit recipients, what we can guarantee is that we get the maximum payback on that money because it will circulate many more times before the wealthy get their hands on it, put it aside, and break the cycle of growth, which it gives rise to.
Far from wealth trickling down, the truth is that wealth in our economy floods upwards, and it is the accumulation of wealth by the wealthiest that actually prevents the reality that growth could be much larger than it is in the UK if only they didn't put money aside.
Now, what does that mean? We need to stop the wealthy from hoarding is the actual truth of the matter. Far from money being wasted on making payments to those in receipt of benefits, as most of the wealthy would claim, where money is wasted in the UK economy is by letting the wealthy have it, who then don't want to use it.
And that should be glaringly obvious. Leaving money with somebody who doesn't want to use it can never create new wealth because nobody has it to spend. So as a consequence, what we need to do is, and let's be blunt about this, tax the wealthy more, redistribute to those on lower incomes, and as a consequence, that dead money, which the wealthy had, which we've now put back into circulation as a consequence of taxing them so that we can then manage the consequences of giving those on benefits more money to spend, that process will fuel growth.
Giving money to the wealthy won't.
Giving money to the poorest in our communities will.
Benefits are the way to make our economy stronger.
They're not about charity.
They're not about feeding black holes. They are literally about how our economy is kept running.
And it's the greed and ignorance of neoliberalism that has fueled the imaginations of politicians who actually believe all the nonsense that it has to say, that is holding us back.
We can beat the problem of low growth and a stagnant economy, but we can only do it by taxing the wealthy more and by providing more income to those who do not have enough because they will spend it, and that will fuel our economy, employment, growth, and investment.
And what is more, and let's be clear about this, the government would even balance its books because the money would circulate for longer before it ended up in somebody's savings account, and as a result, government revenues as the proportion of GDP were rise, not because we increased tax rates, but simply because the money was allowed to circulate for longer.
The economics of benefit payments are the reverse of what we are normally told, but that's always true in macroeconomics, because macroeconomics normally runs the other way round from microeconomics, which is the economics of the household. And far too many of our politicians believe that the economics of the household are what should be applied to the management of the state.
They're not. If we only understood that if we feed money into the bottom of our economy, we get the maximum growth rate, but if we feed it into the top, we get the lowest possible growth rate, then we would have a better economy, a better society, and better off people. Why don't politicians want that? I wish I knew.
Taking further action
If you want to write a letter to your MP on the issues raised in this blog post, there is a ChatGPT prompt to assist you in doing so, with full instructions, here.
One word of warning, though: please ensure you have the correct MP. ChatGPT can get it wrong.
Comments
When commenting, please take note of this blog's comment policy, which is available here. Contravening this policy will result in comments being deleted before or after initial publication at the editor's sole discretion and without explanation being required or offered.
Thanks for reading this post.
You can share this post on social media of your choice by clicking these icons:
There are links to this blog's glossary in the above post that explain technical terms used in it. Follow them for more explanations.
You can subscribe to this blog's daily email here.
And if you would like to support this blog you can, here:
Grim article about gambling in todays Guardian
The Blair legacy
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2025/sep/26/addicts-slot-machines-gambling-uk
It needs closing as far as is possible
Agreed, entirely.
These things are evil.
A good post thanks. We are mostly on the same page but I would have a slightly different emphasis.
Yes, we should tax the wealthy more to redistribute wealth. Yes this will boost the economy, as you explain, because money will circulate for longer. And that’s good.
But, to me, the problem of low growth and a stagnant economy is separate from the need to tax wealth. Low growth, a stagnant economy and, I would add, low productivity, are because the government persistently under spends thereby chronically starving our essential public services of resources. The government could and should stop austerity and spend more.
But, and here is where I disagree, I don’t think we can ONLY do it by taxing the wealthy more. As you clearly explain the government does not have to tax to spend. So, desirable as taxing the wealthy is, the government doesn’t have to do so to spend. It is, however, essential to tax the wealthy to redistribute wealth and decrease inequality, because otherwise the wealthy garner too much power through their wealth (a position we are in now).
Both more spending and taxing the wealthy are essential. BUT they are not directly related. Now this might seem like pedantic nit picking, but to me, it potentially conflates two separate issues and causes confusion. There is way to much confusion and disinformation already about the false neoliberal trope. So please excuse me if I try to minimise any confusion.
They are related, to some degree. The fact is that the capacity of the wealthy to save does impact the multiplier effect of government spending, and that is where the relationship is to be found, and why we need to reduce wealth.
Thanks for calling this out as the nonsense it is.
We tax tobacco to discourage use. We would rejoice if the tax take went to zero because health would improve.
So with gambling…. or so it should be.
Thanks
A gambling tax, like a tobacco tax, still leaves a hardcore of users and these are the ones that need the most help but are addictively least able to help themselves.
These industries should be subject to the ‘polluter pays’ principle and all the externalities caused by their operations, the detrimental emotional, financial and health consequences of individuals, should be addressed and fully funded by the industries concerned.
Some 25 years ago I did a Social Policy module on the history of the welfare state. It was fascinating and I remember learning the Victorian concept of the deserving and undeserving poor and the belief that many of the poor were somehow responsible for their state. Beveridge came along and for many years this concept was forgotten and we had a country that believed in helping those who fir whatever reason were currently unable to help themselves. I have since 2010 watched our country go backwards and now we are back to Victorian thinking that the poor are responsible for their state, and that despite rich getting richer, we can no longer afford to help them. It makes me sad. For reasons not of my making I grew up on benefits in the 70s/early 80s It was tough, but nothing like what it would be today.
Much to agree with
What a wonderful way to prevent exploitation by funding it from exploitation!
Markets are so perfect aren’t they, so circular? The gamblers are robbed by the gambling networks and then punished with taxes for gambling by those who allow the lying adverts and derestricted marketing – your MP.
The gambling industry (Ha! – ‘industry’!) is just a derivatives market akin to those in the City. My view about derivatives is that they only exist because what used to be traded legitimately either no longer exists or is in short supply (also, likely to be monopolised these days). Derivative markets then are an indicator of decline, because having nothing useful to churn over, it’s reduced to side bets at the margins. Basically derivative markets make money out of doing nothing useful at all except adding to risk and instability. Just like the betting industry which too is a derivative market in football results for example. The whole thing is detached from reality.
I cannot think of a more perfect cycle of exploitation than this. And to think, it comes from our government which shows us just how venal our democracy has become.
A question to ask any “black hole” enthusiasts…
“Could you just explain a bit more about the black hole please? Where exactly does the benefit money GO, what does it get spent on? (say, the approx £400pcm that is Universal credit for a single job seeker, plus their Local Housing Allowance – LHA rates for appropriate accomodation are available online)”.
Then listen carefully to the answer, and when they begin to stumble, help them out with the contents of the above video.
Then ask, “if we REMOVE that money by cutting the benefit, who will be affected?”
It might be a useful discussion.