Trump can still make a full term, but I can’t see Johnson fighting another general election

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It would be easy to be euphoric this morning. And there is ample reason not to be. The US has sacked a fascist. But let's not forget we have a populist Prime Minister who has shamelessly copied Trump here in the UK.

There are many reasons to be profoundly concerned about the state of UK politics this morning. I will be covering some in blogs that will follow.

The state of our economy remains dire.

The Covid crisis is still real.

The corruption that our government is willing to embrace is staggering.

But there are also signs of this government failing, as well.

Take this story, published this morning:

As the BBC notes:

The government is to spend £396m to support poor children and their families in England, following a campaign by footballer Marcus Rashford.

A winter grant scheme, to be run by councils, will provide support with food and bills, and a holiday food and activities programme is to be expanded.

Rashford said it would improve the lives of nearly 1.7 million children.

The move represents a significant climbdown for the government, which had argued Universal Credit was enough.

Think about that for a moment.

First, the good news. Marcus Rashford has won again. I celebrate that fact. Not for him, although I am pleased because he is a force for good. I celebrate that for all the children who may benefit.

Second, I am pleased that this shows money is not an obstacle right now, and it never was.

Third, this shows the government can be defeated here too.

Fourth, and as importantly, I am delighted to note the scale of the anger that this will release amongst Tories. Not because of the policy. They all knew that this was the right thing to do. That anger will, instead, be because they were made to go out and defend the indefensible, yet again, because a populist Prime Minister, intent on creating false enemies to justify his vainglorious position, made them do it.

They will be furious.

And there will only be so long a period during which they will put up with that.

The U-turns keep coming. And each is a nail in Johnson's coffin.

I simply cannot see him being a full-term prime minister. Trump, astonishingly, will do four years. But I still cannot see Johnson fighting another general election. The Tories will be rid of him long before then.