I’ve written a new report under the above title on behalf of PCS — the union that represents more than 80% of HM Revenue & Customs’ staff.
As the executive summary says:
The UK has been in recession, and may well be in recession again soon. Through no fault of its own, the income of our government has collapsed whilst its obligations have increased. A gap between government income and expenditure of up to £175 billion a year has emerged as a result. This though is not a spending crisis: this is an income crisis.
This report argues that the scale of that income crisis is being increased as a result of policies being pursued by HMRC. Those policies were created before the onset of recession. They have two aims. The first is to cut over time the number of staff engaged by HMRC by 25,000 — 17,000 have already left. The second policy is to close many of the local tax offices from which HMRC used to undertake its work in local communities. Over 200 offices have either closed already, are about to close, or are under threat of closure. It is fair to say that all offices are under scrutiny. When the programme is complete some people in the UK will live more than 50 miles from their nearest tax office, making it impossible for many of them to turn to this natural source of help and advice when seeking to fulfil their obligation to pay tax. In addition, HMRC are about to press ahead with the closure or severe reduction of its drop-in enquiry centre facility, which has previously provided a local and immediate tax advice service for both members of the public and tax professionals.
As this report also notes, too many people do not pay the tax due by them in the UK. HMRC have estimated the ‘tax gap’ in the UK — the difference between the tax they think is owed and the tax they actually assess — to be about £40 billion a year. We argue that this dramatically underestimates the total tax gap, particularly with regard to tax evasion.
To data previously published by the TUC which estimated total UK tax avoidance at £25 billion we now add an estimate of £70 billion for tax evaded within the UK. We can provide detailed and precise workings for this sum and also outline why the estimates of this sum produced by HMRC and the National Fraud Authority inevitably understate this figure.
When the total outstanding debts now owing to HMRC are added to these two sums, which when last estimated was £28 billion, we suggest the total tax gap in the UK is now likely to exceed £120 billion.
It is very obvious that the UK cannot afford this tax gap. It is equally obvious that if investment were made in additional resources for HMRC then this tax gap could and would be substantially reduced.
In arguing this we make the following points:
Recommendation 1: The basis for estimating tax avoidance should be revised to use a definition widely recognised in society and which correctly reflects areas of continuing policy concern as well as those abuses making use solely of artificial arrangements.
Recommendation 2: HM Revenue & Customs should be required to prepare estimates of evasion of direct taxes on a “top down” basis, as they do for indirect taxes.
Recommendation 3: H M Revenue & Customs should recognise that their existing bottom up methodology for calculating the tax gap for direct taxes will inevitably seriously under-estimate the size of that estimate.
Recommendation 4: HM Revenue & Customs should recommence publication of the many statistics on taxation produced by the former Inland Revenue which have ceased to be available since its demise, the lack of which make objective appraisal of the performance of the tax system hard to achieve.
Recommendation 5: HM Revenue & Customs should engage more staff to tackle tax avoidance and tax evasion.
Recommendation 6: HM Revenue & Customs must on occasion select cases for investigation without consideration of potential tax yield, and make clear that this happens to protect revenues from those on lower levels of earnings.
Recommendation 7: More staff should be engaged to scrutinise tax repayments before they take place.
Recommendation 8: More staff should be engaged to recover tax debt owing, and limits on sums to be pursued for collection should be lowered considerably.
Recommendation 9: The local office closure programme being pursued by HM Revenue & Customs should not just be stopped, it should be reversed. Tax must be seen to be collected in the community.
It is our firm believe that adopting these policies would highlight the true extent of the UK Tax Gap, provide the data needed to appraise progress in tackling it, and be cost effective methods of achieving that goal for al the reasons this report outlines.
I’ll be featuring more of what I say in this report over the next day or so.
The key issue is a simple one though: why, at a time when we need every penny of tax revenue we can get are HM Revenue & Customs doing everything possible to increase inefficiency in the tax system.
And remember — it’s not just me or PCS who are saying this. So too are the Treasury Select Committee. And I’d just point out that it’s not just PCS who are affiliated to the Tax Justice Network, so too are the Revenue & Customs' group of the First Division Association of senior civil servants.
The Treasury select committee said, for example this week:
[HMRC’s Chief Executive] further that there was “lots of evidence” to show that HMRC’s anti-avoidance strategy was working. This is though not reflected in the Annual Report which records that it is too early to give an assessment of HMRC’s efforts to increase tax and National Insurance contributions actually received relative to the amounts that should be received.
And to reflect what I wrote on the lack of data and transparency from HMRC they also wrote:
As we have also previously noted, there is a similar lack of transparency in HMRC’s Annual Report on tax avoidance. In all, the Annual Report records no milestones against three out of the four [key] performance indicators .
Two reports happening to be in agreement does not say we’re both right. But I’ll venture on this occasion that we are.
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I support much of this – especially recommendations 5-9.
Let’s remember though that it is this Government led by Gordon Brown who have insisted on the staff reductions and office closures. It’s unfair and unreasonable to blame HMRC for a situation foisted upon them.
In 2004 I was one of those invited to 11 Downing Street (as a rep of ICAEW) to be told about the new DOTAS regime and that it was intended to be the start of a sea-change.
I was one of many to point out (to Gus O’Donnell) during that visit that closing offices and cutting staff numbers was going to be counter-productive. To reduce the incidence of tax evasion the public needs to hear more people they know sharing stories of how they’ve been caught and penalised.
The points alluded to in your recommendations (5-9) were made back in 2004 and remain true today. Then, as now, Mr Brown refused to listen.
@Mark Lee
Absolutely right Mark
Never think I’m a slavish fan of New Labour
I’m not!
Targets for measuring the success of the anti tax avoidance strategy are difficult to devise. Getting the DOTAS regime to work effectively so that aggressive schemes were closed quickly was a key plank of the strategy and we estimated we protected about £14Bn tax since the regime started. DOTAS helped to change the culture of avoidance but there are still fundamental problems in the tax system which make challenge to tax avoidance difficult to succeed. For example, at the micro level, a win on one case cannot be automatically applied to a similar case. Each case has to be painstakingly prepared for trial using scarce resources then at the door of the Court the appellant withdraws and pays the tax which was always due. But the root of the problem is that we have a tax system which allows avoidance to happen. Until we have a tax system which is proof against tax avoidance, businesses and individuals will try to avoid tax and the rest of us will have to stump up to cover the shortfall which the avoiders create! An avoidance-proof system should be the target for HMRC and I would like to see it spend serious money and if necessary buy in more specialist resources into achieving this goal.
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