On the eve of what is widely expected to be a truly disastrous Budget for Labour, it's worth having a look at some polling data. This is supplied by Stats for Lefties, based on a Lord Ashcroft poll:
This is the seat projection:
I know all the caveats, of course.
However, note the Labour figure. Governments have done worse, but very few have come close to a popularity collapse on this scale.
Three thoughts.
First, Labour is currently empowering the far-right in the UK.
Second, the number of people who believe Labour has anything to offer is declining by the day.
Third, if Labour had any sense of duty to the people of this country - and even its own supporters - it would deliver PR now.
Will it react as it should? Of course not. This is Starmer's Labour after all, and they are living in cloud cuckoo land, and their own belief in the sanctity of all they do, so deluded are they.
We are in trouble unless that Green growth continues. And don't rule out that it might.
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Thank you. I am hugely worried. From these polling data it seems hard to see a sensible outcome, even from an electoral pact. Centrist and left voting is simply not going to be extractable from the 46% supporting Reform / Tory. Both of these are at least far-right. Even Labour is so right wing on so much and so incompetent on the rest that one has to wonder what core values those continuing to support Labour have. Do those who have not already jumped from Labour have any instinct for for a progressive liberal world or are they just Labour by tradition? Sixty-four percent of those polled would lend their support at present to Neo-fascist or far-right or socially far-right (Labour, in terms of recent dreadful immigrant posturing, anti-trans bigotry etc) party. Some kind of bottom-up democratic revolution recruiting people who don’t normally vote may be the only way to prevent an almost or actually neofascist future.