I'm not bothering to forecast 2013: it's too unpredictable to call.
So there's only one thing I will say. I expect to write an awful lot of words in 2013, whatever happens.
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OK, I’ll make some.
1) At least one UK bank will require Govt assistance.
2) Gideon will give it.
3) The assistance will be completely without strings
4) Food will get MUCH more expensive
5) Near the end of 2013 Gideon will be forcibly marched out of no 11 & replaced by Gove.
6) Richard will talk sense & people in & linked to the CoL will “naysay” it.
7) Gideon will backtrack on the only good thing he’s ever done – the SD crackdown on foreign-owned houses in London.
8) Notwithstanding this, house prices outside London will go down like a one-legged man doing the hokey-kokey.
9) Oil will drop in price. I regret this, but I think its currently being kept artificially high by fears (hopes ?) of a confrontation with Iran. Obama is too fly for that.
10) Aston Villa will win the cup & avoid relegation.
Even though I take Richard’s point about the dangers of prediction, I think I can also make a few for 2013:
The unemployed, disabled and those on benefits will contine to be villified, demonised and pushed further into financial hardship by the government and it’s fellow travellers on the political right:
The government will pretend to be getting tough on tax avoidance and tax evasion, while continuing to cut staff in HMRC and refusing to implement really effective tax legislation:
The majority of us will get poorer and poorer while those responsible for the financial crisis continue to go unpunished:
Keep up the good fight Richard!
We expect no less! Happy New Year; if possible.
[…] I said I would make no predictions for 2013. A few hours in and the weight of evidence makes me change my mind. In 2013 we will see political prevarication in defence of the status quo come to the fore, and government become gridlocked by indecision as the might of those with financial power is brought to bear on it, and seeks to undermine democracy. […]
There will be more talk about ‘independence’ from the EU to divert attention from the increasing subordination of national governments to the needs of the feral finance system.
And Southampton will avoid relegation.
So will Ipswich