{"id":94332,"date":"2026-07-28T07:02:19","date_gmt":"2026-07-28T06:02:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/?p=94332"},"modified":"2026-07-28T07:13:51","modified_gmt":"2026-07-28T06:13:51","slug":"trumps-war-proves-mmt-right","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2026\/07\/28\/trumps-war-proves-mmt-right\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump\u2019s war proves MMT right"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"p1\">Trump\u2019s war is exposing the truth in one of the central insights of modern monetary theory (MMT).<\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\">The United States is not running out of dollars as a result of Trump's war. It is, it has now been revealed, instead running out of weapons, production capacity and military resources.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\">That distinction matters because it challenges one of the biggest myths in economics.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\">Conventional economics tells us governments are limited by money. MMT says something very different. A government that issues its own currency can always create the money it needs. The real constraint is whether the economy has the people, skills, factories, materials and technology required to deliver what that money is meant to buy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\">Trump\u2019s request for another $65 billion from Congress to fund his war illustrates the point perfectly. More money cannot instantly produce missiles, factories or skilled workers. Real resources always come first.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\">The same lesson applies far beyond war.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\">The NHS does not simply need bigger budgets. It needs doctors, nurses and equipment. Housebuilding needs land, labour and materials. Climate policy needs engineers, factories and infrastructure.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\">That is why governments should stop asking, \u201cWhere will the money come from?\u201d and start asking, \u201cDo the resources exist to deliver what we need?\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\">In this video, I explain why Trump\u2019s war has unintentionally demonstrated one of MMT\u2019s most important insights, and why that changes how we should think about inflation, public spending, economic policy and the role of government.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/zV0srvwdsqI?si=zbVy9NMu8eBwopQ6\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>This is the audio version:<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"border: none; min-width: min(100%, 430px); height: 150px;\" title=\"Trump\u2019s war proves MMT right\" src=\"https:\/\/www.podbean.com\/player-v2\/?i=ggq9b-1b1fd76-pb&amp;from=pb6admin&amp;share=1&amp;download=1&amp;rtl=0&amp;fonts=Arial&amp;skin=f6f6f6&amp;font-color=auto&amp;logo_link=episode_page&amp;btn-skin=c73a3a\" width=\"100%\" height=\"150\" scrolling=\"no\" data-name=\"pb-iframe-player\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>The Debate Ammunition for this video<a href=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/?p=94338&amp;preview=true#gsc.tab=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> is available here.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>This is the transcript:<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>Donald Trump\u2019s war on Iran is proving what really limits governments.<\/p>\n<p>He\u2019s running into problems. But Trump isn\u2019t running out of dollars. What he\u2019s doing is running out of weapons and military capacity. That\u2019s the real lesson from this conflict.<\/p>\n<p>And what that does is something quite curious. It confirms exactly what modern monetary theory says.<\/p>\n<p>As MMT makes clear, money is never the real constraint in an economy. A currency-issuing government can always create more dollars. Trump has asked for $65 billion from Congress to continue this war. He knows where the money comes from really, but that does not necessarily solve his problems.<\/p>\n<p>Money organises resources, but it doesn\u2019t create them.<\/p>\n<p>The real limits on activity anywhere are people, skills, factories and materials, and Trump\u2019s war is exposing this reality more clearly than just about anything else of late.<\/p>\n<p>Weapons cannot be created by spending alone. Missiles require factories, supply chains, and raw materials. Military equipment depends on skilled labour. Production capacity takes time to expand, and no amount of money can remove these constraints.<\/p>\n<p>And this is exactly what MMT always says. You can only spend when there is something to buy. You must stop when there isn\u2019t. If you don\u2019t, you will get inflation.<\/p>\n<p>And this is true of every part of the economy. It\u2019s not just true for this war economy that Donald Trump is trying to manage. It\u2019s also true in the UK. The NHS needs doctors, nurses, and equipment. It doesn\u2019t just need budgets.<\/p>\n<p>House building needs land, labour and materials.<\/p>\n<p>Climate action needs engineers and infrastructure.<\/p>\n<p>Every policy depends upon the availability of real resources. We can always find the money if they exist. There\u2019s no point creating the money if they don\u2019t. And that\u2019s the key point.<\/p>\n<p>Conventional economics, and all our journalists, always ask the wrong question. They always ask: \u201cWhere will the money come from to pay for something?\u201d But their first question should be something quite different. It should be: \u201cDo the resources exist for money to buy?\u201d If they do, finance can always be arranged. Those resources can be put to use. And by putting them to use, we will almost invariably create the value within the economy to recoup their cost. Political choices determine how resources are used. Money should follow the resources.<\/p>\n<p>In that case, what Trump is proving is that war is an exercise in political economy. Governments must decide what resources matter most to them. They must direct production to meet national priorities, and markets alone cannot solve strategic shortages of the sort that this war is exposing.<\/p>\n<p>It is power, in this case, government power, that determines economic outcomes. And in fact, what this war has proven is that the USA has been wrong to try to outsource warmongering to the private sector, which is what it has done. They\u2019ve tried to run it on a just-in-time supply chain basis, and that, as we now know, does not work. Money is not the issue. Resource management is. They got their priorities wrong. The US government has got their priorities wrong. They can no longer run a war as a consequence.<\/p>\n<p>And I stress the real limits are always physical and not just when it comes to war. This is true of any activity anywhere, whether in the state or private sector, and it\u2019s just that we don\u2019t seem to understand that.<\/p>\n<p>We also don\u2019t understand that when we try to buy resources with money that we\u2019ve created for a purpose, but there aren\u2019t resources, we get inflation. Good government then has to manage real capacity and not arbitrary budgets.<\/p>\n<p>Prosperity depends on expanding productive potential, and economics should always begin, whatever the issue, with resources and not money.<\/p>\n<p>This truth has been demonstrated during the course of this war. It\u2019s an ironic fact that modern monetary theory has been shown to be right by Donald Trump, who would never embrace the ideas within MMT, but has in fact exposed the fact that money is never the problem when it comes to war; real resources are.<\/p>\n<p>So, real resources are the foundation of every economy. That\u2019s the central insight of modern monetary theory. That\u2019s the insight that our generals should be adopting. That\u2019s the insight that our politicians should be adopting. That\u2019s the insight that our journalists should be taking from this exercise.<\/p>\n<p>We always need to ask the question: \u201cAre the resources available to do something?\u201d Not, \u201cIs the money available?\u201d Because asking if the money is available is putting the cart before the horse. And as we all know, the horse has to go before the cart, and the horse is the real resource that we need in this case to achieve anything in our society.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s what I think. What do you think? There is, of course, a poll down below. Let us have your comments. Please share this video if you like it. Please do subscribe to this channel. Ring that bell as well, because that means you\u2019re notified when we put another video out. And if you\u2019d like to buy Tom and me a coffee, that would be great.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><em>Hat tip: Thanks to RobertJ for a comment on this blog that resulted in this video.<\/em><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Poll<\/strong><\/p>\n<div id=\"polls-470\" class=\"wp-polls\">\n\t<form id=\"polls_form_470\" class=\"wp-polls-form\" action=\"\/Blog\/index.php\" method=\"post\">\n\t\t<p style=\"display: none;\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"poll_470_nonce\" name=\"wp-polls-nonce\" value=\"86da5a4597\" \/><\/p>\n\t\t<p style=\"display: none;\"><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"poll_id\" value=\"470\" \/><\/p>\n\t\t<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>What is the biggest limit on government action?<\/strong><\/p><div id=\"polls-470-ans\" class=\"wp-polls-ans\"><ul class=\"wp-polls-ul\">\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-2058\" name=\"poll_470\" value=\"2058\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-2058\">Real resources and capacity<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-2059\" name=\"poll_470\" value=\"2059\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-2059\">Lack of government funding, whether deliberate or chosen<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-2060\" name=\"poll_470\" value=\"2060\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-2060\">Political decisions, and indecisions<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-2061\" name=\"poll_470\" value=\"2061\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-2061\">Not sure - or maybe, all three<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<\/ul><p style=\"text-align: center\"><input type=\"button\" name=\"vote\" value=\"   Vote   \" class=\"Buttons\" data-poll-id=\"470\" data-poll-action=\"vote\" \/><\/p><p style=\"text-align: center\"><a href=\"#ViewPollResults\" data-poll-id=\"470\" data-poll-action=\"result\" title=\"View Results Of This Poll\">View Results<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n\t<\/form>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"polls-470-loading\" class=\"wp-polls wp-polls-loading\"><span class=\"wp-polls-spinner\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span> Loading ...<\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trump\u2019s war is exposing the truth in one of the central insights of modern monetary theory (MMT). The United States is not running out of<br \/><a class=\"moretag\" href=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2026\/07\/28\/trumps-war-proves-mmt-right\/\"><em> Read the full article&#8230;<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[204,35,203,147,174,224,106,223,75],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-94332","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economic-justice","category-economics","category-fascism","category-inequality","category-modern-monetary-theory","category-neoliberalism","category-politics","category-politics-of-care","category-usa"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94332","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=94332"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94332\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":94343,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94332\/revisions\/94343"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=94332"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=94332"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=94332"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}