{"id":91136,"date":"2026-03-26T07:28:27","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T07:28:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/?p=91136"},"modified":"2026-03-26T07:28:27","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T07:28:27","slug":"wales-can-deliver-a-political-earthquake","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2026\/03\/26\/wales-can-deliver-a-political-earthquake\/","title":{"rendered":"Wales can deliver a political earthquake"},"content":{"rendered":"

YouGov has provided<\/a> that change is possible within UK (or at least Welsh) politics.<\/p>\n

They have undertaken an MRP poll to suggest the likely result of the Senedd election in May. Their findings, based on the new proportional representation system in Wales with the multi-member constituencies that I prefer, are as follows:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Ninety six new members of the Senedd will be elected.<\/p>\n

The shift from the last election (using a simulation method, as a different electoral system was in use last time) is forecast to be as follows:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Labour loses massively. After more than a century dominating Welsh politics, Labour looks to be over in the country<\/p>\n

The LibDems are wiped out, and the Tories are almost eliminated as well.<\/p>\n

The Westminster power hierarchy is virtually removed from Welsh politucs, and Plaid Cymru could govern without Labour by partnering with the Greens:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

There is no viable Reform government.<\/p>\n

And note, Plaid might form a minority administration.<\/p>\n

What seems certain is that PR will deliver massive change.<\/p>\n

If only we could have it in Westminster.<\/p>\n

And good luck to Wales. Go for it!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

YouGov has provided that change is possible within UK (or at least Welsh) politics. They have undertaken an MRP poll to suggest the likely result
 Read the full article…<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[106,154],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-91136","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics","category-wales"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91136","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=91136"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91136\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":91152,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91136\/revisions\/91152"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=91136"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=91136"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=91136"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}