{"id":90725,"date":"2026-03-09T07:43:30","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T07:43:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/?p=90725"},"modified":"2026-03-09T07:59:40","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T07:59:40","slug":"the-case-for-a-windfall-oil-tax-is-overwhelming","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2026\/03\/09\/the-case-for-a-windfall-oil-tax-is-overwhelming\/","title":{"rendered":"The case for a windfall oil tax is overwhelming"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>This chart comes from <a href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/commodity\/crude-oil\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Trading Economics<\/a> this morning and is already out of date because I gather that since I took the screenshot, the oil price has now reached $110 per barrel:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-90726\" src=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-09-at-07.32.29-550x253.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"550\" height=\"253\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-09-at-07.32.29-550x253.png 550w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-09-at-07.32.29-768x353.png 768w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-09-at-07.32.29-600x276.png 600w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-09-at-07.32.29.png 1482w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The<a href=\"https:\/\/markets.ft.com\/data\/commodities\/tearsheet\/summary?c=WTI+Crude+Oil\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> FT presents broadly similar information:<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-90727\" src=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-09-at-07.35.17-550x337.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"550\" height=\"337\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-09-at-07.35.17-550x337.png 550w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-09-at-07.35.17-490x300.png 490w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-09-at-07.35.17-768x470.png 768w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-09-at-07.35.17-1536x941.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-09-at-07.35.17-600x368.png 600w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-09-at-07.35.17.png 1600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The reason for showing the change is to emphasise two things. Firstly, there is the absolute price increase, with the price of oil increasing from around $65 per barrel to more than $100 a barrel in only a few days. The second is to show how exceptional this rate of change is. The increase is occurring at a faster rate than in 2022. We do not know where it will end as yet, but I suspect that it is nowhere near its peak at present.<\/p>\n<p>The economic fallout of this for everyone in the UK and around the world is going to be staggering.<\/p>\n<p>There is one thing that we do know now. This is that the exceptional profits that oil companies made in 2022 will recur. I sincerely hope that somebody has a plan to increase the tax rate on them to deal with this. The case for a windfall tax is going to be overwhelming. We need such a tax, and we need it now. There can be no justification for private sector gain at this moment at cost to the people of the world from enormous economic disruption.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This chart comes from Trading Economics this morning and is already out of date because I gather that since I took the screenshot, the oil<br \/><a class=\"moretag\" href=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2026\/03\/09\/the-case-for-a-windfall-oil-tax-is-overwhelming\/\"><em> Read the full article&#8230;<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,97],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-90725","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","category-tax-justice"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90725","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=90725"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90725\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":90733,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90725\/revisions\/90733"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=90725"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=90725"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=90725"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}