{"id":90462,"date":"2026-02-28T08:06:46","date_gmt":"2026-02-28T08:06:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/?p=90462"},"modified":"2026-02-28T08:06:46","modified_gmt":"2026-02-28T08:06:46","slug":"might-labour-come-fourth-in-scotland","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2026\/02\/28\/might-labour-come-fourth-in-scotland\/","title":{"rendered":"Might Labour come fourth in Scotland?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Labour swept many parliamentary seats in Scotland in 2024, representing a massive improvement in its fortunes in the country.<\/p>\n<p>Now, as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thenational.scot\/news\/25894242.huge-new-poll-says-greens-set-overtake-labour-scottish-election\/?ref=eb&amp;nid=2443&amp;block=article_block_a&amp;u=209f984e64a4678025b914d40a952dd2&amp;date=270226\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The National<\/a> is reporting:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p class=\"article-first-paragraph\">THE\u00a0Scottish Greens\u00a0will overtake Labour at the next\u00a0Holyrood\u00a0election, a major new poll has predicted.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div id=\"po-inline-articlegate-partialarticle\">\n<div id=\"subscription-content\">\n<blockquote><p>The final Scottish Election Study before the Holyrood vote in May predicts a \"comfortable\" pro-independence majority of\u00a0SNP\u00a0and Green MSPs, with Ross Greer and Gillian Mackay's party securing 16% on the regional list.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>This is the forecast:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-90463\" src=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-28-at-08.03.00-550x378.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"550\" height=\"378\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-28-at-08.03.00-550x378.png 550w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-28-at-08.03.00-437x300.png 437w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-28-at-08.03.00-768x528.png 768w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-28-at-08.03.00-582x400.png 582w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-28-at-08.03.00.png 1266w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>From first to fourth in two years. That's a staggering change, and entirely deserved.<\/p>\n<p>Three things follow.<\/p>\n<p>Binary politics are over in the UK.<\/p>\n<p>The political consensus around the two-party system is broken for good, with both former leading parties heading for extinction.<\/p>\n<p>In the new narrative, we either get fascism or a politics of hope for each person and all the countries on these islands we share.<\/p>\n<p>It's not really a choice, is it?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Labour swept many parliamentary seats in Scotland in 2024, representing a massive improvement in its fortunes in the country. Now, as The National is reporting:<br \/><a class=\"moretag\" href=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2026\/02\/28\/might-labour-come-fourth-in-scotland\/\"><em> Read the full article&#8230;<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[118,106,140],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-90462","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-labour","category-politics","category-scotland"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90462","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=90462"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90462\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":90464,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90462\/revisions\/90464"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=90462"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=90462"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=90462"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}