{"id":90301,"date":"2026-02-21T08:55:29","date_gmt":"2026-02-21T08:55:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/?p=90301"},"modified":"2026-02-21T08:55:29","modified_gmt":"2026-02-21T08:55:29","slug":"labour-fourth-the-libdems-fifth-and-the-tories-sixth-the-times-they-are-a-changin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2026\/02\/21\/labour-fourth-the-libdems-fifth-and-the-tories-sixth-the-times-they-are-a-changin\/","title":{"rendered":"Labour fourth, the LibDems fifth and the Tories sixth: the times, they are a-changin’."},"content":{"rendered":"

As The National<\/a> reports this morning:<\/p>\n

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Reform UK are set to become Holyrood\u2019s second party as the\u00a0SNP remains the dominant force in Scottish politics, according to a fresh poll on voting intention.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

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The Find Out Now poll, commissioned exclusively by The National, projected that the SNP would win 36% of the constituency vote, with Reform UK in second \u2013 but 15 points behind \u2013 on 21%. Labour polled at 12%, the Greens 10%, the LibDems 9%, and the\u00a0Tories\u00a07%. Alba scored 2%.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

The charts look like this (the left-hand column is the constituency support and the right-hand column the regional support under the Scottish PR system):<\/p>\n

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The SNP will be near a majority in Holyrood with this support. With Green support, they will be governing again.<\/p>\n

Reform's support is worrying, but contained, although having them as the Opposition is not good. However, the accountability will be deeply uncomfortable for them.<\/p>\n

And note this:<\/p>\n