{"id":89691,"date":"2026-02-03T07:19:14","date_gmt":"2026-02-03T07:19:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/?p=89691"},"modified":"2026-02-03T07:19:14","modified_gmt":"2026-02-03T07:19:14","slug":"noting-the-odds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2026\/02\/03\/noting-the-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"Noting the odds"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>This was encouraging when I noticed <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SaulStaniforth\/status\/2018234339859792130\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">it on Twitter<\/a> last night:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-89692\" src=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-02-at-20.28.17-550x453.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"550\" height=\"453\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-02-at-20.28.17-550x453.png 550w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-02-at-20.28.17-364x300.png 364w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-02-at-20.28.17-768x632.png 768w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-02-at-20.28.17-486x400.png 486w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-02-at-20.28.17.png 1156w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>You might have to click the image to see a larger version to read the odds, but they are stacked in favour of the Greens in every case except one, where they have the same odds as Reform.<\/p>\n<p>In every case, Labour lags well behind, and the Tories and LibDems are far behind the Workers Party of Britain.<\/p>\n<p>What's the message? The bookies have noticed that people have learned to vote tactically, and can see who has the chance if keeping Reform out here, whilst giving Labour the kicking it deserves.<\/p>\n<p>My fingers are crossed.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This was encouraging when I noticed it on Twitter last night: You might have to click the image to see a larger version to read<br \/><a class=\"moretag\" href=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2026\/02\/03\/noting-the-odds\/\"><em> Read the full article&#8230;<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[230,118,106,214],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-89691","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-greens","category-labour","category-politics","category-reform"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89691","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=89691"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89691\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":89698,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89691\/revisions\/89698"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=89691"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=89691"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=89691"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}