{"id":82652,"date":"2025-05-27T08:12:09","date_gmt":"2025-05-27T07:12:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/?p=82652"},"modified":"2025-05-27T08:12:09","modified_gmt":"2025-05-27T07:12:09","slug":"why-is-labour-talking-total-economic-nonsense-to-justify-its-desperate-desire-to-keep-children-in-poverty","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2025\/05\/27\/why-is-labour-talking-total-economic-nonsense-to-justify-its-desperate-desire-to-keep-children-in-poverty\/","title":{"rendered":"Why is Labour talking total economic nonsense to justify its desperate desire to keep children in poverty?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bridget Phillipson MP, who is the Education Secretary, is telling the morning media rounds that if the government were to restore the winter fuel allowance, and remove the two-child benefit cap, then markets would panic, the pound would collapse, interest rates would rise, and we would have a full-blown, Liz Truss style financial meltdown.<\/p>\n<p>Let's ignore the fact that Liz Truss did not cause a financial meltdown single-handedly, because the Bank of England did that with its announcements on quantitative tightening, and instead just consider this claim.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">Reinstating the Winter Fuel Payment to all pensioners <a href=\"https:\/\/ifs.org.uk\/articles\/expanding-winter-fuel-payment-eligibility\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">would cost around \u00a31.5 billion<\/a> per year, increasing eligibility by about 10<span lang=\"EN-US\">\u00bd<\/span> million pensioners as a result. The estimate allows for the savings of removing a means-tested system.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">The <a href=\"https:\/\/ifs.org.uk\/articles\/two-child-limit-poverty-incentives-and-cost\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Institute for Fiscal Studies<\/a> estimates that abolishing the two-child limit would cost the government about \u00a33.4 billion annually. This policy change could reduce relative child poverty by approximately 500,000 children (4% of all children).<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">Alternatively, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.resolutionfoundation.org\/publications\/catastophic-caps\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the Resolution Foundation<\/a> has suggested that removing both the two-child limit and the benefit cap would cost the government \u00a33 billion.<\/p>\n<p>These are estimates, but they will do.<\/p>\n<p>So, the total commitment would be around \u00a38 billion at most.<\/p>\n<p>What it was suggested Liz Truss did was:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Announce unfunded tax cuts for the wealthiest.<\/li>\n<li>Not economically justify the tax cuts.<\/li>\n<li>Therefore, not explain the rationale for her policy.<\/li>\n<li>As a consequence, a 'black hole' was left in government funding, requiring borrowing without a sound explanation being given, especially when it is known that the wealthy save the benefit to them of tax cuts, creating almost no multiplier effect.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>In contrast, this policy:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Has sound economic logic to it. There is a need in society.<\/li>\n<li>Has strong multiplier effects, and so could pay for itself from the resulting income and GDP growth.<\/li>\n<li>Has a rationale as a consequence to justify short-term borrowing.<\/li>\n<li>Could easily be covered by tax changes.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Which ones? You take your pick from the Taxing Wealth Repor<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-82656\" src=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-27-at-08.05.13-550x166.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"550\" height=\"166\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-27-at-08.05.13-550x166.png 550w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-27-at-08.05.13-768x231.png 768w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-27-at-08.05.13-600x181.png 600w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-27-at-08.05.13.png 916w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter  wp-image-82655\" src=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-27-at-08.05.33-550x831.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"557\" height=\"841\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-27-at-08.05.33-550x831.png 550w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-27-at-08.05.33-199x300.png 199w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-27-at-08.05.33-768x1160.png 768w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-27-at-08.05.33-265x400.png 265w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-27-at-08.05.33.png 924w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 557px) 100vw, 557px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-82654\" src=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-27-at-08.05.56-550x817.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"550\" height=\"817\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-27-at-08.05.56-550x817.png 550w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-27-at-08.05.56-202x300.png 202w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-27-at-08.05.56-768x1141.png 768w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-27-at-08.05.56-269x400.png 269w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-27-at-08.05.56.png 922w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-82653\" src=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-27-at-08.06.10-550x381.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"550\" height=\"381\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-27-at-08.06.10-550x381.png 550w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-27-at-08.06.10-434x300.png 434w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-27-at-08.06.10-768x531.png 768w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-27-at-08.06.10-578x400.png 578w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screenshot-2025-05-27-at-08.06.10.png 922w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>My choice would be to add VAT on financial services. The result would be a direct transfer from a socially useless activity, in the main, to a socially useful one, and from the wealthy, who consume financial services, to the least well off, who need support. I estimate that it could raise \u00a38.7 billion, enough to cover these benefits, of that logic has to be used (and it does not, of course: the cost could be covered by money creation and it could be covered by the multiplier impact, but Labour ministers haven't got that far in their economic understanding, unfortunately).<\/p>\n<p>Problem solved.<\/p>\n<p>Bridget Phillipson is talking total nonsense, in other words.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bridget Phillipson MP, who is the Education Secretary, is telling the morning media rounds that if the government were to restore the winter fuel allowance,<br \/><a class=\"moretag\" href=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2025\/05\/27\/why-is-labour-talking-total-economic-nonsense-to-justify-its-desperate-desire-to-keep-children-in-poverty\/\"><em> Read the full article&#8230;<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[215,204,35,16,147,118,106,97,209],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-82652","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-age-of-aggression","category-economic-justice","category-economics","category-ethics","category-inequality","category-labour","category-politics","category-tax-justice","category-taxing-wealth-report"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82652","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=82652"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82652\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":82657,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82652\/revisions\/82657"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=82652"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=82652"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=82652"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}