{"id":70929,"date":"2023-07-20T07:42:56","date_gmt":"2023-07-20T06:42:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/?p=70929"},"modified":"2023-07-20T07:42:56","modified_gmt":"2023-07-20T06:42:56","slug":"whats-the-best-outcome-from-todays-by-elections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2023\/07\/20\/whats-the-best-outcome-from-todays-by-elections\/","title":{"rendered":"What&#8217;s the best outcome from today&#8217;s by-elections?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2023\/jul\/19\/even-hanging-on-to-one-would-be-a-win-tories-brace-for-byelection-results?utm_term=64b8b14ca261a6e25956620756c48aab&amp;utm_campaign=GuardianTodayUK&amp;utm_source=esp&amp;utm_medium=Email&amp;CMP=GTUK_email\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Guardian notes<\/a> this morning:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p class=\"dcr-xc4rat\">The Conservatives are braced for painful byelection results in a vote on Thursday that could become a damning verdict on Rishi Sunak\u2019s ability to win a broad enough coalition of voters at the next election to retain his party\u2019s majority.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-xc4rat\">The party could lose all three of the constituencies that are up for grabs \u2013 which each have significantly different demographics that the Tories would need to win \u2013 with the prospect of hanging on to just one being touted by senior ministers as a victory.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Three by-elections of this sort on a day is, of course, unusual. The seats are not naturally those the opposition parties would expect to win, and there is some uncertainty as to the outcomes. So, a poll. What outcome would you prefer today?<\/p>\n<div id=\"polls-72\" class=\"wp-polls\">\n\t\t<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>What outcome would you prefer from today's by-elections?<\/strong><\/p><div id=\"polls-72-ans\" class=\"wp-polls-ans\"><ul class=\"wp-polls-ul\">\n\t\t<li>Two Labour and one Lib Dem victories <small>(71%, 381 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 71%;\" title=\"Two Labour and one Lib Dem victories (71% | 381 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>Three Labour victories <small>(12%, 62 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 12%;\" title=\"Three Labour victories (12% | 62 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>A win for each of Labour, the LibDems and the Tories <small>(9%, 51 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 9%;\" title=\"A win for each of Labour, the LibDems and the Tories (9% | 51 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>The Tories to retain two seats with the LibDems getting the third <small>(4%, 20 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 4%;\" title=\"The Tories to retain two seats with the LibDems getting the third (4% | 20 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>Three Tory wins <small>(4%, 19 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 4%;\" title=\"Three Tory wins (4% | 19 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>The Tories to retain two seats with Labour getting the third <small>(1%, 4 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 1%;\" title=\"The Tories to retain two seats with Labour getting the third (1% | 4 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<\/ul><p style=\"text-align: center;\">Total Voters: <strong>537<\/strong><\/p><\/div>\n\t\t<input type=\"hidden\" id=\"poll_72_nonce\" name=\"wp-polls-nonce\" value=\"5737862cfd\" \/>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"polls-72-loading\" class=\"wp-polls-loading\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-polls\/images\/loading.gif\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" alt=\"Loading ...\" title=\"Loading ...\" class=\"wp-polls-image\" \/>&nbsp;Loading ...<\/div>\n\n<p>My instinct is that I would like the Tories to lose all three seats so that the message is clearly delivered that this government is over. But just as much, I would prefer that Labour did not win all three seats. Any suggestion that they have the next electionn in the bag would be bad news. You, however, may disagree, and anyway I think that unlikely: I suspect the Tories will keep Uxbridge. But I could, of course, be wrong.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the Guardian notes this morning: The Conservatives are braced for painful byelection results in a vote on Thursday that could become a damning verdict<br \/><a class=\"moretag\" href=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2023\/07\/20\/whats-the-best-outcome-from-todays-by-elections\/\"><em> Read the full article&#8230;<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[106],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-70929","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70929","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=70929"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70929\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":70932,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70929\/revisions\/70932"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=70929"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=70929"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=70929"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}