{"id":69626,"date":"2023-05-03T08:09:37","date_gmt":"2023-05-03T07:09:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/?p=69626"},"modified":"2023-05-03T11:24:33","modified_gmt":"2023-05-03T10:24:33","slug":"would-pr-change-who-you-voted-for-tomorrow","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2023\/05\/03\/would-pr-change-who-you-voted-for-tomorrow\/","title":{"rendered":"Would PR change who you voted for tomorrow?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In the light of local elections taking place in some parts of England tomorrow, and discussion on proportional representation on this blog, I was curious to know if PR would change voting intentions. I am not pretending any poll here is statistically valid, but they tend to be interesting.<\/p>\n<p>So, three polls this morning. The first is on what you would vote fir as your first preference if you had the chance to do so tomorrow and PR was in use, meaning you could rank your preference of your candidates.<\/p>\n<div id=\"polls-57\" class=\"wp-polls\">\n\t\t<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>If you could vote using a proportional representation system tomorrow which party would get your first preference vote?<\/strong><\/p><div id=\"polls-57-ans\" class=\"wp-polls-ans\"><ul class=\"wp-polls-ul\">\n\t\t<li>Green <small>(60%, 539 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 60%;\" title=\"Green (60% | 539 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>Labour <small>(15%, 135 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 15%;\" title=\"Labour (15% | 135 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>LibDem <small>(8%, 74 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 8%;\" title=\"LibDem (8% | 74 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>Other <small>(8%, 73 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 8%;\" title=\"Other (8% | 73 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>SNP <small>(6%, 58 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 6%;\" title=\"SNP (6% | 58 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>Plaid Cymru <small>(1%, 11 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 1%;\" title=\"Plaid Cymru (1% | 11 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>Reform <small>(1%, 5 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 1%;\" title=\"Reform (1% | 5 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>Conservative <small>(0%, 3 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 0%;\" title=\"Conservative (0% | 3 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<\/ul><p style=\"text-align: center;\">Total Voters: <strong>898<\/strong><\/p><\/div>\n\t\t<input type=\"hidden\" id=\"poll_57_nonce\" name=\"wp-polls-nonce\" value=\"d577156c07\" \/>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"polls-57-loading\" class=\"wp-polls-loading\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-polls\/images\/loading.gif\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" alt=\"Loading ...\" title=\"Loading ...\" class=\"wp-polls-image\" \/>&nbsp;Loading ...<\/div>\n\n<p>Then I want to know who your second preference would be in that situation:<\/p>\n<div id=\"polls-58\" class=\"wp-polls\">\n\t\t<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Who would be your second preference political party if you could vote tomorrow using a proportional representation system?<\/strong><\/p><div id=\"polls-58-ans\" class=\"wp-polls-ans\"><ul class=\"wp-polls-ul\">\n\t\t<li>Labour <small>(32%, 286 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 32%;\" title=\"Labour (32% | 286 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>Green <small>(26%, 232 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 26%;\" title=\"Green (26% | 232 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>LibDem <small>(22%, 190 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 22%;\" title=\"LibDem (22% | 190 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>Other <small>(12%, 105 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 12%;\" title=\"Other (12% | 105 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>SNP <small>(4%, 39 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 4%;\" title=\"SNP (4% | 39 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>Plaid Cymru <small>(2%, 21 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 2%;\" title=\"Plaid Cymru (2% | 21 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>Reform <small>(1%, 8 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 1%;\" title=\"Reform (1% | 8 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>Conservative <small>(0%, 1 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 0%;\" title=\"Conservative (0% | 1 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<\/ul><p style=\"text-align: center;\">Total Voters: <strong>882<\/strong><\/p><\/div>\n\t\t<input type=\"hidden\" id=\"poll_58_nonce\" name=\"wp-polls-nonce\" value=\"d2684d7fd6\" \/>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"polls-58-loading\" class=\"wp-polls-loading\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-polls\/images\/loading.gif\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" alt=\"Loading ...\" title=\"Loading ...\" class=\"wp-polls-image\" \/>&nbsp;Loading ...<\/div>\n\n<p>Then, assuming that we did not have a PR system, who would you vote for?<\/p>\n<div id=\"polls-59\" class=\"wp-polls\">\n\t\t<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Who would you vote for tomorrow if a first past the post system of voting was in use?<\/strong><\/p><div id=\"polls-59-ans\" class=\"wp-polls-ans\"><ul class=\"wp-polls-ul\">\n\t\t<li>Labour <small>(41%, 365 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 41%;\" title=\"Labour (41% | 365 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>Greens <small>(22%, 193 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 22%;\" title=\"Greens (22% | 193 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>LibDem <small>(20%, 175 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 20%;\" title=\"LibDem (20% | 175 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>SNP <small>(10%, 85 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 10%;\" title=\"SNP (10% | 85 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>Other <small>(6%, 54 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 6%;\" title=\"Other (6% | 54 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>Plaid Cymru <small>(1%, 10 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 1%;\" title=\"Plaid Cymru (1% | 10 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>Reform <small>(0%, 4 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 0%;\" title=\"Reform (0% | 4 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<li>Conservatives <small>(0%, 3 Votes)<\/small><div class=\"pollbar\" style=\"width: 0%;\" title=\"Conservatives (0% | 3 Votes)\"><\/div><\/li>\n\t\t<\/ul><p style=\"text-align: center;\">Total Voters: <strong>889<\/strong><\/p><\/div>\n\t\t<input type=\"hidden\" id=\"poll_59_nonce\" name=\"wp-polls-nonce\" value=\"1d185f2266\" \/>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"polls-59-loading\" class=\"wp-polls-loading\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-polls\/images\/loading.gif\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" alt=\"Loading ...\" title=\"Loading ...\" class=\"wp-polls-image\" \/>&nbsp;Loading ...<\/div>\n\n<p>As far as I know I cannot identify who votes in these polls, and I would never do so.<\/p>\n<p>My interest is in whether behaviour changes, or not.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the light of local elections taking place in some parts of England tomorrow, and discussion on proportional representation on this blog, I was curious<br \/><a class=\"moretag\" href=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2023\/05\/03\/would-pr-change-who-you-voted-for-tomorrow\/\"><em> Read the full article&#8230;<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[122,106],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69626","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-election","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69626","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69626"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69626\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":69637,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69626\/revisions\/69637"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69626"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69626"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69626"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}