There is always a danger that you might get what you hope for. I mention the point because many on the left want there to be a second referendum on Brexit. Discussions I am having suggest that such a vote is becoming more likely. But the assumption is that Remain would win. My question is, would it?<\/p>\n
First though, why this might happen? Let\u2019s assume May fails to get the Chequers deal approved by Europe in November. The assumption is she will resign.<\/p>\n
Who will replace her? Javid or Gove.<\/p>\n
What will they do? Seek to renegotiate.<\/p>\n
They will fail. Their backstop is a second referendum. They know they cannot do a general election. They would lose that.<\/p>\n
The EU is used to second referendums. It will allow an Article 50 extension to allow for a vote.<\/p>\n
And then what\u2019s happens? The answer is that a massively well funded neo-fascist Exit campaign, which is already prepared, will slip into operation.<\/p>\n
They know no lies are off limits now.<\/p>\n
They know no funding limit breaches will be punished.<\/p>\n
And they know Remain will play be the rules that they will completely ignore.<\/p>\n
And who will win?<\/p>\n
What do you think?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"