{"id":35984,"date":"2017-01-11T09:29:29","date_gmt":"2017-01-11T09:29:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/?p=35984"},"modified":"2017-01-11T09:30:07","modified_gmt":"2017-01-11T09:30:07","slug":"nhs-ae-data-revisited","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2017\/01\/11\/nhs-ae-data-revisited\/","title":{"rendered":"NHS A&#038;E data revisited"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I did some <a href=\"http:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2017\/01\/09\/jeremy-hunt-is-lying-data-shows-january-is-often-the-quietest-time-of-the-year-for-a-e-departments\/\">quick work on NHS A&amp;E admissions data <\/a>earlier this week. The data in question has been reworked by Sean Danaher, whose knowledge of maths and stats far exceeds mine. As Sean noted to me:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<div>I\u2019ve had a go at fitting the data. I\u2019ve used fairly classical techniques to detrained the data (subtract best straight line and a Fourier Transform (up to 4th harmonic) to get the fit . There is quite a lot of variability but the headline figure is that the maximum on average is late July (24th). \u00a0The\u00a0minimum is in late January.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>This is the trend:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2017\/01\/11\/nhs-ae-data-revisited\/nhs1\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-35985\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-35985\" src=\"http:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/nhs1-550x360.jpg\" alt=\"nhs1\" width=\"550\" height=\"360\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/nhs1-550x360.jpg 550w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/nhs1-458x300.jpg 458w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/nhs1-300x196.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/nhs1-200x132.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/nhs1.jpg 640w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>And with regard to seasonality, the summer does show peak admissions:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2017\/01\/11\/nhs-ae-data-revisited\/aande2\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-35986\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-35986\" src=\"http:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/AandE2-550x381.jpeg\" alt=\"aande2\" width=\"550\" height=\"381\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/AandE2-550x381.jpeg 550w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/AandE2-433x300.jpeg 433w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/AandE2-300x208.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/AandE2-191x132.jpeg 191w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/AandE2.jpeg 640w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>July is peak time, counter-intuitively.<\/p>\n<p>My thanks to Sean.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I did some quick work on NHS A&amp;E admissions data earlier this week. The data in question has been reworked by Sean Danaher, whose knowledge<br \/><a class=\"moretag\" href=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2017\/01\/11\/nhs-ae-data-revisited\/\"><em> Read the full article&#8230;<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[128],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-35984","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-nhs"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35984","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=35984"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35984\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=35984"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=35984"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=35984"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}