{"id":33835,"date":"2016-06-25T08:21:27","date_gmt":"2016-06-25T07:21:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/?p=33835"},"modified":"2016-06-25T08:21:28","modified_gmt":"2016-06-25T07:21:28","slug":"when-do-you-decide-its-time-to-worry","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2016\/06\/25\/when-do-you-decide-its-time-to-worry\/","title":{"rendered":"When do you decide it&#8217;s time to worry?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Do we have an economic crisis? The FTSE 100 yesterday may not have implied it after a massively rocky start:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2016\/06\/25\/when-do-you-decide-its-time-to-worry\/screen-shot-2016-06-24-at-19-47-05\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-33836\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-33836\" src=\"http:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Screen-Shot-2016-06-24-at-19.47.05-550x420.png\" alt=\"Screen Shot 2016-06-24 at 19.47.05\" width=\"550\" height=\"420\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Screen-Shot-2016-06-24-at-19.47.05-550x420.png 550w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Screen-Shot-2016-06-24-at-19.47.05-393x300.png 393w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Screen-Shot-2016-06-24-at-19.47.05-295x225.png 295w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Screen-Shot-2016-06-24-at-19.47.05-173x132.png 173w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Screen-Shot-2016-06-24-at-19.47.05.png 648w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The FTSE 100 is, however, extremely international: many of the companies included within it hardly have any impact in the UK.<\/p>\n<p>The FTSE 250 is dominated by UK based companies and this is how it moved on Friday:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2016\/06\/25\/when-do-you-decide-its-time-to-worry\/screen-shot-2016-06-24-at-19-50-35\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-33837\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-33837\" src=\"http:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Screen-Shot-2016-06-24-at-19.50.35-550x421.png\" alt=\"Screen Shot 2016-06-24 at 19.50.35\" width=\"550\" height=\"421\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Screen-Shot-2016-06-24-at-19.50.35-550x421.png 550w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Screen-Shot-2016-06-24-at-19.50.35-392x300.png 392w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Screen-Shot-2016-06-24-at-19.50.35-294x225.png 294w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Screen-Shot-2016-06-24-at-19.50.35-172x132.png 172w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Screen-Shot-2016-06-24-at-19.50.35.png 654w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>That was a record one-day loss for this index.<\/p>\n<p>And what of the pound to the dollar? This was its chart:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2016\/06\/25\/when-do-you-decide-its-time-to-worry\/screen-shot-2016-06-24-at-19-52-50\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-33838\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-33838\" src=\"http:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Screen-Shot-2016-06-24-at-19.52.50-550x355.png\" alt=\"Screen Shot 2016-06-24 at 19.52.50\" width=\"550\" height=\"355\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Screen-Shot-2016-06-24-at-19.52.50-550x355.png 550w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Screen-Shot-2016-06-24-at-19.52.50-464x300.png 464w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Screen-Shot-2016-06-24-at-19.52.50-300x194.png 300w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Screen-Shot-2016-06-24-at-19.52.50-200x129.png 200w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Screen-Shot-2016-06-24-at-19.52.50.png 698w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>That's ugly.<\/p>\n<p>As was the Dax in Germany:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2016\/06\/25\/when-do-you-decide-its-time-to-worry\/screen-shot-2016-06-24-at-19-54-48\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-33839\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-33839\" src=\"http:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Screen-Shot-2016-06-24-at-19.54.48-550x419.png\" alt=\"Screen Shot 2016-06-24 at 19.54.48\" width=\"550\" height=\"419\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Screen-Shot-2016-06-24-at-19.54.48-550x419.png 550w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Screen-Shot-2016-06-24-at-19.54.48-394x300.png 394w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Screen-Shot-2016-06-24-at-19.54.48-296x225.png 296w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Screen-Shot-2016-06-24-at-19.54.48-173x132.png 173w, https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Screen-Shot-2016-06-24-at-19.54.48.png 657w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>It really was a bad day. But ugly days do happen. What matters is Monday, and then Tuesday and most especially Wednesday. If markets have moved towards stability and something like their pre-Brexit position by Wednesday those who thought Brexit would have little impact may have been right. Continuing volatility or a major decline still on the books by then - especially and specifically around the UK data - \u00a0and I will be really worried because that indicates the creation of instability that we may not be able to manage, and that's when anything can happen.<\/p>\n<p>This uncertainty has some days to run as yet.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Do we have an economic crisis? The FTSE 100 yesterday may not have implied it after a massively rocky start: The FTSE 100 is, however,<br \/><a class=\"moretag\" href=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2016\/06\/25\/when-do-you-decide-its-time-to-worry\/\"><em> Read the full article&#8230;<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33835","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33835","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33835"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33835\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33835"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33835"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33835"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}