{"id":19328,"date":"2013-02-23T08:16:08","date_gmt":"2013-02-23T08:16:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/?p=19328"},"modified":"2013-02-23T08:11:56","modified_gmt":"2013-02-23T08:11:56","slug":"on-aaa-and-what-might-happen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2013\/02\/23\/on-aaa-and-what-might-happen\/","title":{"rendered":"On AAA &#8211; and what might happen"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> The UK has lost it&#39;s first AAA rating. The others will surely follow.<\/p>\n<p>So what you say?<\/p>\n<p>First, it was a Tory sniffs to commitment not to do so. <\/p>\n<p>Second, that makes this. Resigning issue, but Osborne will not go.<\/p>\n<p>Third, it&#39;s a real sign that Tory policy has failed.<\/p>\n<p>Fourth it indicates that Labour has to offer a real alternative and sooner rather than later.<\/p>\n<p>Fifth it may marginally increase the cost of UK borrowing.<\/p>\n<p>However, sixth QE will deal with that. Expect more.<\/p>\n<p>Seventh, it indicates devaluation is likely. I don&#39;t forecast a Black Monday although I don&#39;t rule it out. I do think significant movement in the value if sterling is likely (below $1.50 and settling there).<\/p>\n<p>Eighth, that may give the economy the boost it needs to start recovery. For Labour this means to back to point four.<\/p>\n<p>Don&#39;t doubt this is a big moment, but the outcome is unpredictable. And what Osborne feared most might yet save the economy. But no Chancellor or their party has survived a currency crisis. <\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The UK has lost it&#39;s first AAA rating. The others will surely follow. So what you say? First, it was a Tory sniffs to commitment<br \/><a class=\"moretag\" href=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2013\/02\/23\/on-aaa-and-what-might-happen\/\"><em> Read the full article&#8230;<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19328","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19328","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19328"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19328\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19328"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19328"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19328"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}