{"id":17876,"date":"2012-10-18T17:16:57","date_gmt":"2012-10-18T16:16:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/?p=17876"},"modified":"2012-10-18T17:17:35","modified_gmt":"2012-10-18T16:17:35","slug":"the-ft-says-hmrcs-tax-gap-report-is-a-work-of-fiction","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2012\/10\/18\/the-ft-says-hmrcs-tax-gap-report-is-a-work-of-fiction\/","title":{"rendered":"The FT says HMRC&#8217;s tax gap report is a work of fiction"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I've <a title=\"HMRC\u2019s estimate of tax evasion in the shadow economy is ludicrously low\" href=\"http:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2012\/10\/18\/hmrcs-estimate-of-tax-evasion-in-the-shadow-economy-is-ludicrously-low\/\">just commented <\/a>on the\u00a0ludicrous\u00a0nature of the HMRC estimate of tax evasion included <a href=\"http:\/\/www.hmrc.gov.uk\/stats\/mtg-2012.pdf\">in this year's tax gap<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>I'm pleased to note that I'm not the only person who's formed this view. <a href=\"http:\/\/ftalphaville.ft.com\/2012\/10\/18\/1218731\/counting-ghosts\/?utm_source=dlvr.it&amp;utm_medium=twitter\" target=\"_blank\">The FT's just reported:<\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>And so to HMRC to examine the UK\u2019s \u201c<a title=\"Measuring tax gaps 2012\" href=\"http:\/\/www.hmrc-corporatecommunications.co.uk\/assets\/5\/9\/e\/8\/6c6b5d1c85eb0cdb46ff279e52da507ed5a104b40316006092\/Measuring%20Tax%20Gaps%202012.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">tax gap<\/a>\u201d \u2013 the difference between tax actually collected and the tax that could theoretically be collected.<\/p>\n<p>The \u2018gap\u2019 in Britain is put at \u00a332bn.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s an intriguing document, if only because a casual leaf through the 47 pages gives the awkward impression that this is one long exercise in random guesswork. Sure, the approach is pseudo-scientific, but it reads like an appendix supporting a departmental budget submission rather than an accurate portrait of tax avoidance and evasion.<\/p>\n<p>Actually, if you plough through to Chapter 6 you learn that the HMRC people cheerfully admit as much.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>As they add:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>If you are wondering about the reference to \u201cghosts,\u201d these are people who work in the UK but who pay no tax at all and whose existence is (a known) unknown to the authorities\u2026<\/p>\n<p><em>Ghosts\u2019 are individuals who receive income from employment or self-employment but are not known to HMRC because they and\/or their employers fail to declare their earnings. Ghosts are not accurately recorded by any government agency or survey and therefore any estimate as to their number or the consequential loss of duty is approximate.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>See? Complete guesswork.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I think that concludes debate: this work is utterly discredited.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;ve just commented on the\u00a0ludicrous\u00a0nature of the HMRC estimate of tax evasion included in this year&#8217;s tax gap. I&#8217;m pleased to note that I&#8217;m not<br \/><a class=\"moretag\" href=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2012\/10\/18\/the-ft-says-hmrcs-tax-gap-report-is-a-work-of-fiction\/\"><em> Read the full article&#8230;<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[50],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17876","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tax-gap"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17876","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17876"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17876\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17876"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17876"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17876"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}