{"id":16971,"date":"2012-08-16T18:05:22","date_gmt":"2012-08-16T17:05:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/?p=16971"},"modified":"2012-08-16T18:05:22","modified_gmt":"2012-08-16T17:05:22","slug":"what-are-the-fabians-thinking","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2012\/08\/16\/what-are-the-fabians-thinking\/","title":{"rendered":"What are the Fabians thinking?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I've just noticed a Fabian Society email that starts:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Like it or not (and a lot of Fabians definitely do not), most analysts predict a hung Parliament after the 2015 General Election.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Why, one has to ask? First, why did I read the mail (research, I promise you) and second, why do they want to promote this idea?<\/p>\n<p>Let's look at the facts: just after two years after a general election they lost badly Labour is consistently 10% in the lead in polls. That's astonishing. It's a massive electoral recovery at a near record rate. And yes, it is a measure of how bad the\u00a0Coalition is. And maybe it's helped by Labour saying not a lot: things may get worse when people realise Labour are\u00a0still talking cuts more than anything else, which is absurd.<\/p>\n<p>But nothing about such\u00a0predictions makes much sense, at all. To put it another way, they just look wrong, right now.<\/p>\n<p>But there's a long way to go. Unfortunately.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;ve just noticed a Fabian Society email that starts: Like it or not (and a lot of Fabians definitely do not), most analysts predict a<br \/><a class=\"moretag\" href=\"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/2012\/08\/16\/what-are-the-fabians-thinking\/\"><em> Read the full article&#8230;<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[106],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16971","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16971","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16971"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16971\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16971"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16971"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.taxresearch.org.uk\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16971"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}