I published this video this morning. In it, I argue that while politicians might talk endlessly about black holes in government funding, in reality, there can never be any such thing. All that actually exists are choices about how the government might fund its spending—some of which options those same politicians are refusing to consider, at a cost to us all.
The audio version is:
This is the transcript:
There is no black hole in government funding.
I know that our politicians like to claim that there is.
I know that they are obsessed with trying to avoid it.
I know that they claim they are presenting 'fully-costed' manifestos at the forthcoming general election.
And all of that is utterly unnecessary.
Why? Because there can never be a black hole in our government's finances.
Let's be clear how our government is funded. There are only three options available.
One is taxation, and we know about that.
The second one is borrowing, and they are obsessed about eliminating that, but for no good reason, because there are hordes of people queuing up who would like to save their money with the government, if only they had the opportunity to do so, but the government doesn't want to welcome their cash.
And thirdly, there is government money creation.
What is government money creation? Well, we used to call it turning on the printing presses, but that's an absurd analogy now because turning on the printing presses is almost irrelevant when the usage of cash is falling in the economy. So, what this really means is that the government creates more electronic money, as it did in 2008 to bail us out after the global financial crisis, and as it did in 2020 to bail us out during the course of the COVID crisis when they created, between those two events, something like £900 billion pounds of new government created money.
So, all of those three options are available, but for reasons of their very own, and utterly unnecessarily, the government has decided that government expenditure must be balanced by taxation and they are as a result, ignoring the opportunities that borrowing and money creation provide.
Now I'm not an advocate of money creation for its own sake. It is a reserve tool, but we should never forget that it's available to us, whenever we need it.
But borrowing? No, borrowing is really powerful. Borrowing is what we all do if we ever want to buy, well, very often a car or a house or other major items.
Why wouldn't the government want to do that?
But more than that, why wouldn't it sometimes want to borrow to stimulate the whole of the economy by taking less tax back than it injects into the economy by way of cash? Because that's what delivers growth. So why wouldn't it do that?
I don't know. It's acting against your economic well-being by having this obsession with balancing the books and claiming that otherwise there's a black hole in government funding.
That's nonsense. It's untrue. What other words can I use to express how badly I disagree with those politicians who claim this?
There is no black hole.
There are just choices to be made about the right thing to do at the right time.
And when we have, as we do in the UK at present, serious under-employment of people in our economy, people who could therefore be put to - it's a rather crude way of putting it, but - better use at better pay to produce better outcomes for us all, then of course there is the opportunity for the government to spend to create an increase in well-being, not just for those people, but all of us, by running a deficit.
And that could be funded by borrowing, or if necessary, by money creation, and we'd all be better off. And there would be no inflation as a result because we would be using unused resources that are available in our economy at present and putting them to use for mutual well-being.
That's why there's no black hole.
There's only opportunity, and our politicians aren't reaching out to grab it.
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It’s ok for the private sector to create money; and for indiviuduals and corporate entities to borrow that money. With that money you can buy cryptocurrencies or crypto backed paper and if this increases in value you can convert back to sterling thus creating more money out of thin air.
Or you can borrow created money to pollute rivers and beaches , or leave behind decaying buildings in every town centre. Or you can borrow created money to bid for and deliver a government contract having been tipped off that you are in a procurement fast lane.
But you cannot borrow money to fix the NHS because you will create a black hole.
Simple.
The only black hole is in the imagination of our politicians!
Richard – well said. The government money creation statement is controversial for me because of your terrific post https://www.taxresearch.org.uk/Blog/2023/08/10/the-uk-governments-bung-to-our-commerical-banks-additional-data/
I have concluded charging interest on reserves is a great blow to public finance which is so essential to a sustainable and equitable society, to a society which has neglected infrastructure, health, education and even the military.
Perhaps you or one of your clever readers knows whether the UK or US or Canada paid interest on reserves during the WW2 economic miracle, but I do not think so.
You need to apply that V8 brain of yours to explaining how we can keep government interest near zero, while the central bank manages interest rate policy.
This question to Towers, Governor of he Bank of Canada, from a 1939 Canadian Finance Committee is at the heart of your challenge
McGeer:
Q. Will you tell me why a government with power to create money, should give that power away to a private monopoly, and then borrow that which parliament can create itself, back at interest, to the point of national bankruptcy?
Mr. Towers: If parliament wants to change the form of operating the banking system, then certainly that is within the power of parliament. (p. 394)
https://parl.canadiana.ca/view/oop.com_HOC_1804_1_1/480
Thanks Joe
That brain is being stretched to its capacity right now
🙂 Your are still leading the pack! … Solving this one would be the E=MC2 of public finance!!
I’m busy reading through your Taxing Wealth report and have to complement you and your team on the depth and quality of it. Like you, I cannot understand why the opposition parties haven’t given this report serious consideration, except perhaps they feel a brainwashed electorate might be suspicious of its conclusions. My hope is that things are so dire in our economic prospects, that eventually (within twelve months) your ideas will force their way into the national economic debate.
I am the team…
Thank you
Does anyone know how much new money is created by the government (interest free) and by the private banks (as loans) each year?
Yes, but not tonight