This poll was taken before yesterday's Prime Minister's Questions:
Westminster voting intention:
LAB: 38% (+1)
CON: 28% (-5)
LDEM: 13% (+3)
GRN: 7% (+1)
REFUK: 4% (-1)via @YouGov
— Britain Elects (@BritainElects) January 12, 2022
That is what cutting through looks like. The Tories on less than 30% is quite staggering, albeit they are heading LibDem.
I do not know what the seat projection based on this is, and I do not much care as I very much doubt that matters will stay like this: if the Tories rid themselves of Johnson they might get a temporary bounce, for example.
However, the message could not be clearer. It is that the public have noticed the corruption at the heart of this government. That is good news.
Now it is time for the illegality and bias within their Covid spending to be understood by the public too. I referred to this yesterday, noting the. success of the Good Law Project in court in proving that the ministerially chosen bias towards Tory supporters when procuring PPE was not lawful. If that cuts through any successor to Johnson is likely impacted by that too, unless they come from outside the current Cabinet. Even then I could not be sure.
It took thirteen years for the Tories to recover from their last sleaze scandal and eighteen years to get a majority. This crisis is worse because it focuses on the prime minister and not back benchers. I have to hope the time out of office will be as long. Removing this stain will take a considerable time.
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Fingers crossed.
But I mean there must be so many gullible voters out there who forget that the Tories just cannot change their spots as the Neo-liberalism they follow is corrupt anyway.
Unfortunately the Judge said the PPE companies would probably have got the contracts anyway- so that rather lessens he impact of the illegality – not sure how that was “judged”. And last time around Labour was led by Tony Blair and looked like a party that could be the Government – this time ……………..
It’s to be hoped the public finally wake up and hold it in their memories until election time, but I fear that Johnson will be replaced and the public will move on along with the no doubt pedalled perception that it was all down to Johnson and the “new” conservatives will just take over. For anything else Labour have to seriously up their game and their leader.
Why the judge stuck his oar in there is very hard to guess
Possibly the judge ‘stuck his oar in’ because there was evidence given that they would have got the contracts anyway, and none that they would not have done, as that was not the thrust of the claim being made? The judgment has to be based on the evidence, after all.
The issue did not need to be addressed by the hearing
Why was it then necessary to rig the system to ensure that favoured supporters received the contracts? The fact that they may have received the contracts in no way diminishes the illegality.
Whilst it would be a relief to be rid of the Conservatives in government I wouldn’t wish to see Starmer with a comfortable majority and no incentive to make concessions on the electoral reform this country desperately needs.
We may get a new PM and they may get a bounce in the polls as the visceral “anti-Johnson” feeling diminishes.
That is why it is important to emphasise that
(a) A party that chose Johnson is not to be trusted.
(b) Corruption runs deep in the Party.
(c) The current cabinet all backed Johnson to the hilt while he was flying high – future denials “wasn’t me, guv'” won’t cut it.
(d) The extreme policies are now mainstream Toryism and that won’t change whoever leads.
I fear Jeremy Hunt will claim to be a new broom and, perhaps, is the greatest danger. I think we need to keep his time as health secretary under the microscope…. which should be easy given that the failings of the NHS in the pandemic can be laid at his door.
Personally, I think he will make the last two. He would lose to Truss but beat Sunak.
I very much doubt Sunak will get this – because the front runner never seems to
Remember Heseltine?
Headline says eighteen, commentary say thirteen. Which is it?
And where was that survey taken? What was the demographic? (Lies, damned lies and statistics, and all that)
It is very apparent that unless Labour can win back seats in Scotland (should it remain in the UK) and Wales then we’re highly unlikely to ever again have anything but a Conservative government … the English “heartland” voters (sheeple) won’t be able to bring themselves to vote any other way. So those survey results are Meh.
13 years out of office
18 years to get a majority
Really not hard to work out, I would have thought Labour (as rarely needed Scotland to have a majority
And you also do not appreciate that
Sorry – I didn’t see the word Eighteen in that sentence – my eyes skipped over it.
I stand by my survey observation – I’ve now dug into a link to a link to a link and found the source data … 1003 respondents where approx. 50% of them live in traditional Conservative geographies. So as I said – Meh.
And whilst it’s technically possible for Labour to win without Scotland, it is highly unlikely now. They certainly can’t win without Wales (if Scotland departed), and Plaid Cymru are getting them better of them there.
I take umbrage to your last sentence – there was no need to make such a passive-aggressive comment; Or is your whole reply incomplete? (It doesn’t “scan” very well, and isn’t up to your usual standard).
I could not understand your aggression
When many comments made here are aggressive from those of whom I know nothing I tend to respond in kind
Let’s calm it…..
It seems to me that Johnson is now being jettisoned not because he’s amoral (that was always the case) but because he is not Right Wing enough for sections of the Conservative party.