The FT's just sent out an email saying:
Three of the eurozone's five largest economies will bust through EU-mandated deficit limits this year as the bloc's recession continues to deepen, according to highly anticipated European Commission forecasts published on Friday. In addition to the anticipated breaches by France, Spain and the Netherlands, the currency union's third-largest economy, Italy, will come within a hair's breadth of missing the limit of 3 per cent of economic output, with a 2013 deficit forecasted at 2.9 per cent. The across-the-board misses come as the eurozone's economic picture continues to darken. Gross domestic product in the bloc is now expected to drop 0.4 per cent this year, down from a 0.3 per cent projection just six months ago.
And yet this is a non-story. It's only of relevance because an entirely arbitrary number which has no relevance in practice has been chosen as a deficit limit.
And it was chosen during a boom.
Now we're definitely in bust and automatic stabilisers in advanced economies mean that deficits will rise as a result. That is inevitable. It's night following day stuff. So of course deficit limits are broken unless people are to starve and suffer (as in Greece).
But worse, trying to comply with the arbitrary limit means the essential state funded investment needed to get us out of recession is not happening.
The answer is obvious - and it's time to scrap the deficit limit. It's not just meaningless. It's harmful.
If all things in life could be so easily solved.
Thanks for reading this post.
You can share this post on social media of your choice by clicking these icons:
You can subscribe to this blog's daily email here.
And if you would like to support this blog you can, here:
Hmmmm… possibly you meant to say ‘scrap’ the deficit limit! But the whole idea of imposing such a limit is crap, so you’re quite right as is 🙂
In the words of Neil Wilson – ‘I’ve been feeling like Semmelweis since the crisis began..’
http://think-left.org/2013/04/29/like-heterodox-economists-semmelweis-was-ignored/
How many women died of pueperal fever before the ‘power elite’ accepted the statistics for the importance of hygene? How many will die before the world accepts that the tenets of neoclassical economics are implemented on behalf of the 1%?
Very good analogy, Sue.
I can’t make such an erudite analogy as SyzygySue.
Unfortunately the power “elite” of the European “circus troop” don’t make anyone laugh and never will, because um, they have real power!
http://www.private-eye.co.uk/current_issue.php?
The tears running down the people’s cheeks are not the result of merriment!