VATman and Robin

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According to Brendan Barber of the TUC:

Increasing VAT in the budget will hit the poor more than the rich, have more impact on small firms than big ones, threaten retail jobs, increase tax avoidance and boost inflation — risking a mortgage-threatening rise in interest rates — according to a new Trades Union Congress briefing atwww.tuc.org.uk/VAT

The poorest fifth of households pay 12p in VAT for every pound they spend of their disposable income, while the top fifth of earners pay just 6p.

This is one reason why VAT income has not kept up with economic growth and has declined in importance as a source of government funds over the past decade. VAT provided 16% of tax income in 2004 but has fallen since even before the credit crunch. While average earnings have grown it is the better off who have done best. While the poor spend a high proportion of their income on VAT-able goods and services, the rich don’t.

Most people think of VAT-exempt items as ones that help the poor ,such as food and children’s clothes, but the better off do not have to pay VAT on financial services, private health or private education. And, of course, the rich save, the poor can rarely afford to.

Nor does VAT hit all businesses equally. Only businesses with sales of more than £70,000 a year have to register for VAT. Unregistered small firms pay VAT without being able to claim it back.

Many large companies are avoiding VAT by setting up subsidiaries in the tax havens such as the Channel Islands to sell items that cost less than £18 — such as CDs and DVDs — as these can be imported into the UK free of VAT.

This already costs UK taxpayers £100m a year. Increasing VAT would provide further incentives to operate in tax havens and thus would threaten retail jobs in the UK.

Higher VAT rates would feed directly through to the inflation figures — already over target. The risk is that the Bank of England would increase interest rates as a result, which would feed through into higher borrowing costs for companies and bigger mortgage bills for consumers.

The chancellor should resist the temptation to be VATman when he presents his budget.

There are much fairer ways to raise taxes, such as a Robin Hood tax on financial transactions and capital gains tax. The only VAT changes he should contemplate are ending the zero-rates on the private health and education that only the rich can afford.

Unsurprisingly, as I advise the TUC on tax, I agree.


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