One of the perpetual obsessions of the right wing of politics is law and order. It is they argue the fundamental duty of the state to defend the citizen, and even more importantly, their property from all assaults from criminal wrong-doers. And I have to say I see a lot of good reason for thinking that true.

But they drop that demand when it comes to tax. On Friday I published research with the Tax Justice Network and the Tackling Tax Havens web site detailing tax evasion in 145 countries, including the UK. The UK, I suggested, loses £69.9bn a year as a result. I never once suggested it could recover all that: clearly it could not. No tax system is fool proof against crime. But it is very obvious we could do a great deal more – and I suggested that stopping sacking tax inspectors was the first and obvious step in the process.

What has the reaction been? Tim Worstall, that perennial spokesperson for all that is bizarre in right wing thinking, has given one response. He has said , quoting my paper:

we can see that the average tax as percentage of GDP in European countries is 38.9%. Let us imagine that the sensitivity of currently untaxed activities to taxation is 40%. So, we go off and collect, on the next £10 billion of economic activity, our 38.9%. We get £3.89 billion in tax revenue.

Well, actually, no we don’t. For by taxing it we’ve reduced that economic activity by 40%. So, when taxed, there’s only £6 billion in activity. We actually get £2.33 billion in revenue. But economic activity has fallen by £4 billion.

We’re poorer overall.

We’d be better off just not worrying about what those criminal bastards, the tax dodgers, are doing over there in the last 10-15% of the economy. We’re made richer by ignoring it.

Let’s be explicit about what he’s saying here: he’s explicitly condoning crime. He’s saying we should simply allow it. He says we’re better off for this criminal conduct.

It’s an astonishing argument. It’s like arguing we would be better off if looting were allowed – which would certainly increase the consumption of some. Because let’s be clear – that’s what tax evasion is akin to. It’s looting. It’s looting from those who are honest and pay to support those who act criminally and will not pay.

And what would happen if Worstall was right? Well, of course, the tax system would fail, rapidly, as it already is when it comes to small businesses, where as I have shown well over half of all small companies already fail to submit tax returns each year. So we’d rapidly descend to the point where Greece is. Where the welfare state would fail (as no doubt Worstall wants), where criminality was normal, where trust failed as everyone was fiddling and honesty was but a memory, and where business itself also collapses becasue in that environemnt the incentive to invest, produce or even work fails. You might just as well be criminal. That seems to be what Worstall wants.

He could, of course, be dismissed as the usual right wing libertarian extremist except for the fact that there are so many of them in the Tory party and even some highly placed Lib Dems who agree with him. But medium sized firms of accountants seem to share this view too. In the Telegraph today it is reported that Hacker Young have issued a new report in which they say:

extra investigations and more aggressive stance by the HM Revenue and Customs risks making the UK a less attractive jurisdiction for businesses.

“The Government and HMRC now seem to believe that they found the secret of alchemy,” said Roy Maugham, tax partner at the firm.

“All they need to do is invest more money in tax investigations and compliance work and the extra tax income will keep flooding in.

“The reality is that much of the money that HMRC collects from compliance work is from businesses that feel intimidated into settling or where HMRC is able to outspend a less well-resourced small or medium sized company.”

Mr Maugham said many UK companies have moved their domicile overseas to Ireland, Switzerland and Malta not just because of the UK’s high business taxes but because of the increasingly aggressive attitude of HMRC to tax collection.

“There is a downside to their tough approach,” he said.

Or in other words – despite the enormous losses to tax evasion and tax abuse this firm seems to be saying H M Revenue & Customs should back off and let business get away with what I might call an  honesty box approach to taxation. Bluntly, if true that’s another argument supporting what would be an inevitable step towards the creation of a criminogenic business environment.

It is utterly irresponsible of this firm to argue as they do, in my opinion. And their representation of the taxpayer being bludgeoned into paying is so far from the truth it is ridiculous. I am under no illusiuon about how tough a tax investigation is – I have done them. But honest taxpayers also, I know, have nothing to fear from them. I have never seen a penny paid that was not owed. Not on my cases anyway. That’s why this argument is so disingenuous.

Hacker Young should, I think, be ashamed of themselves. All  accountants should be applauding a tough investigations regime. Honest business can only thrive on the basis of a level playing field – and that only exists when everyone pays their tax that is owing, in full.

But it seems many want a biased playing field – a playing field where the dishonest get all the advntages and rip off honest business and taxpayers until the point where society itself would collapse under the burden of their crime.

Is that what the right wing are coming to? It certainly looks like it. And it’s something the left have to challenge. Robustly.

 

As the FT reports:

Brussels is threatening to sue Britain unless ministers significantly alter a landmark tax deal with Switzerland, in a dispute that will cast doubt over the £4bn to £7bn of expected proceeds for the Treasury.

European Commission lawyers concluded that the bilateral deal, which recovers billions of unpaid taxes in return for protecting the prized secrecy of the Swiss banking system, is in breach of European Union laws that are tougher on tax evasion.

What can I say except I and the Tax Justice Network told you so, often?

It really is time people like the Treasury listened to us more often. We’ve invariably been right.

 

You can say it’s small beer that council tax is not being paid on more than half of the flats on One Hyde Park, the most expensive development in London and maybe the world. But it’s not. That’s because, as the Observer reports:

Only nine of the 62 apartments sold in One Hyde Park – the world’s most expensive residential block – have been registered for council tax.

The ownership of the Knightsbridge apartments, which range in price from £3.6m for a one-bedroom flat to £136m for a penthouse, is now under investigation by Westminster city council, which is determined to pursue the monies owed by the secretive owners of the apartments. However, the myriad offshore companies protecting the identities of residents are, according to sources at the council, likely to defeat them.

An analysis of the records by the Observer shows that 25 of the flats’ registered owners are companies in the British Virgin Islands. Other offshore tax havens used to purchase the properties include Guernsey, the Cayman Islands, Liechtenstein and Liberia.

Council officials are now expecting to canvass the apartments door-to-door, although sources said there were concerns that the building’s security, including its SAS-trained doormen, could prove an obstacle.

The sums involved are, of course, small – partly because council tax is so stupidly capped so that properties such as these are wholly inappropriately taxed. That is not the issue for the moment though: the issue is that the culture of offshore is to be seen writ large here. There is secrecy. There is tacit aggression: the SAS trained doormen are mentioned as an obstacle to entry. And there is the contempt for law that tax havens and their clients show. Plus the complete veil of secrecy that tax havens – or secrecy jurisdictions as I prefer to call them – throw round their clients to help them evade their responsibilities.

Remember, secrecy jurisdictions are places that intentionally create regulation for the primary benefit and use of those not resident in their geographical domain. That regulation is designed to undermine the legislation or regulation of another jurisdiction. To facilitate its use secrecy jurisdictions also create a deliberate, legally backed veil of secrecy that ensures that those from outside the jurisdiction making use of its regulation cannot be identified to be doing so.

So what can be done? Here’s a list:

1) Require that no property can be owned through an offshore company without the warm-blooded beneficial owner being named. If there is no such owner the property cannot be acquired.

2) No offshore company can own property in the UK without appointing a UK agent – and a named, warm-blooded person and not a company at that – being named as being liable to pay the obligations it owes in the UK. They must be proven to be UK resident.

3) In the event of breaches of obligation the penalty should be a charge 10 times the tax owing, levied on the property as a charge with the right to foreclose on the charge and have the property sold if not settled in two years.

That should stop that abuse.

We need to tackle tax havens, now.

This is a small step. But an important one because it shows the importance of shattering their secrecy.

 

I have the following on Comment is Free this morning:

The Tax Justice Network has published new research I have undertaken on its behalf. Using data sourced from the World Bank, CIA World Factbook, the Heritage Foundation and World Health Organisation this research – for the first time ever as far as we know – estimates tax evasion for 145 countries in the world covering 98% of world GDP between them.

The result is astonishing: between them these countries lose $3.1 trillion to illegal tax evasion. That is more than 5% of their GDP. To put this in context, that’s also 54.9% of those same countries total spending on healthcare.

The research will, however, be controversial. For example, the findings show that tax evaded in the UK might be £69.9bn a year. This is extraordinarily close, despite very different bases of calculation, to my 2010 estimate for the Public and Commercial Services Union of £70bn, which HM Revenue & Customs and the government have always challenged. They say the figure is only £35bn a year for the UK, including tax avoidance, which I additionally estimate at £25bn.

It is important to highlight such differences of opinion. Across the world governments have paid too little attention to tax evasion, claiming the issue is smaller than it really is. They have done so because like the UK they only look at errors in the tax returns they receive, ignoring the fact that serious tax evaders are outside the system.

That negligence is now costing us dearly. For example, Italy is losing €183bn a year to tax evasion in my estimate. Its total external debt is €1.9tn. If it had only suffered the UK’s rate of evasion in the last decade then its deficit would be less than half that sum now. The same would also be true for Greece, and only slight less so for Spain. In other words, if tax evasion had been taken seriously and been tackled in these countries we would not have a crisis in the eurozone today.

Something similar could be said for the UK. The US has an evasion rateabout two thirds that of the UK. If we had reduced our tax evasion rate to US levels in the last decade we might owe £200bn less in debt now. Alternatively, cuts of more than £20bn a year could be avoided in the UK economy now with our debt still being tackled at the current rate. That could prevent most of the current stress in the NHS; sixth formers would still have maintenance allowances and we might not be facing a national strike next week.

Most importantly though I believe that this reduction in tax evasion in the UK and elsewhere is possible. As the Tax Justice Network’s new Tackle Tax Havens website shows, tax havens help serious tax evaders hide their crime. We could stop that by demanding that tax havens be transparent about the individuals, companies, trusts that use these places, starting with the UK’s own tax havens and then moving on from there. The world’s shadiest places and their users would then come under the scrutiny that’s needed to make sure tax is paid.

We could change things at home too. Despite government claims that they are tackling this issue they’re still planning to cut 12,000 jobs at HM Revenue & Customs over the next few years; job losses that will simply deny our tax authority the people needed to chase tax due by cheats in this country. That makes no sense. Twenty thousand new staff at HMRC could transform government finances and with it the state of our national economy. Tackling tax evasion is in the national interest and in the world’s interest. Now we know just how much tax is evaded a new strategy for tackling the world’s deficits is available.

We could stop the cuts: we can collect tax due instead. That way we all win.

 

I made a speech at a TUC rally a year or so ago when I said the following:

If we spent the money that the government proposes to spend on tackling benefit fraud on beating tax cheats then I can tell you this with absolute confidence we wouldn’t get back £1 billion a year. We would get back £20 billion a year.

And by chance that’s the annual investment that we need now if we want to turn this economy around to create the jobs we so badly need – and which would create the wealth and generate the tax – all the tax – we need to clear the deficit.

Which is exactly why we don’t need cuts.

But the Conservatives won’t do this.

And I’ll tell you why.

They would rather the tax cheats of this country have this money than the pensioners of this country have this money.

Better that the cheats have their ill-gotten gains, they say, than the children of this country get the education they need.

And the better the accountants, the lawyers and the bankers have this money they say than the sick, the unemployed, the disabled, the public servants and the defenders of this country have it.

That’s the Conservatives’ choice. It’s a choice to support tax cheats.

It’s the wrong choice.

You know that.

I know that.

Together we must fight them.

We must fight for fair taxation.

We must fight for the jobs of those who will collect tax.

And we must fight so that the honest people of this country can have the money that the Conservatives will give to the cheats.

That’s the fight we have on our hands

And friends that is the fight we must win.

I stand by that analysis.

My logic is a simple one, but one that is rarely said. By choosing to leave money in the shadow economy – which is what the government is doing by choosing to cut staff at HMRC – it is deciding that it is better that criminals - because that is what tax evaders are – have money than do children who need education, pensioners who need to keep warm, those on benefits who simply can’t make ends meet, the disabled who need services, armed forces who need kit and so much more besides.

I make it clear, this is an explicit choice  by our politicians right now: they are choosing to support criminality.

They are doing so because they think the consumer spending of criminal tax evaders is more important to the economy than meeting the social needs of the young, the poor, the disabled, the vulnerable, those who defend and protect us and those who ensure that these services are delivered.

And let’s be clear: in making that choice they’re saying they think that money paid to the government is wasted. But they’re wrong! tax does not disappear. It is not a black hole. It is spent! It is spent on supporting these groups in society who need to spend to meet their needs and in paying the public servants who support them. So it directly supports consumption too. But consumption by different people. Tax collected supports consumption by those in need and those who work for an honest living. But the government is choosing instead to support consumption by those who steal to pay for it.

The choice the government is making by reducing the resources to tackle tax evasion is therefore a simple one. They’re saying they think criminals are more important than honest people in real need. And that criminals are more important than people who work for an honest living.

That’s why they choose to ignore £69.9bn of tax evasion in the UK a year.

That’s why they’re sacking tax inspectors.

And they’re wrong to do that. Because in doing so they’re ignoring the biggest single criminal activity in the UK, and the one that’s tearing the heart out of our society and our economy.

And that’s why tax evasion has to be tackled. Now.

 

The research the Tax Justice Network has published this morning on tax evasion is, I think, shocking.

The full report is here. I’ve posted a summary table of tax evasion for 145 countries, here.

The real question is why does this matter? What’s the problem with the UK losing £69.9bn a year to tax evaders? What’s the problem with Italy losing €183bn a year as a result of its 27% shadow economy – a shadow economy of the same size as that in Greece and more than twice the size of that in the UK?

The answer is that it matters for three reasons. The first is that we wouldn’t have a world economic crisis now if we hadn’t had tax evasion. The current crisis focuses on the Euro. Italy is at its epicentre. It has external debt of €1.9 trillion. If only it had suffered the UK’s rate of evasion in the last decade then its deficit would be less than half that sum now. The same would also be true for Greece, and only slight less so for Spain. In other words, if tax evasion in these countries had been taken seriously and been tackled in these countries we would not have a Euro crisis today. That’s how important tax evasion is.

Something similar could be said for the UK. The USA has an evasion rate about two thirds that of the UK. If we had reduced our tax evasion rate to US levels in the last decade we might owe £200 billion less in debt now. Alternatively, cuts of more than £20 billion a year could be avoided in the UK economy now with our debt still being tackled at the current rate. That could prevent most of the current stress in the NHS; sixth formers would still have maintenance allowances and we might not be facing a national strike next week. That’s how important tax evasion is. We wouldn’t need cuts if we tackled it.

Perhaps as important as either of those is, however, the long term impact of tax evasion. When tax evasion is widespread, and that’s obviously true in Greece and Italy but it’s also becoming the case in the UK too, then honesty goes out of the window. No one knows who to trust. No one can succeed running an honest business. Corruption becomes endemic. And with that all prospects for investment in growth, wealth creation, public goods, our future, the elderly, the young and the disadvantaged disappear too. In other words, tax evasion creates poverty.

That’s why tax evasion matters.

 

The Tax Justice Network launches its new web site, Tackle Tax Havens, today.

Watch the campaign video:

 

The Tax Justice Network has issued new research this morning linked to the launch of its new website – Tackle Tax Havens.

The research highlights the cost of tax evasion – which tax havens assist and facilitate – to the world economy.

I undertook this research for the Tax Justice Network, assisted by Tess Riley.

The data used for the research covers more than 98% of world GDP and 145 countries. The full analysis is available here.

Using sources such as the World Bank, CIA World Factbook, research from the World Bank on shadow economies and Heritage Foundation I was able to prepare what I think likely to be the most reliable estimates of tax lost to tax evasion in the world’s most significant economies. This is summarised in the table below. The data tax evaded is shown in both US dollars and local currency converted at 2010 rates.

Country GDP Size of Shadow Economy Tax lost as a result of Shadow Economy Cost of tax evasion, local currency
US$’m % US$’m m
Albania 11,786 34.3 982 104,483
Algeria 159,426 32.6 4,158 304,145
Angola 84,391 46.6 2,399 215,901
Argentina 368,712 25.3 24,347 96,902
Armenia 9,265 44 685 246,553
Australia 924,843 14 39,879 41,474
Austria 376,162 9.7 15,653 12,053
Azerbaijan 51,092 58 5,245 4,301
Bahamas 7,538 26.5 336 336
Bahrain 20,595 17.9 177 67
Bangladesh 100,076 35.3 3,109 214,504
Belarus 54,713 46.4 7,718 23,229,967
Belgium 467,472 21.9 47,605 36,656
Belize 1,432 42.9 139 279
Benin 6,633 49.8 568 285,953
Bhutan 1,516 28.7 39 0
Bolivia 19,786 66.1 3,727 25,943
Bosnia and Herzegovina 16,888 33.6 2,134 3,200
Botswana 14,857 33 1,481 9,994
Brazil 2,087,890 39 280,111 481,791
Bulgaria 47,714 35.3 5,609 8,413
Burkina Faso 8,820 40.5 432 217,538
Burundi 1,611 39.5 115 142,376
Cambodia 11,343 48.7 580 2,458,723
Cameroon 22,394 32 1,326 667,237
Canada 1,574,052 15.7 79,575 81,166
Cape Verde 1,648 35.4 120 9,815
Central African Republic 2,013 45 72 36,017
Chad 7,588 43.7 176 88,453
Chile 203,443 19.3 7,303 3,554,466
China 5,878,629 12.7 134,385 896,351
Colombia 288,189 37.3 20,746 39,833,161
Comoros 541 38.7 23 8,171
Costa Rica 34,564 25.8 1,391 698,279
Cote d’Ivoire 22,780 45.2 1,565 787,703
Croatia 60,852 32.1 4,551 25,442
Cyprus 25,039 28 2,748 2,116
Czech Republic 192,152 18.4 12,799 238,571
Democratic Republic of the Congo 13,145 47.3 815 733,053
Denmark 310,405 17.7 26,921 153,991
Dominican Republic 51,577 31.9 2,468 91,438
Ecuador 58,910 32.4 3,054 3,054
Egypt 218,912 34.9 11,766 68,123
El Salvador 21,796 45.1 1,278 1,278
Equatorial Guinea 14,007 31.4 40 19,923
Estonia 18,674 31.2 1,882 22,583
Ethiopia 29,717 38.7 1,139 18,775
Fiji 3,009 32.4 206 374
Finland 238,801 17.7 18,260 14,060
France 2,560,002 15 171,264 131,873
Gabon 13,011 47.5 612 307,940
Gambia 807 44.3 69 1,922
Georgia 11,667 65.8 1,912 3,364
Germany 3,309,669 16 214,996 165,547
Ghana 31,306 40.6 2,618 3,797
Greece 304,865 27.5 29,427 22,659
Guinea 4,511 39 259 1,571,866
Guinea-Bissau 879 40.9 37 18,456
Guyana 2,222 33.7 151 30,403
Haiti 6,710 56.4 390 15,007
Honduras 15,400 48.3 1,212 22,915
Hungary 130,419 24.4 12,888 2,798,244
Iceland 12,594 15.6 788 92,231
India 1,729,010 22.2 71,394 3,262,719
Indonesia 706,558 18.9 17,761 158,070,661
Iran 331,015 18.3 3,695 30,407,146
Ireland 203,892 15.8 9,922 7,640
Israel 217,333 22 16,017 58,944
Italy 2,051,412 27 238,723 183,817
Jamaica 13,995 34.8 1,266 108,646
Japan 5,497,813 11 171,147 14,347,246
Jordan 27,574 18.5 934 663
Kazakhstan 142,987 41.1 16,279 2,401,100
Kenya 31,409 33.2 2,179 176,314
Kuwait 109,463 19.3 317 89
Kyrgyzstan 4,616 40.4 435 20,335
Laos 7,492 29.6 277 2,226,225
Latvia 24,010 29.2 2,040 1,102
Lebanon 39,155 33.1 2,151 3,227,116
Lesotho 2,132 30.5 410 2,901
Liberia 986 44.2 125 6,107
Libya 62,360 33.7 715 893
Lithuania 36,306 32 3,555 9,421
Luxembourg 55,096 9.7 1,951 1,502
Macedonia 9,118 37.6 970 44,436
Madagascar 8,721 40.8 459 922,877
Malawi 5,106 41.8 352 53,176
Malaysia 237,804 30.9 11,243 35,639
Maldives 1,480 29.5 92 0
Mali 9,251 40.7 565 284,251
Malta 7,987 27.2 782 602
Mauritius 9,729 22.7 420 12,714
Mexico 1,039,662 30 25,576 319,696
Mongolia 6,083 17.6 330 416,289
Morocco 91,196 34.9 8,562 72,773
Namibia 12,170 30.3 915 6,466
Nepal 15,701 36.7 599 43,717
Netherlands 783,413 13.2 41,157 31,691
New Zealand 126,679 12.4 5,419 7,262
Nicaragua 6,551 44.6 526 11,460
Norway 414,462 18.7 32,629 202,302
Oman 46,866 18.4 259 101
Pakistan 174,799 35.7 6,365 545,492
Papua New Guinea 9,480 36.7 925 2,295
Paraguay 18,475 38.8 846 3,975,539
Peru 153,845 58 14,277 40,403
Philippines 199,589 41.6 11,707 516,283
Poland 468,585 27.2 44,482 138,339
Portugal 228,538 23 19,817 15,259
Qatar 98,313 18.8 906 3,297
Republic of the Congo 11,898 46.4 293 147,263
Romania 161,624 32.6 15,016 49,404
Russia 1,479,819 43.8 221,023 6,940,116
Saudi Arabia 434,666 18.1 5,193 19,472
Senegal 12,954 43.8 1,038 522,584
Sierra Leone 1,905 45.6 94 388,967
Singapore 222,699 12.9 4,079 5,385
Slovakia 89,034 18.1 4,722 3,636
Slovenia 47,763 26.2 4,705 3,623
Solomon Islands 679 33.6 55 407
South Africa 363,704 27.3 25,518 180,411
South Korea 1,014,483 26.8 72,320 83,902,586
Spain 1,407,405 22.5 107,350 82,659
Sri Lanka 49,552 43.9 2,893 322,157
Suriname 3,252 37.8 259 726
Sweden 458,004 18.8 41,244 290,359
Switzerland 523,772 8.5 13,089 13,089
Syria 59,013 19 1,144 53,124
Taiwan 430,600 25 13,887 423,549
Tajikistan 5,640 42.2 445 1,958
Tanzania 23,057 56.4 1,925 2,854,202
Thailand 318,847 50.6 25,814 776,997
Trinidad & Tobago 20,398 33.4 1,322 8,353
Tunisia 44,291 37.2 3,691 5,351
Turkey 735,264 31.3 54,082 81,664
Uganda 17,011 42.3 856 1,980,582
Ukraine 137,929 49.7 25,844 203,906
United Arab Emirates 230,252 25.9 1,073 3,940
United Kingdom 2,246,079 12.5 109,216 69,898
United States 14,582,400 8.6 337,349 337,349
Uruguay 40,265 50.6 3,647 72,575
Venezuela 387,852 33.8 17,829 46,355
Vietnam 103,572 15.1 3,691 71,972,390
Yemen 26,365 27.1 522 111,618
Zambia 16,193 47.1 1,335 6,573,437
61,737,918 3,132,490

 

 

Interesting commentary from Andreas Whittam Smith in the Independent this morning, who says:

What are people angry about? The deepening recession? Yes. The high level of youth unemployment? Yes. The excesses of the bankers? Yes. But more than anything, I believe, people are rattled by the widening gap between the “haves” and the “have-nots”. The banners at demonstrations that proclaim, “We are the 99 per cent” speak eloquently to that. “We are getting nothing, while the other 1 per cent is getting everything.” Many people think so.

And he concludes:

[G]overnments can make changes in personal taxation. They can deal with the hidden truth about taxes on the very rich: that they are easily avoided.

The millionaire who, when his fortune is made, goes to live in the Isle of Man, is a tax dodger. The rich man who purchases a farm for its tax advantages, even though he has zero knowledge of and interest in agriculture, is a tax dodger. The employees of investment banks who benefited from trusts that gave them non-repayable loans so that they could avoid paying National Insurance (schemes that were subsequently closed down by HM Revenue & Customs) were tax dodgers. Making the rich pay all their taxes would be a good place to start in the enormous task of reducing inequality.

Precisely so.

But the tax profession is clearly already lining up to oppose Graham Aaronson’s proposed attack on the most egregious tax abuse schemes.

Will those who support tax abuse never listen?

And why do government’s continually listen to the abusers and not those who want to do the tight thing? Why is it so hard to support ethical behaviour?