These were my Brexit thoughts last night (please read from the bottom up) when on a train heading for home.
Not much has changed this morning:
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It’s now beginning to dawn the EU was never the only “union” the “British” could leave in this sorry Brexit saga especially when economic chickens come home to roost!
I will be surprised if parliament doesn’t balk at the concessions made and that it may put the issue back to the people. Whether it will do so via a referendum or an election I don’t know. I’d like it to be the former and only after legislation to prevent some of the past abuses.
Either way, I still feel that the UK is headed for break-up, and the English for a period of discovering that their real place in the world isn’t what they imagined it to be.
The last thing the country needs is another ‘advisory referendum’, a mechanism that the Supreme Court has already ruled is non-justiciable. To stop the manifest abuses of the process that took place in 2016 any referendum needs to by a process that is subject to the rule of law .
In what way was the 2016 referendum not conducted under the rule of law?
Over 200 people partitioned the High Court to have EU Referendum result voided because of the manifestly illegal acts that took place. This reached the Supreme Court in Dec 2016 and the Justices ruled that they could not pass judgement on the legality of an Advisory Referendum because any decision to implement the result was a purely political one and not one that was enforceable in law.
And will Boris renege on any deal he does anyway? https://www.craigmurray.org.uk
The Tories and some members of other parties are certainly in cloud cuckoo land over this issue. For example this morning on BBC Radio 4 Today programme David Davies (former Brexit minister) said that once we are out of the EU we can trade with the rest of the word with no problem. He said there had been a “small” increase in trade with other countries in recent years but no examples of what counties we could export to, what commodities we could sell, no statistics or detail whatsoever such as how we get WTO agreements or how long this will take.
He said that the growth is outside the UK, which it true.
But an unfeasible ten-fold increase in our trade with Ruritania or Uqbar, from £100 million to £1 billion, is not going to compensate for even a 1% drop in our £300 billion trade with the EU.
They are not levelling with us about how much this is going to cost us. The EU is big and nearby, and we have been embedded in it for nearly 5 decades. Most of the world is small and far away (some places, like the US and India and China, are big and far away, but they not going to cut us a soft deal because they like the cut of our jib, or because we might otherwise send in the gunships – and some places remember when we used to do that).
Agreed