The FT reports this morning that:

Eurozone banks are raising the threat of being nationalised in an effort to fend off suffering losses of up to 50 per cent on their Greek bonds should the terms of Greece’s bail-out be redrawn.

Now let’s get real here: these banks are dead in the water. They’re going to fail the tests of solvency that they must pass to continue trading. It’s their own fault they’ll fail: they made the mistakes (following Goldman Sachs lead, let’s be clear) of funding a government that had been duped into acts of deception by the very banks now failing as a consequence.

And now they’re bleating that they can’t be nationalised? Don’t they realise that is inevitable?

More than that, since they’ve failed don’t they realise the only rightful act is that their equity is wiped out and nationalisation take place for nothing, with the new state provided bank capital owning 100% of the company?

That is the only way forward. It’s what the rule of the market demands. But they don’t like that rule, not when it does not suit them.

 

This is the FTSE for the last three months, care of Google, screen captured a few minutes ago:

This makes no sense at all unless some very particular circumstances exist.

This weekend we’ll be seeing discussion to bail out the Euro. That will extract vast amounts of value out of the Eurozone, depress demand and increase unemployment and austerity in the way it seems likely to be undertaken. Markets should therefore be down. They’re ludicrously high. It was as if nothing much had really happened in the years since 2007.

How can that be? Well only because those with the biggest stakes in the market think that they will be the biggest beneficiaries of this bail out and that despite the impact on the rest of the economy they will do well out of it. As a result they’ve priced that into the market.

It’s either that or they’re stupid.

But we have to be stupid if they get away with this again.

 

As Bloomberg reports:

Liechtenstein Prime Minister Klaus Tschuetscher said the principality will seek a withholding tax on undeclared German assets in its banks along the lines of a recently signed German-Swiss tax agreement, Die Zeit reported.

Liechtenstein’s government is in talks with Germany’s Finance Ministry about an agreement and Tschuetscher said he prefers new rules to take effect next year at the same time as the Swiss accord, he told the newspaper in an interview. There should be no regulatory gaps between Switzerland and Liechtenstein with respect to Germany, he said.

Well of course Liechtenstein wants that. Since the vast majority of assets in Liechtenstein are held in structures where there are no legal owners no assets will need declaration but the appearance of compliance and cooperation will be high whilst the game of abuse goes on.

This is what Dave Hartnett at HMRC set in motion by signalling the UK would sign such a deal. It’s still not clear Germany will, but he did for the UK presumably with the approval of George Osborne.

Remember that when you can’t get the medical services you need or your children can’t get the education they need: the Tories have gone out of the way to help the rich keep their assets well out of reach of tax authorities here and elsewhere, and deliberately so.

That’s the reality of what is happening. It’s neo-feudalism in action.

 

 

In my last post I suggested the recession may be a deliberate act, created by the banks to make the rich richer and the poor poorer. It is certainly having that outcome.

This is the theory of Plutonomy. I have referred to this before, here. It was also dealt with very well recently on the Think Left web site. The theory of Plutonomy is explained there as follows:

The term ‘Plutonomy’ was first coined by Citigroup analysts in 2005, to “describe a country that is defined by massive income and wealth inequality” and specifically identifies the U.K., Canada, Australia, and the United States as plutonomies.

In their report, published three years before the onset of the financial crisis in 2008, the Citigroup report stated that:

“…asset booms, a rising profit share and favourable treatment by market-friendly governments have allowed the rich to prosper and become a greater share of the economy in the plutonomy countries,” and that, “the rich are in great shape, financially.”

As the Federal Reserve reported, “the nation’s top 1% of households own more than half the nation’s stocks,” and “they also control more than $16 trillion in wealth — more than the bottom 90%.”

‘In fact, (the Citigroup report) said, America was composed of two distinct groups: the rich and the rest. And for the purposes of investment decisions, the second group didn’t matter; tracking its spending habits or worrying over its savings rate was a waste of time. All the action in the American economy was at the top: the richest 1 percent of households earned as much each year as the bottom 60 percent put together; they possessed as much wealth as the bottom 90 percent; and with each passing year, a greater share of the nation’s treasure was flowing through their hands and into their pockets. It was this segment of the population, almost exclusively, that held the key to future growth and future returns. The analysts, Ajay Kapur, Niall Macleod, and Narendra Singh, had coined a term for this state of affairs: plutonomy.’

Worryingly, the Plutonomy Update (14.08.11) concludes:

The report further asserted that, “the middle-class has suffered more than the wealthy from the housing crash because middle-class families tended to rely more on their homes to build savings through rising equity. Also, the wealthy naturally had a much larger and more diverse portfolio of assets — stocks, bonds, etc.”

In short, when the day comes where the rest of the industrialized world falls into the same trap as Greece, the middle class will be pushed down into the lower class, and a global socio-economic plutonomy will emerge. The middle class cannot survive the perfect storm of fiscal austerity, increased interest rates, inflation and ‘Structural Adjustment.’ We are entering a global age of austerity, where our political leaders commit social genocide for the benefit of the global banks, and at the behest of the institutions that represent them. The IMF and other supranational institutions increase their own powers and authority in order to punish and impoverish large populations. What has been done to the ‘Third World’ – the ‘Global South’ – over the past several decades is now being done to us, in the industrialized North.

Is Plutonomy real in the sense it was planned? I think so. Is the plan still rolling? Yes, I think so too. And this weekend it will go forward another stop when trillions are given to the rich to bail out their wealth.

 

Doug Saunders of the Globe and Mail in the USA had an article in his paper at the weekend saying:

How do you scrape together an extra trillion? That, in the end, is what the world needs to know. And the answer is right in front of us.

A trillion euros, more or less, is what needs to be put up by [Europe]’s governments, and soon, to stabilize the economies and get banks lending and companies hiring again. And, across the Atlantic, a trillion dollars is what many observers feel ought to be put into the U.S. economy, quick, to get growth and employment back on track. (Instead, hampered by Congress, Barack Obama’s jobs bill offers a pale fraction of that.) Without spending a trillion, both these huge economies could lose a lot more, fast.

The analysis is a bit simplistic, but not far out. We do have to nationalise banks in Europe. And the US badly needs a real stimulus. But as he notes:

But a thousand billion in anyone’s currency is not to be found by looking under sofa cushions. Nobody has it lying around; quite the contrary, everyone holds a lot of debt, and the sums needed to kick the world’s economies into gear could raise that debt to crisis levels.

But, as it happens, there’s a trillion to be found. It could easily be obtained without raising taxes: We just need to start applying our current taxes to all the money people actually earn. In fact, the debt crisis would end overnight if we did that in a concerted way.

That’s the answer. There’s no ifs or buts. We have to raise tax. But not any tax. Very specific taxes. As Saunders notes:

The monitoring group Global Financial Integrity estimates that people and companies are stashing away $9.4-trillion in secret offshore banks in places such as Luxembourg, Singapore and the Virgin Islands to avoid paying taxes on it. That’s $2-trillion more than all the money held in all the banks in the United States. Taxed at 11 per cent (a fraction of what’s actually owed on it), this would yield an instant trillion.

Now of course that’s a tax on the capital, not the income. But that capital is there because much of it is illicit and has never been taxed, so taxing the capital is wholly appropriate. Taxed at proper rates due at the time this cash was hidden from view, with interest and penalties applied most of this offshore money belongs to the governments of the world. So as Saunders argued:

At a time when ordinary people are being asked to bear heavier burdens and lose vital government services in order to pay for rescuing the economy, it’s unconscionable that large sums go untaxed. It’s particularly galling that most of this money is held by extremely wealthy people who are taxed, legally, at lower rates than those who struggle to feed their families. As Congress revealed this week, there are 94,000 people with earnings over $1-million a year who pay lower tax rates than their secretaries.

The Swiss Bankers’ Association has admitted half the money it holds may be illicit. Much of that is moving to Singapore right now.

We have a choice: we can save the world from its financial crisis. We can do so without punishing ordinary people. We can raise the money we need. We just have to tackle tax havens head on. We have to employ the tax inspectors to do this. We have to out in place the measures to do this. We have to tackle the political issues to do this.

If we don’t we make a choice to make the rich rich and the poor poorer. And if we don’t we acquiesce in the plan of a wealthy elite that this should be the outcome of the recession the banks created to achieve this goal.

 

The following statement was issued by the Dean and Chapter of St Paul’s Cathedral this morning:

The Dean & Chapter of St Paul’s Cathedral issued the following statement this morning (Monday 17th October):

“Services at St Paul’s Cathedral were able to take place as normal this weekend but the last few days have not been without various challenges. Our chief concern is that St Paul’s be allowed to operate as normally as possible and for all people to be respectful of this need.

Public safety has been a major concern. We have been in constant touch with the police and community leaders. As the City of London returns to work this morning we are monitoring the situation carefully.

On Sunday the protestors did reduce their presence on the landing and steps of the West Doors enough to allow people to come in to worship throughout the day.

It is also now important that the thousands of visitors wishing to visit the cathedral and to enjoy our hospitality this week are able to do so freely and that the daily life of St Paul’s Cathedral can continue without serious interruption.”

It’s an extraordinary comment to issue. What’s important to them? That the Cathedral can carry in as normal. What does that really mean? That its turnstiles can continue to take the money. That is what that statement really means. This, as they make very clear, is their chief concern.

Any mention of the poor and those protesting on their behalf? No, none at all. Any Christian message at all? No, none. Just a wish that things carry on as normal and the cash keeps flowing.

That’s appalling. And what it confirms is that they really do think two things. The first is that their neighbours in the City have no questions to answer. The second is that the prime concern of the Dean and Chapter is running a tourist attraction.

Shame on them.

 

According to Bloomberg the German government has acquired a CD providing the names of 3,000 alleged tax wavered in Luxembourg.

The source? HSBC.

HSBC has, of course, also been the source of the biggest list of tax evaders from Switzerland. Is there a pattern emerging?

And what has the Rev Lord Stephen Green, Tory trade minister and former HSBC chair got to say about it all? This happened on his watch and the standard response of ‘it is the customer’s duty to pay tax’ does not wash. Everyone knows Luxembourg has held out for banking secrecy to help tax evaders – and has refused EU cooperation for this reason. I put it very simply – there is no bank in Luxembourg with customers who refuse to information exchange under the EU Savings Tax Directive who does not know why their customer refuses to do this.

So what say you Lord Green? How come his bank and others seem so involved in assisting tax evasion – which by definition is a crime? Is an explanation to be issued soon? Or are we going to sign a dodgy deal with Luxembourg instead preventing HMC using this data to prosecute criminals?

Bloomberg link : http://www.businessweek.com/news/2011-10-14/germany-acquires-tax-cd-related-to-luxembourg-ministry-says.html

 

The Task Force on Financial Integrity & Economic Development (of which Tax Research UK is a committee member) released the following communiqué following its 2011 annual conference, held this year in Paris, France on October 6-7, 2011:

This past week, the Task Force on Financial Integrity and Economic Development (Task Force) concluded its annual two-day conference in Paris, France, building upon its success in recent years establishing an awareness and understanding of the problem of illicit financial flows and the importance of increasing transparency in the global financial system.

The Task Force further developed its five recommendations for achieving greater transparency in the global financial system—beneficial ownership disclosure, automatic tax information exchange, trade mispricing curtailment, country-by-country reporting by multinational corporations, and better anti-money-laundering laws, into a working plan for the G20—taking into account obstacles and logistics of implementation.

Specifically, the Task Force recommends the following next steps for the G20, when it meets next month:

  1. Support ongoing efforts to improve domestic resource mobilization for tax collection and empower anti-corruption efforts through greater transparency and accountability of Multinational Corporations (MNCs) in the Extractive Industries. Specifically, (1) support full implementation of the Cardin-Lugar provisions (Section 1504) of the Dodd–Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2011 as well as similar legislation that is currently moving through the European Union, and encourage G20 member countries to adopt similar provisions for country-by-country reporting by MNCs in the extractive industries; (2) explore mechanisms and standards to increase transparency on MNCs contributions to governments beyond the extractives; and, (3) encourage members to commit to the Convention on Mutual Administrative Assistance in Tax Matters.
  2. Urge the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) to include (1) establishment of tax evasion as a predicate offense for money laundering, and (2) improvement of the peer review process for member countries in the 40+9 Recommendations as a result of the Review of the Standards currently underway.
  3. Strengthen anti-bribery provisions by implementing and enforcing laws criminalizing foreign bribery and prohibiting off-the-books accounts in accordance with the OECD Convention Against Bribery of Foreign Public Officials and UN Convention Against Corruption (UNCAC), and regularly reporting on the enforcement of these laws.
  4. Call upon member countries to establish national registers of companies, trusts, and other legal entities with information on accounts, beneficial owners, nominee intermediaries, managers, trustees, and settlers. This information should be made available to any tax authority.

Every year, developing countries lose approximately $1.3 trillion in illicit financial outflows—the proceeds of crime, corruption, tax evasion, and trade mispricing. This loss of capital outpaces current levels of foreign aid by a ratio of 10 to 1. Curtailing these outflows is crucial to nurturing a stable and robust economic recovery in global markets, stamping out political corruption and crime, and fostering good governance in emerging economies.

The Task Force on Financial Integrity and Economic Development is a unique global coalition of civil society organizations and more than 50 governments working together to address inequalities in the financial system that penalize billions of people.

 

As Jill Segger reported on the Ekklesia web site on Saturday:

[The] Met[reopolitan Police] announced its intention to move people from the the steps of St Paul’s “to maintain the integrity of the cathedral.”

How profoundly misjudged that was.

And as she also reported:

Since this was written, the chancellor of St Paul’s, Giles Fraser, has publicly supported the rights of protest and has asked the police to leave demonstrators alone in the vicinity of the Cathedral. Demonstrators have also praised the friendliness of staff there.

But as I have noted, and will continue to note, saying people have a right to protest outside the Cathedral is not enough. Giles Fraser also said that the protests did not disturb Sunday worship in the Cathedral. Well that’s not god enough Giles. They should have done. They should have had a profound impact. Not least because as a commentator on this blog noted:

I wonder what St Pauls preacher had to say on Sunday morning. The Gospel text will have been Matthew 22:15-22 – Jesus is asked whether the Jewish Law would permit the payment of tax, in Roman coinage, to the Emperor. Whence comes the famous reply, “give to Caesar what belongs to Caesar, and to God what belongs to God”.

The OccupyLSX movement has now issued its first announcement on what its aims are. High on the list is tax justice. Was that in yesterday’s sermon? I hope so. It needed to be. Because this issue is at the core of what St Paul’s should be about. It should be demanding tax justice from the City of London.

And I’m looking for delivery.

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