The Guardian reports:

Britain’s stagnating economy faces months of gloom after a series of business surveys showed profits down and confidence among industry bosses waning.

A report by the accountants Ernst & Young found that UK companies issued 50% more profit warnings in the first three months of the year compared to the fourth quarter of 2010 as a squeeze on household spending, soaring commodity prices and rising inflation eroded consumer and business spending.

There’s nothing suprising about this: it was inevitable.

The idea that austerity could create a private sector boom was always the work of fantasists.

I predicted 4 million unemployed some time ago now. I stick by it.

I also explained that the marginal cost of the government employing people when there is mass unemployment is tiny.

There is only one way out of the mess we’re in: the government has to start spending now.

I and the Green New Deal group have said this all along. But still they won’t listen. But we did tell them. And we’re paying the price for their pig headedness now.

 

I spent some time in the company of doctors at the weekend, as is often my habit.

Several asked me why the government has announced a delay in the legislation to privatise the NHS because as they’re seeing on the ground, nothing is changing there. The pace of change, all of it involving illegal spending without legislative backing, is preceding apace, but the talk in politics is of a three month moratorium. What did I think was happening, they asked?

My explanation is a relatively simple one. I don’t think the Tories have changed any of their thinking. I think they’re still planning to push the whole package through. The three month delay means though that the story falls out of the media until early July – and then it’s almost the long recess and then it’s summer. September is conference season and with luck what the Tories hope is that with the story out of the limelight between now and then everyone will have forgotten it by early autumn.

Then they come back in October to Westminster and it will be only weeks until the session is over – so it will be massive stress and guillotines all round to try to force it through with minimum time in the press.

It’s a massive gamble on their part, but that’s what I think the plan is – they want to play brinksmanship to get their Act in October – and they believe they can beat the LibDems into submission then.

But in the meantime with the extraordinary arrogance they reveal by the day they’re treating it as a done deal. Actually there’ s six months to go – and that’s a massive opportunity to effect change.

My judgement? I think they’ve called this wrong. But maybe that’s wishful thinking.

 

As stuff.co.nz reports:

Tax haven activist Nicholas Shaxson has hit out at New Zealand for opposing a plan to create a UN body to tackle tax haven abuse.

Shaxson, who has become famous following the publication of Treasure Islands: Tax Havens and the Men Who Stole the World, said New Zealand is letting down the developing world.

He has also revealed that New Zealand has a growing reputation as an offshore haven itself. He predicts New Zealand will appear on the Tax Justice Network’s Financial Secrecy Index by 2013.

In January, New Zealand’s permanent mission to the UN in New York said it did not support the creation of a new intergovernmental body or upgrading existing structures noting the creation would have “resource implications”.

Nick is right:

1) New Zealand is a tax haven;

2) The resources referred to are those looted from developing countries through New Zealand trust structures.

New Zealand likes to play all innocent on this issue but it’s pretty pernicious.

And opprobrium should follow.

The UN can work to help developing countries on this issue. Tax havens like New Zealand don’t want them to do so.

It’s not coincidence.

It’s a deliberate choice to exploit poverty.

 

The US budget went though in the end.

There was the inevitable horse trading.

One important part – to get the deal through the Republicans demanded that it be agreed that the IRS could hire no new agents.

So the US has a budget deficit and the easiest way to solve it is to collect the tax owing – but the Republicans refuse that option.

The only explanations are:

- seeking to undermine the rule of law

- seeking to undermine democracy

- stupidity

- all three of those noted previously.

 

The Bermuda Royal Gazette reports:

Bermuda is the “jewel in the crown” of the British Overseas Territories and is not a tax haven, according to the UK Minister with responsibility for the Island.

Henry Bellingham, the Parliamentary Undersecretary of State at the Foreign and Commonwealth Office, told The Royal Gazettethat Bermuda’s economic success was the envy of many countries and that Britain might “do well to observe the successes of Bermuda’s fiscal system”.

Bermuda’s low taxes were a feature of its economic success, he added, and people who described it as a “tax haven” were missing the point.

“I think the whole argument of offshore havens has really run its course,” Mr Bellingham said. “I wouldn’t describe Bermuda as a tax haven, I’d describe Bermuda as being a very well run country that is able to have low taxes because it’s got a very strong economy that is able to deliver enough wealth and prosperity to supply services like schools, health, law and order all the essential services a country needs.

“It can do that within the context of a low-tax regime. Bermuda’s the envy of a lot of other countries. Those countries that go on about Bermuda and other countries being tax havens, I think, completely miss the point.”

He added:

“The UK could do well to observe very closely the successes of the Bermuda fiscal system.

“We believe strongly that each of the Territories should have the opportunity to pursue economic models that suit them and they have to do that in a very tough global economy. No business in the world owes anybody a living and no country in the world, be it the UK, Bermuda or the United States, has a right to expect businesses to come to them.”

Mr Bellingham added that he thought the UK made a net financial gain from its relationship with the Island.

“There are a number of world-class UK companies that have subsidiaries in Bermuda, or do business there because of the advantages of the Bermuda economy,” Mr Bellingham said. “That helps the UK businesses. If the UK insisted on higher taxes in Bermuda, or did what France did with some of her territories, that is integrate them into France so they pay the same rates of tax as France, that might be attractive in the short term but it would take away some of the unique advantages of the Bermudian economy.

“I think that the UK gets a lot of advantages out of Bermuda, because a number of our companies are making bigger profits as a result of the success of the Bermuda economy and that is helping the UK Exchequer. I would say that more than offsets the small cost for the UK of carrying out the commitments that we have.”

The article goes on in similar view: Bellingham was gushing in his praise.

And he’s a fool.

Bermuda has a serious financial crisis and is in debt.

And like all tax havens it survives on the basis of deceit and illicit financial flows.

Is that what he really wants to promote?

Actually apparently so:

Mr Bellingham added that the level of financial regulation in Bermuda “we think strikes the right balance between transparency, compliance with international norms and also provides a very competitive environment for business”.

The man is going out of his way to promote anticompetitive practices, market distortions, mistrust, tax avoidance and evasion, poor governance and the next breakdown of capitalism.

At least he is honest about it.

And in the meantime North King’s Lynn within his constituency is one of the poorest areas of the UK. And he does nothing for it.

Worse, the reforms he’s supporting will make life there very much worse.

Sickening.

 

I think you know my answer to that, but I wasn’t asking. Reuters were. As they put it:

Tax havens have been blamed (and lauded in some quarters) for many things. But a new book that is causing quite a stir says they are a key reason behind African poverty and underdevelopment.

“Treasure Islands: Tax Havens and the Men who Stole the World” by Nicholas Shaxson argues among other things that they are “deep drains of development.”

shaxsonpic

“Poverty in Africa cannot be understood without understanding the role of offshore. The world’s worst war for years has been the civil conflict in the Democratic Republic of Congo, which is tied in with the wholesale looting of its mineral resources via tax havens,” he writes.

As they add:

The broad brush — and this is a simplication of the overall argument — is that tax havens enable the flight of scarce capital from Africa to other regions, stunting the continent’s ability to develop on a range of fronts. Such havens inclue not only tropical destinations like the Cayman Islands but the City of London and the U.S. state of Delaware.

And global efforts to curtail them, a subject we have written on before, have been largely ineffective. Resource-rich countries are also, for a range of reasons, more prone to capital outflows to tax havens and other offshore institutions. And Africa is rich in resources.

Shaxson’s work is in many ways a counter-argument to the “aid is bad” consensus that is taking hold in some quarters.

A counter-argument that has been sorely needed.

Warmly endorsed and now published in USA too.

 

From the Guardian today (and following on from the Billy Bragg article I commented on this morning):

In everything I have ever written or done I have criticised the domination of capital and argued for the democratic renewal of the Labour movement to resist its power. That is all I stand for really. Resistance to commodification through democratic organisation. That’s the position. Labour as a radical tradition that pursues the common good. That is Blue Labour, and the rest is commentary.

If only more people could say that.

Good for Maurice Glasman, I say.

 

I discussed this on Radio 2 yesterday.

Listen again, here.

 

I have the following article in the latest edition of the London Review of Books:

In his budget last month George Osborne announced that if in the future a UK company runs its internal banking arrangements through a tax haven subsidiary it will benefit from a special tax rate of just 5.75 per cent of the resulting profits. The rate is exceptionally low: the same activity undertaken in the UK is taxed at 23 per cent. It is a change that will delight corporate tax avoiders everywhere: the UK will now condone the use of tax havens in locations such as the Cayman Islands, Jersey and the Isle of Man. It is expected that by 2016 more than one sixth of corporation tax will come from such offshore activities.

No one has yet offered a definition of ‘tax haven’ on which we can all agree. The IMF, the OECD and the other main agencies tend to adopt the language they think acceptable to their own constituency. The term ‘tax haven’ is too obviously value laden, as the French equivalent, paradis fiscal, makes clear. ‘Offshore’, too, conjures images of island paradises, when some of the locations involved – Liechtenstein, for example – are landlocked. ‘International financial centre’, a creation of the financial services industry, seems designed solely to give an air of respectability.
There are four primary uses for ‘tax haven’ locations. First, they are used by those wishing to avoid or evade their obligation to pay tax. Tax avoidance is legal, but contrary to the spirit of taxation law, while tax evasion is always illegal, involving the non-disclosure of a source of income to an authority that has a legal right to know about it.

Second, they are used to hide criminal activities from view. That criminal activity might be tax evasion itself, but might also be money-laundering or crimes generating cash that needs to be laundered – theft, fraud, corruption, insider dealing, piracy, financing of terrorism, drug trafficking, human trafficking, counterfeiting, bribery and extortion.

Third, they are used by those who want their activities to be anonymous, even if they are entirely legitimate. Some people wish to hide their wealth from their spouses, for example; others might want to conduct trade which, though legitimate, might risk their reputation.

Fourth, they are used by those seeking somewhere cheaper to do business; in these locations they can usually avoid the costly obligation to comply with regulations that would apply onshore.
The need for anonymity is common to all these activities, which take place in what one might call the ‘secrecy world’. Secrecy is a property right like any other. To create and protect it requires the rule of law. Governments that choose to create laws allowing it to exist must have status as international jurisdictions (though not necessarily as countries, as the British Crown Dependencies demonstrate). Since no jurisdiction willingly undermines its own laws, the secrecy so created can be used only by people residing outside its own domain. The regulations created by these ‘secrecy jurisdictions’ are designed to undermine the legislation or regulations of another jurisdiction. To facilitate matters, a legally backed veil of secrecy ensures that those making use of them cannot be identified as doing so.

Secrecy jurisdictions raise revenue by collecting fees from registering companies. They may also charge fees for regulating the financial services industry located in their domain, and collect tax on the personal earnings of anyone working in that industry. In some locations, such as Jersey, taxes on the profits of banks comprise a significant part of the state’s revenue and the financial services industry accounts for half of GDP.

All this is possible because secrecy jurisdictions create the structures that the financial services industry sells access to. Typical among these are tax haven companies. These are extremely secretive: no information about them is made available on any public register, and very often the local tax authorities know nothing about them either. Yet even that level of secrecy tends to be insufficient for those engaged in offshore activities. The tax haven companies are almost invariably owned by trusts, which are also registered offshore and are run by the local financial services industry through specialist companies. The trusts are completely anonymous: there is no record of them on any public register; they are not taxed locally and local tax authorities know nothing about them. The person creating them is not identified in the trust documentation, which never specifies who the beneficiaries are. An offshore company owned by an offshore trust presents an almost impenetrable barrier to inquiry, equivalent to the banking secrecy offered in a country like Switzerland, not least to law enforcement agencies and tax authorities around the world – hence the reputation offshore has for assisting crime.

The bankers, lawyers and accountants who operate from these jurisdictions provide ‘secrecy services’ to their clients. These ‘secrecy providers’ may call themselves ‘offshore finance centres’ or ‘international finance centres’, but that is misleading. Secrecy is what they are selling.

The customers for secrecy services will never be found in the jurisdiction in which their provider is located. They are always located ‘elsewhere’ – that is, outside the secrecy jurisdiction’s domain. ‘Elsewhere’ is, in many ways, a more appropriate term than ‘offshore’. It allows secrecy jurisdictions, secrecy providers and their customers to maintain the claim that they are conducting legitimate, well-regulated activities, because the substance of the transactions arranged by secrecy providers always takes place ‘elsewhere’. Regulatory compliance within the secrecy jurisdiction is, as a result, easy to engineer, because nothing happens there, but transactions undertaken ‘elsewhere’ will also escape regulation in the jurisdiction where the activity is actually taking place. That of course is the intention.

Secrecy jurisdictions argue that because the transactions take place ‘elsewhere’, they are not taxable within the secrecy jurisdiction: such places choose not to tax transactions happening outside their domain. They then insist that declaring these transactions is the responsibility of their clients. That way the secrecy providers are able to argue that they are fully tax compliant.
We might think of this domain, in which the real transactions arranged by real secrecy providers take place, as the ‘secrecy space’. It is always ‘elsewhere’, and in that sense does not exist, but the willingness of secrecy providers, their clients, governments and authorities to behave as if it did creates the libertarian dream of an ungoverned domain for the making of unregulated profit. The truth is that multinational corporations do not really have offshore operations: they simply record some transactions in the secrecy space. George Osborne’s corporation tax reforms give the clearest possible indication that the Treasury has accepted the legitimacy of the secrecy space.

Osborne’s changes will inevitably result in a loss of tax revenue to the UK. Serious as that is, there will be other consequences too. The UK is actively encouraging companies to conduct transactions in the secrecy world, but who will regulate the resulting trade? Just as important, what are the implications for governance when a government and major corporations condone the use of a space that exists only as a legal fabrication? How can we even estimate, still less do anything about the associated risks?

Unaccountably, professional economists have almost entirely ignored the issue of tax havens. The few academics who have examined them argue that tax havens are beneficial. And yet, it is obvious that by denying access to information, they are an aberration in neoclassical economic theory, bound to result in the misallocation of resources in a market system. To some in the market – individuals as well as corporations – tax havens are, needless to say, of enormous benefit. Those who have access to them will, given the prices charged, be those with access to significant wealth. They reduce their effective tax rates by cloaking their tax avoidance and tax evasions in secrecy; their capital increases exponentially quicker than others’ as a result; this fact is hidden from view and, therefore, does not attract comment. No wonder they continue to survive. The question is: who is paying the price?

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