I’m on my way to Jersey.

And I admit to some considerable pleasure at the prospect. It is a place I really like, where I have good friends, and it is a part of the Channel Islands that have been part of my affection since boyhood summer holidays.

I am aware that I have a busy schedule of interviews and meetings. But my message is simple. It is that I have asked for three things of Jersey and other tax havens / secrecy jurisdictions. These are:

1) An emphasis on openness, transparency and accountability, all of which are pre-conditions of effective markets;

2) An end to the tax abuse they promote behind a veil of secrecy;

3) Promotion of the idea of tax compliance that is defined as seeking to pay the right amount of tax (but no more) in the right place at the right time where right means that the economic substance of the transactions undertaken coincides with the place and form in which they are reported for taxation purposes.

I believe all three of these are vital to the creation of stable, sustainable economies world wide. I also believe that is true for Jersey itself, which has to come to term with a range of problems right now:

a) That the EU has, by rejecting zero / ten said Jersey is as much a tax haven now as it was back in 1997 when the EU tax haven initiative began;

b) That the EU will require the UK to take action on this issue;

c) This means Jersey has to reform its tax system;

d) That tax system is, in any event, creating profound problems for Jersey since the measures put in place that were supposed to close the deficit zero / ten was meant to create have already failed – simply because they were meanrt to ensure that the £100 million deficit from zero / ten was closed, and yet despite GST, PAYE and twenty means twenty all having been tried the deficit is, for all practical purposes still at £100 million a  year;

e) Reform is, therefore, essential and unavoidable – and running away to independence is not a viable option;

f) Plan B – that I wrote last year – remains (extraordinarily) the only thought out alternative economic plan for Jersey. It may not be everyone’s desired alternative – and for many in finance it won’t be – but it is on the table. What else is bar continuing problems, growing deficits, increasing alienation from the international community and a loss of confidence from the finance industry as the threat of imposed change increases if Jersey fails to embrace the need itself.

That’s it in a nutshell.

What is encouraging is that some in Jersey do recognise the reality of their situation.

And I’m looking forward to discussing these issues, and to hearing alternative opinion over the next day or so.

 

As the Mail on Sunday reports today:

When Barclays boss Bob Diamond confirmed that the bank had about 300 subsidiaries in tax havens there were gasps of dismay at a Treasury Select Committee hearing earlier this month.

Few at the highly charged meeting would have believed such a vast network of offshore companies existed, potentially allowing the bank and its clients to avoid huge sums in tax. They would still be in the dark had MP Chuka Umunna not put the figure to Diamond in the first place.

But a Financial Mail investigation can reveal that Barclays’ Byzantine structure is far from unusual. In fact it is more the tip of the iceberg as far as Britain’s biggest companies are concerned. More than 1,000 subsidiaries in offshore tax havens are operated by Britain’s 20 biggest companies alone.

They also produce a table:

article-1349583-0CDD457C000005DC-503_468x286.jpg

I have a pretty strong suspicion the estimate is understated – and does not use as its basis the full list of secrecy jurisdictions that the Tax Justice Network suggests appropriate.

The report, which I think is mainly yore work of Alex Hawkes, who has had long term interest in such issues and with whom I have spoken over many years, reveals some interesting twists, not least this:

Among the biggest hoarders of subsidiaries – with 85 in ultra-secret jurisdictions, according to Companies House – is BP. In an ironic twist, its head of tax, John Bartlett, was this month appointed by the Government to sit on a study group on tax avoidance. According to the Treasury, the group ‘is part of the Government’s commitment to tackling tax avoidance and building sustainable defences to address long-standing avoidance risks’.

I’m well aware excuses are offered – but are excuses good enough?

This issue is endemic in corporate Britain – or is it worse than that? Is it actually pandemic? And is this the corrosive cancer that is eating away at corporate ethics, governance, responsibility and in itself undermining the credibility of corporate life? I think it is. The Mail seems to think it is. And is that why we’re not ‘all in tis together’?

 

I’ve been arguing for some time that there is a fundamental problem at the core of our market system. That problem is that our big companies and corporations have no clue what to do. Far from being entrepreneurial, and far from taking the risk on investing in new goods and services, what they’re actually doing is simply sitting on big piles of cash. And if they do seek opportunity for expansion it has, in the main, been to seek to capture state revenues for private benefit – which is the PFI model, the privatisation model, the outsourcing model and now the NHS privatisation model.

I’ve just noted some strong evince in support of this – albeit from the USA, and published in the Wall Street Journal in December, which said:

Corporate America’s cash pile has hit its highest level in half a century.

Rather than pouring their money into building plants or hiring workers, nonfinancial companies in the U.S. were sitting on $1.93 trillion in cash and other liquid assets at the end of September, up from $1.8 trillion at the end of June, the Federal Reserve said Thursday. Cash accounted for 7.4% of the companies’ total assets‚Äîthe largest share since 1959.

The cash buildup shows the deep caution many companies feel about investing in expansion while the economic recovery remains painfully slow and high unemployment and battered household finances continue to limit consumers’ ability to spend.

The buildup has a big downside for companies, which get little return on their money because interest rates are low, but it reflects the relatively few opportunities they see to deploy their cash more creatively.

Precisely.

And that’s why all they can think to do is raid state activity to promote their own growth.

And that’s also why growth is extraordinarily unlikely if we rely on private sector expansion – which is just not going to happen.

At a deeper level this is even more significant. Has technology run out of steam? Is there nothing new to really invest in? Or is it that people simply don’t need more ‘stuff’? And is it actually true that what they really want is what only the state can provide really well – such as education, healthcare, public services, care for the elderly, and more besides?

I think that wholly plausible. Of course there are those who will, dogmatically, disagree. But suppose I’m right – and suppose the corporations are right – there really is nothing to invest in? Then in that case the state is undoubtedly the future.

Ed Balls please note.

 

Andy Coulson has quit number 10.

There is no way on earth he’d have planned this for today.

Blair’s in trouble. The Tories won’t the media focus to be on Miliband and Balls. There is no way on earth the Tories would have planned to issue a story on Coulson today.

Unless they had to.

So what’s going to happen next.

Peter Oborne has questions needing answers. The best is this:

In particular Cameron’s judgment is under scrutiny. Cameron will at some stage need to come up with a full explanation of why he decided to appoint Coulson as Downing Street Director of Communications. What checks did he make? What enquiries did he make of Coulson himself? Did he discuss the matter further – for instance at one of his private meetings with Rebekah Brooks, the chief executive of News International (and Coulson’s predecessor at the News of the World)? The ‚Äòrogue reporter’ account of events transparently did not add up to pretty well anyone who knew anything about how newspapers worked. Was David Cameron really na?Øve enough to believe it? But if he didn’t believe it, why on earth did he hire Coulson?

Miliband may not have wanted a reshuffle. But at least he did not self inflict the wound.

This one has further to run.

 

Quote of the day (so far) from Simon Jenkins in the Guardian:

Tories have always liked facts – dates, places, weights and measures ‚Äî because they brook no argument from sceptics and leftwingers. They are “academic”, intellectual authority on stilts. But history’s facts are deliciously dangerous. Set them going and they race to conclusions. That is why a history lesson for ministers might be a lesson of advantage to us all.

I recommend the rest of the article too. It’s good

Please note, Michael Gove.

 

Last August Ed Balls set out his vision for Labour’s economic policy. That speech is available here.

Few argue that this was a very good speech – even a significant speech.

It shows Ed Ball’s ability as a thinker and his willingness to fight for what he believes in.

And to have wasted that talent was always going to be wrong.

I feel immensely sorry for Alan Johnson – he is clearly going through deep personal anguish. I am not surprised he could not face being shadow chancellor at the same time. And maybe his appointment has done its task anyway – to be indication of a transition, albeit a shorter one than was planned. But the real work needs to be done by Labour now, and transitional periods need to be over. The ConDems are wrecking the UK. And Labour has not been an effective opposition to this process as yet.

I hope Ed Miliband has the sense to let Ed Balls fight.

I know it will be said Ed Balls will alienate people. Of course he will. But they would never have voted for Labour anyway.

And I know there are those who say another safe pair of hands should have been appointed – and my answer is ‘no way’. We had such policy from Labour for far, far too long.

What people want right now is a bruiser. A man who will fight. Who will fight for public services, for jobs, for the value of the state, for the need to properly fund public services, for the need to create employment that will generate the tax we need to pay for public service, and who will reject the idea that Goldman Sachs’ bonuses do so when all they do is threaten the very core of our democracy by putting at risk the very viability of our currency.

What we need now is very marked distinction between Labour and Tory (let’s forget Lib Dem). This is no time for another Labour neoliberal apologist. This is the time for a Keynesian. The time for a person who believes that solving unemployment solves the recession and solves the deficit.

This is the time for someone who can offer hope.

Ed Balls was not meant to be leader of the Labour Party. But he is in the right job now. I hope he realises that. And I hope he can now deliver to his full potential. Because that is what we need.

Of course the Tories are saying his appointment is a disaster today. It is – but only for them.

 

From The Telegraph, minutes ago: Alan Johnson is stepping down as Shadow Chancellor. Ed Balls replaces hi, Yvette Cooper goes to Home Affairs and Douglas Alexander to the Foreign Office brief.

Yes!

Now we have a team with ability and fight in it.

It’s time to unleash Ed Balls. Let the counter attack really begin!


 

Global Financial Integrity (GFI) released its annual analysis of the cost of crime, corruption, and trade mispricing on developing countries this week. The report, “Illicit Financial Flows from Developing Countries: 2000-2009,” finds that approximately US$6.5 trillion was removed from the developing world from 2000 through 2008. The report also examines illicit flows from Asia, which produced the largest portion of total outflows, and makes projections for 2009. (The full report is here and Tip Sheet here).

The report ranks countries according to magnitude of outflows with China ranking 1 ($2.18 trillion), Russia 2 ($427 billion), Mexico 3 ($416 billion), Saudi Arabia 4 ($302 billion), and Malaysia 5 ($291 billion). The report also shows the annual outflows for each country and breaks outflows down into two categories of drivers: trade mispricing and “other,” which includes kickbacks, bribes, embezzlement, and other forms of official corruption.

“Every year developing countries are losing ten times the amount of Official Development Assistance (ODA) remitted for poverty alleviation and economic development,” said GFI director Raymond Baker. “This report measures the quantity and pattern of these harmful outflows and provides stark proof of the impact of these illicit financial practices.”

 

I have the following post on the opendemocracy blog today:

Stuart Weir offered two potentially contradictory comments on Nick Shaxson’s new book ‚ÄòTreasure Islands and the men who stole the world’ in his review for OurKingdom. First, he said “For me it is possibly the most important political book that I have read since The Spirit Level” but he later concluded, “Shaxson advances a set of reforms that could begin to curb the excesses of the offshore world, but they seem to me to be as remote as they are admirable.” He then noted that UK Uncut – the somewhat ad hoc tax protest movement which seems to have taken inspiration from the Tax Justice Network for which Shaxson has worked and to which I am an adviser – are “really up against it – not only against the British establishment but international finance and the major powers that sustain a system that was one of the factors that made the financial crisis not only possible, but inevitable.”

How can we reconcile the seemingly idealistic aspiration Shaxson has to offer, reflected in the hopes of a nascent protest movement, with the pragmatic need for radical reform within the world financial system?

To some extent, it has always been my role within the tax justice movement to resolve this apparent dilemma. As a chartered accountant trained by a Big 4 firm, who went on to be senior partner of the firm of accountants and to run a number of entrepreneurial businesses before becoming a tax and poverty campaigner (as well as, somewhat behind the scenes, continuing to practise in my profession), it has been my job to offer pragmatic solutions and reconcile the ideals of tax justice with the realities of deliverable regulation. It helps that I believe that reconciliation is possible. I make no claim that it is easy: I just say that if the political will exists then reconciliation is possible and I offer, in what follows, a number of examples on how that might be done.

The question is not whether big corporations are avoiding tax (they are) but whether they are being socially responsible.

First, and given recent protests about corporate tax behaviour perhaps most relevantly, the key issue that is being addressed is not, in my opinion, whether large corporations are avoiding tax, or not. Most, in their more candid moments, will admit that they are. The issue is about their accountability for tax paid in a world where tax revenue has become one of the most sought-after commodities by governments around the world. The demand for information on tax paid is exacerbated by the fact that it is corporations, and large ones alone, that are seeing tax cuts in the current economic environment, with their UK headline rate falling from 28% to 24% over the next few years, but with their effective tax rates, currently around 21% based upon my research, likely to fall as a consequence to something in the order of 17%, which is way below the rate of income tax for most ordinary taxpayers in the UK, the new rate of VAT, and the rate of tax paid by small companies. In this environment, people are asking whether these operations are fulfilling their social responsibility to pay tax to the states that provide them with a licence to operate, and if so, in what amount?

How can we know what multinational corporations are doing with their money?

Some of the answers can be found through a new form of accounting called country-by-country reporting. It is, very simply, a demand that every multinational corporation of significant size should file, as part of its annual financial statements, a profit and loss account and limited balance sheet and cash flow information for each and every jurisdiction in which it trades, without exception. No jurisdiction would be exempt from disclosure, and disclosure would be based, most importantly, upon the value of transactions undertaken both on an intragroup and third-party basis. This would mean that activity artificially relocated through tax havens would be revealed for the first time in multinational corporation accounts, and the abuse that can flow from transfer pricing between related party companies, one in a high tax jurisdiction and one in a low tax jurisdiction, might be highlighted by the artificial reallocation of profits to low tax locations being readily apparent.

This is not fanciful or wishful thinking: this idea, which has come out of the tax justice movement, is now on the international agenda. I created the concept of country-be-country reporting in 2003 but despite its relative youth it has been endorsed by the EU Parliament on more than one occasion. It is currently subject to a European Commission consultation and an OECD review and is on the agenda of the International Accounting Standards Board with regard to the extractive industries. The idea also won backing from the last Labour government and Vince Cable whilst in opposition.

Simply disclosing data on these issues will impact on the behaviour of multinational corporations, would reduce the impact of tax havens on their behaviour, and will force them to allocate profits to the place where it is likely to have really been earned because the glare of publicity will prevent them doing otherwise. As physicists noted a long time ago, if you observe something you change it. We, atTax Research LLP, want to look at multinational corporations’ use of tax havens because we believe that in the process we will change their behaviour, and the amount of tax they pay in the right place in the right time.

Simple automatic information exchange can discourage people from using tax havens.

The issue of automatic information exchange has also become one of priority over the last few years, not least because of pressure from civil society organisations such as the Tax Justice Network. The OECD has promoted the idea of tax information exchange on request, but for that to work the tax authority making the request for information must have a ‚Äòsmoking gun’ which proves that the taxpayer they are investigating is associated with an offshore bank account. Given the secrecy in most tax haven jurisdictions this is almost impossible to secure in many cases. We have put forward practical alternatives to this problem, including the simple obligation to automatically exchange information annually on ‚Äò financial structures’ in one jurisdiction from which a person from another jurisdiction benefits. As a matter of fact, under Financial Action Task Force rules on money-laundering, which apply almost universally around the world, financial institutions of all sorts must know the beneficial owners of the accounts that they operate. As a consequence, at least in theory, every single tax haven bank account in the world must have its beneficial ownership known to the bank that maintains it, however convoluted its ownership structure, and however deviously it may be constructed to avoid discovery. As a result, all the information to automatically exchange on this basis is already required to exist by law in all the tax haven jurisdictions worldwide.

We are simply suggesting very simple automatic information exchange that will not require long, technical complications in defining such things as income, gains, interest, profits, and so on – all of which will create nightmarish obstacles to agreement. All we want to know is whether or not a person from a place such as the United Kingdom has an interest in a financial structure (whether it be a bank account, company, trust, partnership, foundation or other arrangement) in a place such as the British Virgin Islands. And then it is up to the UK tax authorities to use that information to make further enquiries if they can see no trace of that interest being disclosed on a tax return in this country. This is low-cost, high impact data that will have a profound effect on behaviour. And discourage tax evasion, worldwide.

The accounts of all financial structures should be put on public record.

Finally, and for sound commercial reasons as well as for the purpose of stopping illicit behaviour, we argue that every company registry throughout the world (including that of the United Kingdom) should be duty-bound to determine who beneficially owns the companies that it registers using the same money-laundering identification rules that are required of private-sector financial operators. In addition, we believe that this information should be put on public record, and we believe that the accounts of every single company incorporated around the world, and of every other financial structure created under statute law – whether it be a trust, foundation or limited liability partnership – should also have its accounts on public record. We do not, of course, require this of individuals. We think that there is a right to privacy, but that right is forgone when structures created by law are used to change property rights in a way that might prejudice the interests of other people. Companies, trusts, foundations and limited liability partnerships all have this potential inherent within them and those who use them are, therefore, accountable in our opinion to the society that granted them the privilege of using these mechanisms for the benefit that is secured as a result – particularly in the case of limited liability corporations, when the cost can fall upon others if that privilege is abused.

As with the other proposals, this is targeted at changes in behaviour. It is too easy to use a company to avoid identification when undertaking nefarious transactions. Too many companies in the United Kingdom, the United States, and many other locations, are unaccountable to anyone for their actions, even though they impact on others. And around the world, tax is lost to corporations that simply disappear from view to all authorities for all purposes from the moment after incorporation onwards. This is an abuse that we do not believe society can tolerate and that is why we suggest reform of company law to reflect the ethics, obligations and commercial risks corporations bring to bear upon others in the 21st century.

These proposals are not only moral: they will improve the efficiency of markets, so benefiting society as a whole.

This is not just about curtailing abuse; this is about creating the information needed for the effective operation of markets, for the mitigation of risk, and therefore the reduction of the cost of capital that results from that process, which will enhance investment in small business, and increase the rate of return to it, so increasing the well-being of society at large.

Let me put this way: we have ideals, and are proud of them. We think that people should seek to pay the right amount of tax in the right place at the right time, knowing always this can sometimes be difficult; the law is not a certain beast. But we also believe that the transparency and accountability that we demand will enhance the smooth operation of markets, improve the allocation of resources within society, reduce risk, encourage enterprise, increase the overall tax base, and therefore potentially decrease the tax rate on those that are tax compliant, and as a result contribute to well-being for all.

This is not just about living and trading ethically: this is about meeting the information requirements for effective markets that economists have long known to be necessary. We know that that information is deliverable at modest cost, but at potential significant yield for all but those who abuse tax and corporate law and, in turn, society. In that case, the real question we ask is: why isn’t there the political will to tackle those who exploit the rules at a cost to the rest of us? That is the question that needs answering. And that’s the question politicians who prevaricate on these issues need to address, because an acceptable answer is hard to find.

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